What is happening with Iran???

 Saturday, 28 February, I was trying to travel and my plane was diverted as the skies were closed in a lot of West Asia, and I ended up stuck with no computer and no Internet.

It seems that, last year, Netanyahu and the other people really running the US agreed to attack Iran on:

First, it was going to be 13 January or 14 January, only the evil Russians and PRC gave Iran the technology to stop Starlink and track down all Starlink terminals, so Iran rounded up the people with 40,000 Starlink terminals given to foot soldiers with the Mossad/CIA/MI6 officers in charge safe in Israel, the US, and the UK.

So the protests petered out, and the US and Israel decided they'd better postpone the 13 Jan attack until 5 Feb or so, then they decided they'd better postpone until ...

The CIA (we're told) found out that there would be a big meeting of Iranian leaders on 28 February, so the US and Israel decided to kill all the leaders, the Ayatollah in his home apartment building, where a massive shelling by missiles killed most of those in the building, the Ayatollah and his family, including a small granddaughter, and also all the Iranian leaders meeting in a government facility. The war went very well from that point, since Iran had no living leaders, so no one to resist the US/Israeli attacks.

Oops.

The seconds in command  took over immediately after the former leaders were killed. The permanent replacement for the Ayatollah has not been chosen, but a temporary replacement took his place until the Council can choose a permanent Ayatollah/Leader, and the replacements for the secular leadership took over and ordered old drones and missiles fired at US resources in the Arab Gulf States (it's legally the Gulf with Two Names, the Persian Gulf on the Northeastern Coast, and the Arabian Gulf on the Southwestern Coast). So the airspace was closed, and not clear when it will re-open.

Iran keeps firing drones and missiles, and a few US planes were downed with the US military in the planes parachuting to safety, but the planes were lost. The Bahrain US military base is well-basted by the Iranian strikes, and CIA headquarters in the UAE were targeted.

The US are running out of ammunition. US and UK ships have been hit and stopped from carrying their oil to the purchasers, so the price of oil is rising rapidly, as is the price of gold. Not clear what happens to the US$. Not clear how high oil will go.

And not clear what the US and Israel can do to regain control of the situation.

Actually, that's not true, Israel can use what they have been calling the Sampson Option: nuke Iran until there is nothing left, all the oil too radioactive to use, and no government of any kind, all of Iran reduced to radioactive rubble.

Not clear when this will happen, but no one expects Iran to just surrender, and that's the only way they can prevent Israel from nuking them back to nothing.

After 5,000 Years, the End of Persia???

I just watched Col Douglas MacGregor analysing the current military situation in West Asia. He notes that, for multiple reasons, the US military are very short on ammunition. I've tried to explain that, as a defence contractor for several years, the US military mainly exists to pump $trillions into the pockets of those who really control the US government, and, while a few weapons systems and the ammunition they need to operate get built, not very much of those $trillions gets wasted on such things, most goes straight into the pockets of the real US decision makers.

Meanwhile, Iran showed that ???

Actually, we don't know. Israel swears that only one Iranian missile hit Israel and killed 24 people who had not gone to a bomb shelter, clearly an act of genocide, the legal definition of which is "killing all or part of a recognised religious-ethnic group," of which there is only one. Israel killing all the Palestinians, all the Arabs, all the goyim, or whatever, is not genocide under the legal definition, but must be called "self-defence".

But Russian and Iranian propaganda sources all say that Iranian missiles did significant damage to Israel, damage no one has seen because Israel bans all post-attack photography. And Iran were being careful to avoid escalating the war, carefully avoiding doing too much damage to Israel, hoping Israel and the US would not respond with too much of an attack on Iran.

After 11 days, Israel asked the US to stop the 12-Day war, so Trump and Iran agreed: the US would bomb three sites, agreed in advance, and then Iran would respond with one missile hitting the US military base in Qatar at a time and specific location agreed in advance, so not much damage was done to Iran or the US military base, no one was killed, and the 12-Day War was over.

This time, Col MacGregor says, after the inevitable attack on Iran by either the US or Israel or both, Iran will start to totally destroy Israel, taking out all major resources. This is somewhat limited, since Israel moved some of the government from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, and Iran cannot do any strike that endangers the Al-Aqsa Mosque, but a lot of Israeli vital resources remains outside Jerusalem, and all those will be targeted, and the only way Israel can defend themselves is with a massive nuclear strike that will totally obliterate Iran.

Israel can and almost certainly will do this, given the alternative, if any war starts at all.

As Col MacGregor states, Trump is being forced by Netanyahu to attack Iran, or at least to support a conventional Israeli attack on Iran. This, we know, is not true. Trump is just reading the Teleprompter which has whatever the people really running the US want him to say. We saw that his first term when he stated, firmly, twice, that all US troops must leave Syria.

Then, after the men in dark suits and dark glasses asked him if he really wanted to be the next JFK, and these are the successors to the people who killed JFK, Trump agreed to just read the Teleprompter.

And again, on 19 Jan 2025, we saw Trump say that, if the US did not withdraw from the Ukraine, the costs of the war would destroy the US. Trump had already been elected, so this wasn't a lie told to win the election, it was something Trump intended to pursue. Then the men in dark suits and dark glasses had another little talk with Trump, and he then said that Russia must completely withdraw from the Ukraine or Russia would be destroyed.

So Trump has been taught to just read the Teleprompter.

We don't know, yet, if Trump will attack Iran, or if Israel will attack Iran. Col MacGregor figures it's a certainty that will result in the total destruction of Israel, but he forgets that Israel is one of the world's biggest nuclear powers, even though it is a tiny nation. The DPRK probably have fewer than a dozen nukes, just enough to convince the US not to try any regime change, but Israel has hundreds, maybe thousands of nukes, all built with the assistance and acceptance of the US. And, if mortally threatened, Israel will use those nukes.

After which, few in the West will miss Iran.

This also has the great advantage that the PRC will be cut off from a lot of the oil they need to keep their economy running at the current level.

So removing Iran will serve both Israel's purposes and those of the US, so it seems very likely we'll see the first use of nukes to totally destroy a country (the nukes the US used in WWII were only to impress the USSR, Japan surrendered after the USSR declared war on Japan a few days after the nukes were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki).

There is, of course, one way out of this: the people who are really in charge might know that any war with Iran will result in Israel dropping much of their nuclear arsenal on Iran, and they might not want this to happen. Then they will come up with some way to declare 'victory': They will find something to which Iran can agree, something, anything, meaningless, something Iran have no trouble agreeing to, and then Trump will read off the Teleprompter, 'We have achieved total victory over Iran without a war!!!'

That's our only hope.

What's Happening Now????

As I wrote before, Scott Ritter, on Friday, 13 February, said there was no way the US could attack Iran, since the consequences would be a disaster, and the US military  leadership would never agree to such an attack.

Then, on Monday, 16 February, Scott said the US was about to attack, and the attack would totally destroy Iran, the US had identified all Iran's weapons, the location of all Iran's leadership, and all would be destroyed on the first day of the war, after which the US would pound Iran until there was nothing left that could possibly threaten the US or Israel, and this would take place in a day or two. Scott repeated this on Friday, 20 February and Monday, 23 February, the US attack was coming up very soon and Iran would be totally destroyed.

I then heard that the PRC had agreed to sell Iran some new weapons systems, but could not deliver for at least a year, by which time there would not be an Iran there to buy them.

One point that somehow gets missed is that the US imposed sanctions on Iran, so Iran could not sell any oil. The US did this to Iraq, a complete blockade, Iraq could not sell any oil or buy anything, and Iraq had started buying food with their oil money, and cut back on their farming, and Iraq needed to buy medicine since they had no indigenous medical industry, so at least 500,000 Iraqis died from starvation and curable diseases. And the US official statement was that those 500,000 dead Iraqis were well worth it.

Iran is not Iraq. Iran produces lots of food, enough to feed themselves and sell their substantial surplus, and Iran produces their own medicine, and can treat common diseases, only a few, rare diseases that required very advanced medicines could not be treated and the patients died, but only a few.

And then, in 2021, a fleet of oil tankers showed up and bought all the available Iranian oil, in spite of the US naval blockade, since that fleet of tankers had a bigger Navy protecting them than the US naval blockade, so the US naval blockade withdrew, not willing to attack a much bigger, stronger naval force.

The PRC desperately need energy resources, and they were trying to develop Venezuela, while Russia sold their energy to the EU.

Then the EU said they would not buy anything from the Russian aggressors who want to take over all Europe, and the US know that, if they don't help Europe support the Ukraine, US tourists who want to see the Eiffel Tower and Big Ben will have to speak Russian. So the US/UK/EU will do whatever it takes to stop the Slavs from overrunning Aryan lands.

So now the Russians are selling their energy to the PRC and India, but the PRC energy needs keep growing and growing, and the PRC might be able to do without the Venezuelan oil they spent more than $1 billion developing, but they figured it was better to cut and run, and focus on Iran.

But the US intend to get all the Iranian oil, oil that the Iranians have been stealing, returned to the legal owners, BP, who will never be allowed to sell any oil to the PRC, and then NATO will overrun Russia, which, according to all the US/UK/EU mainstream media are losing badly and all that Russian energy should be returned to the rightful owners, US oiligarchs, who won't sell a drop to the PRC.

Scott figures this isn't all that ethical a plan, but a military victory of the US over Iran is not only certain, but will be very easy, with no US losses or any damage to Israel.

Russia keep saying they will be helping Iran, but the Russian military, according to all the US/UK/EU mainstream media, were armed with WWII weapons, all easily destroyed by the advanced NATO weapons used by the Ukraine, who were also able to destroy the Russian nuclear triad with a drone attack against which the Russians were totally unprepared and unable to stop.

So the Russia don't have much of a military left, according to all the US/UK/EU analysts, and will soon be totally defeated, broken up into many small, demilitarised countries, and all Russia energy, gold, and minerals will be taken as war reparations by US oiligarchs, and no Russian oil will go to the PRC, which will then collapse back into an agricultural society with everyone working as small farmers barely able to feed themselves, and the PRC will no longer be a threat to the US, but will be back where they were in 1850, after the UK and other Europeans (plus the US and Japan) took over the Qing Dynasty China and stole everything.

That's the plan, and the US/UK/EU figure it's a sure thing and an easy thing and nothing can possibly go wrong.

Of course, Russia and the PRC and Iran just might have other plans. Professor John J. Mearsheimer says that the US generals and/or maybe Trump have figured out that any attack on Iran is not going to go well. Israel seem to think the US have set up lots of new air defence systems to protect Israel, so now's the best time to take out Iran, after which Israel will be able to take everything from the northern tip of the Euphrates to the southern tip of the Nile, but the US military experts, according to Mearsheimer, are not convinced this will go well, and fear that this might go very, very badly, and do not want to go to war with Iran.

Mearsheimer hopes that the US can negotiate a deal like the one that ended the 12-day war of 2025, where the US bombed some Iranian nuclear sites after giving Iran warning and time to prepare, then Iran was allowed a symbolic hit on an American base in Qatar, and the war was over interrupted for six months.

But Iran says that is not on the table.

As usual, if Iran figures they have nothing and the US can totally destroy Iran with no damage to the US or Israel, why wouldn't Iran agree to such a generous offer?

But Iran say their missile sites are well hidden, the US won't be able to hit more than a few of them, and the cost to the US and Israel will be far more than they can afford. Of course, Iran might be wrong about this, but the US idea, repeated by Scott Ritter, that they can totally destroy Iran without losing any US or Israeli assets might also be completely wrong.

We can all hope that Professor Mearsheimer is right, that the US are quite unsure of how much damage Iran can do, and are not willing to risk that damage, so they'll try threats and bluffs, hoping Iran will respond by agreeing to all US/Israeli demands, or at least to some US/Israeli demands, and then the US can declare victory without any losses.

Or, if Iran refuses to negotiate, the US/UK/EU can have all the US/UK/EU media say Iran surrendered without a fight, knowing they were totally overpowered, or did fight but lost, and US/UK/EU people are now in charge, and all is for the best in this, the best of all possible worlds! 

After which, Iran can continue to sell oil to the PRC in peace, but not a peep about this will make its way to the US/UK/EU media who will celebrate the great US/UK/EU victory over the Iranian Ayatollahs.

Are Ayatollahs Allowed to Lie through their Teeth?

I have been reading Trump saying the US will start with a small attack on Iran, just to show the Iranians what the US can do, and then give them a chance to capitulate: total disarmament of Iran, removal of the Ayatollahs to some monastery (or whatever the Muslims call it) where they can pray in isolation, and return of Iran to the Shah and all Iran's oil to BP, and if they do not capitulate, then total destruction of Iran.

I have read several analysts guessing when the small strike will be, and how much damage it will do to Iran, and if the US will really stop after a small strike and let the Iranians surrender, or will just continue with the total destruction of Iran, losing no US military forces or equipment while they totally destroy Iran.

This, however, does not conform to what the Ayatollahs have been saying: if one bomb lands on Iran from the US or Israel, Iran will respond with a full, 'regional' response, meaning, Iran will destroy all US military forces in the region, plus all oil assets, plus all of Israel. Are the Ayatollahs lying? Will they accept a small strike and not retaliate, hoping that will prevent a larger strike? Will they withhold their fire, even as the US destroy Iran, fearing the US might do much worse if Iran dare to shoot back? My guess is that the Ayatollahs are telling the truth about what they will do, even if the US and Israel are sure they are lying, that they cannot retaliate, that Israel told the truth, every Iranian missile except one was intercepted by the Iron Dome, and that one missile killed 24 Israelis who did not go to a bomb shelter, a clear case of genocide by the genocidal Iranians, a crime that must be punished, and punished severely.

Obviously, Iran lacks (maybe) missiles that can hit the US mainland, we only know they have hypersonic missiles that can go 1,400 km (870 miles), far enough to reach Israel and just about all the US military assets now gathered around Iran, ready for an attack like the one on Iraq in 2003. Only Iraq didn't have any hypersonic missiles, while Iran have many.

We also know that the US have nothing that can stop a hypersonic missile, unless they can destroy them on the ground before launch.

The US military now say they can do just that, US stealth airplanes cannot be detected by Iran, and US intelligence have located every single Iranian missile, so all the missiles can be totally destroyed in about 5 minutes, leaving Iran with no offensive weapons, and no defensive weapons that could hinder the US destruction of Iran.

As Scott Ritter says, the US cannot destroy all the Iranian missiles, but they can destroy almost all of them, leaving just a few of what the military call 'leakers', but these few leakers cannot possibly overwhelm the US or Israeli air defence systems, so all will be destroyed before they can do any damage to US military assets or Israel.

So Scott is saying that, while it is not true that the US air and ship-launched missile attacks can take out every Iranian missile, they can leave Iran unable to strike any US or Israeli targets with the few missiles not destroyed before they can be launched.

Again, all this leaves out what the Ayatollah has been saying: one bomb, just one, and an all-out retaliation will take place, and if the US cannot destroy all those hypersonic missiles, a lot of US matériel and Israeli buildings will be destroyed and a lot of US military forces and Israelis will be killed. It also leaves out the PRC and Russian defence systems that have been installed in Iran (and which Russia and the PRC figure should have been installed before 13 Feb 2025), systems that make stealth US airplanes as visible as a cow in a close-cropped field in broad daylight (even when those US planes attack at midnight).

So the US military saying they know they can overwhelm Iran is either a) a bluff, an attempt to convince the Iranians to surrender, since Iran can't possibly know it's a bluff  (actually, Iran will react as if it is a bluff); or b) utter stupidity, which will work just like utter stupidity always works.

The question remains: when will the US actually try any utter stupidity????

Attacks have been scheduled for 14 January, 1 February, and 6 February, but all were 'postponed'.

Trump said on 19 February that Iran had just 10 days to surrender, later extended to 15 days, so will the actual attack by the US on Iran be on Monday, 2 Mar? Friday, 6 Mar? Tue, 3 Mar to catch the Iranians off guard, since they'd never expect an attack on 3 Mar?

Basically, I'm sure Scott Ritter based his assessment on what he was told by his friends still active in the US military, but they don't seem to know much, or couldn't tell him anything except the official lie that the US is still, by far, the strongest military power in the world.

I keep repeating: the US ordered sanctions, actually a naval blockade, on Iran from 1980 until 2021. I read many newspaper accounts of oil tankers that tried to buy Iranian oil, only to be stopped by the US Naval Blockade, taken to a friendly port, and sold, along with the oil, with all the money going to the US Treasury, so not one ¢ of the oil's value went to Iran, and the owners of the tankers lost their tankers and their oil.

Then, in 2021, a fleet of oil tankers showed up in Iran and bought every drop of oil Iran had to sell, and when the US Navy showed up to stop them, found the tanker fleet protected by a more powerful navy than the US blockade, so the blockade withdrew, and Iran have been selling about 2 million barrels of oil a day, every day, ever since.

So the US military ain't what they used to be many long years ago.

One final point: the New York Times, always reliable, i.e., always reliably demonising Trump, say they heard from the top US general that the general told Trump not to order an attack on Iran, and then, after that, Trump said that the general gave him the green light to order an attack.

Which might actually be partly true: the general might know that an attack on Iran is not possible, never said it openly, but quietly mentioned it to a New York Times reporter. And Trump might be threatening a small attack in hopes that Iran will accede to at least some small part of Trump's demands (not clear what, if anything, the Iranians might agree to at this point, backed by the evil Russians and PRC who are providing the Iranians with defences the US cannot handle).

But whoever is really running the US (and also Trump) might be hoping they can somehow convince Iran to make some small concessions (possible, if those concessions are small enough, or maybe Iran conceding that they will never do something that they never had any intention of doing), and the US can then describe those minor concessions as a total victory over Iran (which is about the best the US can do), and if the US go the utter stupidity route, it will be most unfortunate for US military personnel stationed anywhere in West Asia or off the coast of West Asia, Israel, and the Arab Gulf states.

Trump, fortunately, uses bluffing, so we can hope all his talk about destroying Iran is just a bluff, hoping the Iranians will fear US power and make at least token concessions, but I fear even token concessions are unlikely.

When will the 2026 Iran War Start?????

Bessent said he deliberately crashed the Iranian currency to destroy the Iranian economy in late December 2025. In anticipation of protests over the crashed (by the US) Iranian currency, Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 sent in 40,000 foot soldiers with Starlink terminals, and they were directed (from Mossad in Israel, CIA in the US, and MI6 in the UK) to piles of weapons and where to gather with other foot soldiers to kill security officers and protesters not aligned with the pro-Shah forces.

About 3,000 were killed, mostly Iranian security forces and civilians, plus several hundred of the good, (US-, UK-) law-abiding protestors.

Of course, the US/UK/EU mainstream media note that that figure of 3,000 is Iranian propaganda, and scream that more than 30,000, maybe more than 40,000, maybe more than 70,000 peaceful protestors have been brutally murdered by the evil Ayatollahs.

It seems the brilliant Mossad/CIA/MI6 plan ran into a little snag: the evil PRC and Russia gave Iran systems that could disable Starlink, track down the locations of all the Starlink terminals, and then arrest the foot-soldier agents sent to start the overthrow of the Ayatollahs and return of the Shah (who is the son of the former Shah).

But the violent rioters sent by Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 all having been arrested, the Ayatollah was still firmly in control, so the planned 14 Jan 2026 US attack had to be postponed, as was the 6 Feb attack and the 15 Feb attack.

On 19 Feb, Trump said he was giving Iran just 10 days to comply with all US demands: no uranium in Iran, complete de-militarisation, no resistance to return of the Shah and return of all Iranian oil to the rightful owner: BP.  

Ten days would mean 1 March 2026, but Trump later extended the deadline to 15 days, or 6 March 2026.

At this point, the top decision makers in the CIA/MI6/Mossad seem to be unsure how to proceed: the evil Russians and PRC militaries have been helping Iran prepare their defences, and the size and effectiveness of those defences may or may not be fully understood.

Plan A says that the US have detailed knowledge of the locations of all Iranian weapons, and the US stealth-planes can easily evade all Iranian radar detection, so the hundreds of planes and missiles fired from ships and US military bases will destroy all the Iranian weapons, kill all the senior government officials, military officers, and Ayatollahs, and leave Iran ripe for the picking, with the Ayatollahs replaced by the Shah just as easily as Maduro was replaced by President Trump (who now calls himself the effective president of Venezuela).

But there are sceptics who think the evil Russians and PRC might have defensive weapons that can conceal the whereabouts of the Iranian offensive weapons, and then just might, a remote possibility but still a possibility, sink one or more of the ships in the Armada(s), shoot down one or more of those US stealth planes, and might have a few well-hidden missiles that could do serious damage to Israel, US military bases, Arabian Gulf oil fields, and close the Strait of Hormuz with Russian and PRC mines.

One strange thing is that, on Friday, February 13th, Scott Ritter said that Trump would not dare order an attack on Iran, since the chance of unacceptable US losses was too high, but on Monday, February 16th, he said that a US attack on Iran was imminent, possibly before the end of the week. He repeated that again this Monday, February 23, that the attack is almost (but not quite) certain, and very soon, maybe early in the morning one day this week or next.

Scott says that, if ordered to attack, the US know the location of every Iranian missile, and can take most of them out. There will be a few missiles that will get missed, missiles that the military call 'leakers', but this is why the US have put in lots of additional anti-missile defence systems to protect US assets and Israel from those 'leakers'.

Ideally, Scott says, there will be no US or Israeli casualties, with US air defences and Israel's Iron Dome easily able to protect US military forces and all Israelis from the Iranian 'leakers'.

But Scott says that success for the US attack, while very likely, is not absolutely certain, and there might be some US and Israeli casualties.

Scott is hoping that the top generals will warn Trump that, while success is almost certain, there is still a chance that US and Israeli lives could be lost if the US attack Iran, and Scott thinks that Trump is a coward, and hopes that Trump will be so cowardly that he will refrain from ordering an attack.

Scott, like a lot of people, detests Trump more than he has ever disliked any other president. I, however, saw Trump go on TV and say, 

'I order all US troops out of Syria!.' Twice! 

Then the men in dark suits and dark glasses asked Trump if he wanted to be the next JFK, since the US hadn't had a good president's funeral in more than 50 years, and Trump asked, 'What do I have to do?' and the next day, Trump ordered US troops into Syria. 

Proving Trump, like Biden and Obama and Bush, Jr. are all just actors playing the part of the US president, reading the lines the real president gives them to read off the Teleprompter.

But I don't know if the person really in charge will order an attack that might fail, or will just hope that the Iranians are foolish enough to surrender, and if they aren't, won't risk an attack that could do serious damage to the US military.

We've also been 'promised' an attack at least four times now, but no attack, and there is a high cost to having an Armada sitting and doing nothing, so we need that promised attack to finally come about very soon now, or the fleet will need to sail home.

Nuclear Physics and Iran

Walt Kelly called it "New Clear PhyFizzics", then noted it was not so new, not so clear, and, when the book was dropped in a bucket of water, 'nary a fizz.'

In 1945, the US announced that they had the world's greatest weapon: U₂₃₅! Of course, everything was Top Secret, so no details, but everyone knew that no other nation could possibly produce such a weapon, only the US, so when the USSR produced one after four years, the US executed the two Jewish spies who gave away the secret. The way the spies were discovered was that the Great J. Edgar Hoover picked up some people and said, 'You will be charged with espionage. If you do not confess, you will be executed. If you confess and name your accomplices, you'll get your sentence reduced to just a few years in Federal Prison. Now name your accomplices!' And the people arrested kept naming accomplices and naming accomplices until a Jewish couple, Ethel and Julius Rosenberg, said they had not been spies, they had not stolen nuclear secrets and sold them to the Soviets, and they had had no accomplices, so they were both executed (the others arrested got prison sentences of a few years, then they were released as disgraced spies who had helped the Rosenbergs give the USSR the secret to the nuclear bomb; J. Edgar Hoover said he kept waiting for a phone call on the night of execution saying the Rosenbergs were ready to confess and name their accomplices, and he would have immediately ordered their sentence commuted).

I saw a Disney comic book back in the late '50s, showing Professor Ludwig Von Drake teaching about U₂₃₅: the most powerful explosive in the world. He threw a speck into the Grand Canyon. Nothing happened, so they asked, 'What's happening?' and Ludwig said, 'It hasn't hit bottom yet.'

When the U₂₃₅ finally hit bottom, the explosion filled the entire Grand Canyon. Nothing about radiation poisoning, though, since this was a children's comic book explanation about the atomic bomb and U₂₃₅, no details like radiation poisoning allowed.

In fact, the story started that all the bombs were U₂₃₅, then that one bomb was actually plutonium, not uranium, then two bombs were plutonium, and now most figure all three of the US bombs, the one tested at White Sands New Mexico, and the two dropped on Japan, were all plutonium bombs.

The grimy details finally came out about the secret facility in Chicago (the Chicago Pile) where about 50 tonnes of metallic uranium and yellowcake were allowed to sit until a fission reaction started, then it was stopped and the Pile was moved to a more secure location. After three years of fission, the pile produced enough plutonium to make three bombs. Of course, the fact that the bombs were Plutonium was tippity-top secret, classified TS/SCI/NOFORN/BBR!!! The US wanted everyone to try to make a bomb out of U₂₃₅.

Everyone knew the US was buying uranium, millions of dollars worth, but the war left most nations without millions to spend on uranium when no one thought it would work until they saw the US do it, after which, every country that has 50 tonnes of metallic uranium and wants a bomb has a bomb. The countries without bombs either don't want them, so they sell their uranium oar, or they don't have enough uranium to build a bomb.

So the Soviets didn't need any spies, nor did the French, Chinese, Indians, Pakistanis, or North Koreans (the British and Israelis didn't need any spies because they got by with a little help from their friends).

But Israel and the US want rid of Iran, and saying they are building a nuclear bomb and are only a few days away from completing one (and have been just a few days away for more than 30 years) is more than enough justification to totally destroy the country (and then return all the oil that the Iranians have been stealing since 1980 back to the rightful owners, BP).

The only teeny problem that intrudes into this brilliant and facile plan by the US and Israel is that the evil Russians and Chinese might have been helping Iran with their defences (all deny that, since if Iran lose, Russia and the PRC don't want any of the blame, and if Iran win, they want the US to know they lost to a small country with only the most primitive defences, spears and arrows and such like against the most advanced weapons in the entire world that only the US Defence Industry can produce: one can hardly believe the $trillions needed for all the advanced development by ChatGPT required to produce those US weapons).

Latest Guess about When the War on Iran Will Take Place

The 2026 State of the Union Address will take place on Tuesday, 24 February.

I heard some experts say that any War on Iran will tend to overshadow and distract people from paying much attention to the State of the Union, something Trump would never allow, so the War must be postponed until at least 25 February, and then take place either that day or very shortly thereafter. 

Trump announced on the afternoon of 19 February that, if Iran do not surrender and agree to all the US terms within 10 days, the war will start. It is not altogether clear what all those terms are: One or more of:

1) the JCPOA that Obama negotiated, got UN Security Council Approval, and so was 'legally binding on the US', then Trump said he was cancelling the JCPOA? 

2)  no nuclear material of any kind in Iran?

3) no missiles in Iran?

 4) total disarmament, Iran must be totally demilitarised?

5) new leadership, the Ayatollahs all have to leave, the Shah has to return as total ruler of Iran, and must stick to his agreement to return all the oil in Iran oil to the legal owners (under US/UK/EU law): BP? 

 6)????

One must recall that, the last time Trump said time was running out, that Iran must meet negotiators on Sunday, 15 June or the war would start, that the war started in the early hours of Friday, 13 June, with help from many Mossad, CIA, and MI6 agents and from the IAEA, so Israel knew where every general and senior atomic scientist was living and droned all their homes, killing every single Iranian general and senior atomic scientist, and tried to kill both the Ayatollah and the president of Iran but only wounded the Iranian President, and the Ayatollah was not staying in the residence where the spies said he would be, so he escaped unharmed.

So Trump might expect a great victory, as Great and as Quick as Venezuela, a victory he will be able to brag about during the Address, so the war might start and end with a total and complete US victory before the address, catching the Iranians totally by surprise?

Last I heard, most of the experts are predicting that the war will start shortly after the address and take at least a few weeks, and some predict a year or more.

So will Trump wait 10 days, and start the war on 29 June, or sooner or later or ???? 

There are, of course, the second and third Carrier Battle Groups, AKA the second and third Armadas, which have not yet reached a position where they can participate in any initial massive strike on Iran, a strike which is supposed to be so massive that it will take out all the top government officials and most Iranian military assets, leaving Iran unable to make much of a return strike, nothing that can penetrate Israel's Iron Dome, which has been further protected by many Patriot batteries set up in the last few weeks. And if the US are waiting for all the Armadas to arrive, the war will have to be postponed until they arrive, which will be a week or more after the State of the Union Address, and not clear exactly when that will be.

Again, Trump said Iran must meet all US terms (which are not precisely articulated) before 29 June, but, based on what we've seen Israel and the US military do before, the attack might be sooner or later than that. 

*** 

After the first US and/or US-Israeli strike are launched from the one, two, or three Armadas, Iran are supposed to have nothing left that can penetrate the Israeli defences or the defences the US have set up to protect US military assets in West Asia, nothing that can do any damage to the Arabian Gulf oil fields, nothing that can mine the Strait of Hormuz and limit the easy travel of Arabian oil to world markets. And with the Ayatollahs all gone, the Shah can be put back in, all Iranian oil, stolen by the Ayatollahs in 1980, will be returned to the lawful owner (under US/UK/EU law), BP!

And after this victory, the US will be free to concentrate on liberating the Soviet Union from the Communist dictators, and then breaking up the former USSR into many, small, demilitarised countries, with all Soviet oil, gold, and other valuable minerals returned to the rightful owners, Western (mostly American) oiligarchs, as War Reparations. 

***

Of course, some of the pro-Iranian propaganda channels say the evil PRC and Russia have given some weapons to the Iranians that can stop any US or US/Israeli attack. Iran say, 'That is not true. No one has given us any weapons, we bought them all with our own money.'

In any case, it is not at all clear what kinds of weapons Iran have, except that none are nuclear. They might have hypersonic missiles that can penetrate the defences of the Armada(s) and Israel. They might have stealth submarines that can take out some or all of the ships in the Armada(s). 

I keep wondering about a) calling it 'three Armadas,' since the term 'Armada' covers all the US naval assets, not just part of them; and b) using the word 'Armada' after what happened to the most famous Armada in (British) history.

The Armada(s) are sure that they are out of range of all Iranian missiles, but it is not clear if that intelligence is correct. 

The Iranians also have some stealth submarines, but the US a) may not know that a backward nation like Iran could possibly have any submarines, and b) if they do, they are probably like the US Civil War Southern Rebel submarines that were easily destroyed by the Union Navy, so the US Navy are sure they can detect and destroy any Iranian submarine that approaches the Armada(s).

There are quite a few commentators on the pro-Iranian propaganda channels who figure the US Armada(s) will do about as well as that last Armada sent to conquer Britain, the Iranian hypersonic missiles and stealth submarines will be able to sink much of the Armada(s), and those hypersonic missiles will then do massive damage to Israel, US military bases, and the Arabian Gulf oil fields. Iran will also mine the Strait of Hormuz, possible with PRC mines set to never go off if approached by a PRC tanker, so the Strait of Hormuz will be closed to all ships except those from the PRC.

***

Net: a lot of people claim to have excellent intelligence about what is about to happen, but we'll have to wait before we can be sure.

What does seem likely is that, if the US and/or Israel attack Iran, and that initial strike fails to decapitate all Iranian defences, which then prove rather resilient and formidable, seriously threatening the complete destruction of Israel, then Israel will carpet nuke Iran to take out all Iranian defences. 

This will, sadly, leave Iranian oil too radioactive for anyone to use, and make oil permanently worth much more than current prices, but at least Israel would be safe from Iran, and could start concentrating on taking out Türkiye. 

After all, Israel were promised all the land from the Euphrates to the wadi, and, the Zionists have a new and greatly improved definition of wadi from the ancient Hebrew meaning (an arroyo), to the new definition, Great River, so now the word wadi means the entire River Nile, so Israel runs from the northernmost tip of the Euphrates to the southernmost tip of the Nile, and the Turks need to find someplace else to live, as do all the West Asian Arabs.

But we aren't sure what, exactly, it will take to convince Israel that they have reached a situation that necessitates the use of their nuclear arsenal, or if the Iranian response to an attack by the US and/or Israel would be such a situation.

So it looks like some very interesting times ahead. 

Calendars and Wars

Calendars:

16 Feb 2026 was Chinese New Year. Almost all the world's calendars are lunar, like the Chinese, where New Year can be anywhere from 21 Jan until 20 Feb. 

Note that the old, pre-Roman British calendar must have been lunar, since the word 'month' is very close to the word 'moon', meaning the old British calendar must have been lunar. 

In the Romance languages (I have no idea how 'Roman' became 'Romance' after the fall of the Roman Empire), there is no relation between the world for 'month' and the word for 'moon'.

Unlike the West, where there are big fireworks displays starting at midnight, 1 Jan, the Chinese have fireworks all year long, but sporadic, for weddings and other, similar events. But, starting two weeks before Chinese New Year, there are fireworks from noon until midnight every day. New Year's Day, lots of fireworks all day long, with most (but not all) ending at midnight, then restarting the day after New Year's Day at about 8 am. The Chinese New Year Holiday is about a week long, with lots of fireworks before and after the actual New Year's Day.

Wars 

Last week, I heard that the US military knew that Iran could destroy massive amounts of US matériel, ships and planes, with the loss of many American lives, and the US generals and admirals knew this, and would not be so foolish that they would attack Iran.

This week, I see that the same people who thought war with Iran was out of the question now think it will start very soon: the US think they have located all the Iranian missiles (or at least almost all the Iranian missiles), so the strike will destroy almost all of the missile launchers, and the few missiles that will reach Israel will be well within the capability of the Iron Dome to prevent their doing any damage.

I understand Trump has now sent not just one, not just two, but three Carrier Strike Forces, so the US now have enough firepower to easily overcome all Iranian defences and stop all Iranian offences. Probably false, but wars usually happen when both sides are sure they can win (rarely, when one side knows they are sure to lose, but want to go down fighting).

In any case, if the war does start in the next week or two, we'll find out if the US have the capability to overcome all Iranian defences and offensive attacks, or if Iran will succeed in destroying the US Armada, the US bases in West Asia, and stop the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. 

The Current Wars: State unknown

As of now, I read in the New York Times that just about every Iranian is waving the old flag used before the Revolution of 1979 and demanding the return of the Shah, the US are supporting them, and the overthrow of the illegal government that has been tenuously holding onto power by ruthlessly murdering every freedom-loving Iranian will very soon be overthrown by the US military and Iran will then be returned to a peaceful and prosperous democracy under the Shah.

Of course, I also read the Ayatollah's propaganda that, while all the Royalist Iranians who fled Iran before (seeing it coming), during (as it was happening) and after the 1979 Revolution that put Ayatollah Khomeini in as Supreme Leader are very few in number compared with the overwhelming majority of Iranians who stayed in Iran after the Revolution of 1979 and found their lives better under the Ayatollahs than under the Shah, and now fully support the Ayatollahs, and they will all work together to fight any American and/or Israeli attack, and, if attacked, will destroy Israel, the US forces sent to attack Iran, the US bases, the oil fields of the countries hosting US bases, and will mine and close the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 25% of the oil traded by sea travels, forcing the price of a barrel of oil up above $700 and severely damaging the global economy, but if Israel and/or the US want to try, while Iran would prefer that they refrain and leave Iran in peace, Iran are ready to do massive damage to Israel, US forces in the region, and the global economy (maybe not the PRC which have a train running between the PRC and Iran that could carry all the Iranian oil that is no longer being shipped on tankers).

Also, the PRC and Russian navies are approaching Iran for 'exercises'.

So, as I said before, last week, Scott Ritter says the US generals and admirals know they will lose in any war with Iran, and since they can veto any orders to attack that they are sure will result in massive losses, no war will take place.

But other experts believe a war between the US and Iran will happen very soon (and generally figure Iran will lose badly, while being able to inflict little if any damage on the US forces, bases, host countries, or Israel).

The original plan was to severely disrupt the Iranian economy starting on 28 December 2025, starting peaceful protests, then to send in 40,000 well-armed supporters of the Shah with lots of weapons and Starlink terminals, so they could be directed by experts at the CIA, Mossad, MI6, and possibly some other European intelligence agencies, severely disrupting the Iranian government and their ability to orchestrate any defence, so the massive attack was to take place on 14 January, 2026, a massive attack called off by Netanyahu after the evil Russians and PRC gave Iran devices that made a Starlink terminal unable to communicate with the directors of the insurgency at the CIA, Mossad, and MI6, and those devices also led Iranian defenders to all 40,000 insurgents with those Starlink terminals, and they were all arrested and are now awaiting trial, so the government was back in full control, the Iranian military were ready to repel and retaliate for any attack, and the Allies against Iran were not ready. So the attack was postponed until 1 February 2026, then postponed again, and no firm date for the next planned attack has leaked out, yet.

And, as of now, it is not at all clear when or if that attack planned for 14 January 2026 will take place. Or what will happen if and when it does.

***

And all the mainstream media in the US/UK/EU assure us that Russia are very weak, their economy destroyed by the sanctions, and the Ukrainians are getting closer and closer to total victory, but the brave Ukrainians do need a lot more money.

Meanwhile, the Russian propaganda media  say the Crimea and the Donbas are now legally part of Russia, and the US/UK/EU backed forces will not be allowed to take or keep a single square meter, and they suggest that Odessa is historically a Russian city that might very well be added to the parts already taken by the Russians.

Russia want all the ethnic Russian parts of the Ukraine, they do not want the Aryan bits, but neither do they want the Aryan bits to join NATO and let NATO put military bases and anti-missiles in their part of the Ukraine. Russia wants the Aryans completely out of power in the Ukraine, with an understanding that the Rump Ukraine cannot have a large, standing military, or an Aryan leader.

Of courses, all the Aryans in the Ukraine, plus the US/UK/EU, all want a rabidly anti-Russian Ukraine that can seize all the valuable oil, gas, and other minerals that are now in Russia but which legally (under US/UK/EU/Ukrainian law) belong to the US/UK/EU oiligarchs, and the Ukrainian Aryans are happy to conscript ethnic Slavs to do all the fighting to liberate Russia and hand control over to some Aryans who will return all the Russian oil and minerals to the rightful owners.

So not clear what's happening in the Ukraine since things are too muddy for serious fighting now, and no one is sure what will happen when the land dries up and military manoeuvres can restart.         

US Defence Dollars at Work

I graduated with a STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and/or Mathematics) degree, but no job offers. Science, Technology, and Maths are broad with no obvious applications. Engineering is very specific, so only one or two engineering fields are in great demand in any given year, then engineering students flock to those fields and those fields become overcrowded with job seekers and largely devoid of job openings, while new fields open up with huge demand and no graduates. So almost all of us STEM graduates were not seeing the vast array of jobs we'd been promised when we chose our majors.

But then I got an offer: the US government was offering defence companies $20,000 in cold, hard cash for every STEM graduate they hired, so they hired me.

My first day on the job, I was sent to Orientation with a Vice President. He told me, 'We don't need any T or E, only S and M, Sales and Marketing. Your quota is $250,000. If you don't bring in at least $250,000 in a year, you'll be fired. Now where are you going to go to get a contract for at least $250,000???'

I said I didn't know, did he have some numbers I could cold call? He handed me a thick book.

'You want me to start cold calling these numbers?' I asked.

'NO!' he thundered. 'These are numbers of customers who are already claimed by one of our salesmen, and we do not allow any of our salesmen to poach another of our salesmen's customers.'

(This was a long time ago, now he'd have to say 'salespersons' or 'salesmen and saleswomen', but back then, we had a few saleswomen, but very few, and you don't correct a vice-president over his gender usage.)

'Then whom do you want me to call?' I asked.

'You can call any number that is not in this book,' he answered, then added, 'I can see you're not a salesman, so I suggest you resign immediately. All the time you stay here, you'll just be wasting your time and ours. This interview is over.'

So I left his office. But I had read my contract, and if I quit, I had to repay the US government the $20,000. Or else. I wasn't sure if I could go to jail if I couldn't pay, or just hand over whatever money I got from a burger-flipping job, or what, so I did not resign, and they had me dig holes and fill them up, hoping I'd quit, but I didn't quit, I stayed for a year, then they fired me.

During that year, I met Chuck, and I asked, 'So how, exactly, so you get contracts?'

Chuck told me, 'My best friend in high school got a job as a government contracting officer, and he always gives me $100,000 a year, and that's my quota. I work just two months. I have to help my friend write the Request for Proposals, then he helps me write the proposal, then he recommends me for having the best proposal and coaches me on how to defend my proposal. Then I have to defend the proposal, and the committee has always accepted his recommendation, since he accepts their recommendations to give their contracts to their friends. That takes one month.

'Then, 10 months later, he coaches me on how to write the final report, and I have to present the final report saying we accomplished far more than we promised in the proposal, far more than what was required by the contract, and I get my $100,000 payment made out to the company. That takes the second month. My boss and his boss keep telling me, "Look, you only work two months a year and earn $30,000. If you worked 12 months, you'd earn $250,000 a year, and you and the company would be much better off." '

I looked up the company salary and bonus policy myself. Basically, the company policy was that, if you bring in $100,000, your salary and bonus come to $30,000, but if you bring in $600,000, your salary and bonus go way up, so you get $250,000. My friend continued:

'But I know I only have one friend who's a contracting officer, so if I worked my tail off for 12 months, I'd still earn just $30,000. So why would I waste my time working, when I won't accomplish any more or earn any more than I do barely coming into the office for ten months?'

We had card punch operators back then, and programmers. Officially, the US government did not want salesmen, they wanted STEM graduates doing advanced weapons research, coming up with formulae for new, advanced systems, but really, they just went to lunches and dinners with their contracting officer friends and talked and talked and got contracts, so the US government said they wanted STEM researchers, but the system only rewarded good salespersons.

For a real line of code that was part of a program that solved difficult Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematical problems, the total cost of research, development, programing, and punching the card really was at least $100, and that's what the company charged the government (a $100,000 contract meant 1,000 punch cards).

In reality, the programmer's only job was to write the code that would print out all the numbered lines of code, and, at the presentation of the Final Report, the salesman projected page after page of the print outs of the punched cards, showing there were 10 cards for every $1,000 the contract was worth (million dollar contracts had to have 10,000 lines of code, none of which would compile or run, except the few lines that got the computer to print out the lines punched in the cards, and no one knew enough about programming to know anything was wrong, or if they did, they had every incentive to say, 'I can see that this is brilliant science and coding that will lead to a new, very advanced weapon system.'

Our company did what was called 'basic research,' the underlying scientific research that would later be the basis for the development of actual weapons systems.

I saw the laser: they packed the target with explosives and a radio-controlled detonation system. As the target flew by, some distance away and fairly high up, they shot the laser at the target, someone pressed the button on the detonator, and the target exploded, 'totally destroyed by the advanced laser weapon.'

Ditto the advanced particle beam weapon system.

So the US will have a public defence budget of $1.5 trillion this next fiscal year, and weapons systems less capable than the Iranian weapons systems, let alone the Russian or Chinese weapons systems. And that $1.5 trillion is only the public part, the Classified TS/SCI/NOFORN//BBR part of the Defence Budget is almost certainly much, much larger (but we'll never know how much it is or how it is used).

And because of the huge budget overruns and deficits, gold has gone from $2,000 an ounce a few years ago to almost $6,000 an ounce this year, and this is likely to continue as the real value of the US$ keeps dropping and dropping, thanks to the US government wasting all the money needed for real research and development on fake weapons research.

Scott Ritter and Jeffrey Sachs differ on a possible Iranian War

I watched Scott Ritter, a former active member of the US military (not sure about his current status), who appeared on the Judge Napolitano podcast, and he says there will be no war on Iran: the US military commanders, the generals and admirals, know that Iran has weapons that can destroy:

1) All of the Great Armada(s) the US are sending to threaten Iran in the hope that Iran will surrender and disarm;

2) All of the US military bases within 1,000 miles of Iran;

3) All the oil producing areas in the countries hosting those US bases;

4) Most of Israel;

and Iran can close the Strait of Hormuz, which, added to the destruction of oil producing facilities, will block the world from about 25% of all the traded oil that travels by ship from producer to market and raise the price of a barrel of oil to at least $700.

So there is no way they will allow any US attack on Iran.

I then watched Prof. Jeffrey Sachs, who thinks Trump is an idiot who might start the war without thinking, and who would definitely start the war if ordered to do so by his Zionist owners.

There seems to be a disconnect here, but they were on separately, and Prof Sachs, who came on second, did not respond to Ritter's assurance that a US or Israeli war on Iran is impossible, but figures one is almost certain to happen, with disastrous results, given Trump's idiocy (Sachs does not like Trump).

There were more people on Judge Napolitano, and the majority figure any US attack on Iran will result in the destruction of all US military assets within 1,000 miles of Iran and also most of Israel, but they also figure Israel imagine that the US is so strong that the US military can totally destroy Iran before Iran can hit Israel with any weapons that can penetrate the Iron Dome (before, Israel was OK for about 9 days, then the Iron Dome ran out of ammunition and Israel was vulnerable to Iranian attacks, so the US, Israel, and Iran agreed to a way to end the war with a token US attack on Iranian nuclear facilities that did little damage, followed by a token Iranian attack on the US base in Qatar that did even less damage, so Israel, Iran, and the US agreed that they had reached a place where the US, Israel, and Iran could declare peace).

 Obviously, the US desperately want a repeat of the 12-Day war, with the US doing a symbolic attack on Iran followed by a symbolic Iranian retaliation, neither of which do any real damage.

But the Iranians don't want regular repeats of the 12-Day war, so they say that, if one American or Israeli bomb hits Iran, they will destroy all US and Israeli assets.

Current Best Guess: no idea, given the idiocy of Israel and the US: Israel want the US to carpet bomb Iran with a large enough fleet of bombers and missiles to totally destroy all Iranian defences, only this is probably not possible. Ritter says that the US military all know this, and say the US must never attack Iran, or all US military assets and just about all of Israel will be destroyed. Trump was a wild card when he first took office, he was ordered to send the US military into Syria, but instead he ordered all US troops out of Syria. The men in dark suits and dark glasses had a little talk with Trump, and then Trump ordered the US troops into Syria.

So Trump does what he is told, he is not really responsible for any of the idiotic and contradictory orders he keeps giving, he says whatever he is ordered to say, no matter how idiotic it is (of course, we don't know if Trump knows how idiotic these orders are or not).

But the people who really run the US of A have told Trump he'd better read the Teleprompter verbatim, or he'll be the next JFK.

And who knows what those people, who all have ID-10-T identification cards, will order Trump to do next. 

 

 

The Coming War Against Iran?????

Netanyahu has ordered the US to destroy Iran, so Trump sent an Armada a couple of weeks ago, and now says he's sending another Armada, and Iran had better be very worried, they must meet all US/Israeli demands or be totally destroyed.

Those demands are: 1) no nuclear weapons!

This is a reasonable demand, since the current Ayatollah says that Islam prohibits nuclear weapons, so Iran will never build one. Of course, Pakistan have nuclear weapons, but most Pakistanis are from a different sect of Islam than the Iranian Ayatollah and don't see having nuclear weapons as haram, but rather as a requirement since India have nuclear weapons they could use against a Pakistan that did not also have nuclear weapons.

2) no ballistic missiles! 

Iranian ballistic missiles, according to Israel, were all except one stopped by Israel's Iron Dome, and that one killed 24 Israelis, which is genocide under International Law, which defines genocide as 

Killing all or part of a recognised religious-ethnic group 

so killing 24 Israelis is genocide under the official definition, while Israel killing all the Palestinians or all the Arabs would not be genocide under international law, but self-defence against terrorists.

So all Iranian ballistic missiles must be banned to prevent another genocide by the evil Iranians.

3) no support for any anti-Israeli group!

Clearly, we must keep all the Zionists safe, since doing anything else is facilitating genocide, and the Iranians keep supporting the genocidal groups Hamas (which include all Palestinians), Hezbollah, and Ansarallah. 

So far, Iran has agreed to 1) and rejected 2) and 3), so such a rejection of a simple, essential Israeli Zionist demand means Iran must be destroyed.

Sadly, the only way that appears available to totally destroy Iran without risking major damage to Israel is to carpet nuke Iran. Israel has the nukes, but all those nukes have been officially TS/SCI/NOFORN/BBR, so Israel kind of, sort of, agrees that they have them while saying all such talk is strictly prohibited, and we must abide by whatever the Israeli Zionists demand, so we must never talk about Israeli nukes, but they have enough to totally destroy Iran, leaving Iran unable to ever threaten Israel again. Of course, that leaves Iranian oil too radioactive to use, so what will be left of Iran will have no obvious economic benefit to anyone, and all that oil that legally belongs to BP will be lost for the next 1,000 years or so.

A great solution does not seem available, but the total destruction of Iran by Zionist nukes seems like a good start to keeping Israel safe from attack by goyim, so I guess that's our only option. 

***

One knows that we can rely on the always accurate US/UK/EU media, who get all their information from the CIA/MI6/Mossad and EU intelligence agencies who assure us that an attack on Iran poses no threat to the US military since Iran are very weak militarily, and their military were massively damaged in the 12-Day War where the US obliterated all their offensive capabilities, so there is no danger they could sink any US ships, shoot down any US planes, destroy any US military bases, or succeed in getting even a single drone past Israel's IranIron Dome.

In fact, Iran are even weaker than Venezuela, and the US military, by far the strongest military in the world, if not the galaxy, were easily able to disable all the Venezuelan defenders with a new weapon that left them all paralysed and lying on the floor, unable to shoot at the Americans as they made the legal arrest of the narco-terrorist Maduro.

That same weapon will leave all the Iranian defenders helpless as the US arrests or kills all the Ayatollahs, arrests or kills all the Iranian defenders, and puts the Shah back in as total ruler (with a force trained and armed by the US to support and protect him and enforce all his edicts, plus Mossad will have a massive force in Iran to make sure the new Shah never suffers the same fate as the old Shah unless he fails to do what Israel orders him to do).

Then Iran will, as it did in 1953, return all the Iranian oil to the rightful owner, BP, eliminate all defensive systems, in fact the entire current Iranian military, who were guilty of firing missiles at Israel, and any other Iranians who violate US or Zionist law will be gaoled for Life without Parole, and Iran will return to being a great friend of Israel, a strong supporter of Zionism, and a source of labour for BP to extract and take all the Iranian oil, all of which legally belongs to BP under US/UK law.

All should be for the best, in this, the best of all possible worlds. 

(And we all hope that nothing goes wrong with this excellent resolution of the Iranian problem.) 

***

I must note that not all accept the obvious fact that the US military, the Greatest in the World, were easily able to arrest Maduro without the loss of a single US soldier, thanks to a new weapon. They say it was a very old weapon, the Almighty US$ that paid off the defenders (except the Cubans, who were most of Maduro's defenders who were not paid off by the US, and who were all killed).

But I think most know that Venezuelans speak Spanish, not English, and so could not understand the Americans demanding that they surrender, so the US had to use their advanced new anti-personnel weapon to totally disable all of Maduro's defenders and then arrest Maduro.

And now the US can and will do the same to Iran, and then probably  Russia, and finally the PRC.

Russia will be broken up into many small, demilitarised states, and the PRC will be returned to their proper state, a nation of farmers without any electricity or petrol, doing all the farming manually. (The US will take over all the PRC rare earth facilities and move them somewhere else under better US control, maybe Mexico or Canada, or maybe Greenland.

Neither state can possibly stand up to the US military, with new weapons that can disable all defenders and allow the US to destroy all military capabilities.

The US military and all the US/UK/EU mainstream media assure us this version is the TRVE one, so we must all believe it, not the Iranian/PRC/Russian propaganda channels that abound on social media that say the Iranians (with advanced Russian and PRC weapons) are more than a match for the US military (but not the Israeli military with their arsenal of nukes).

And we must ignore the fact that Trump keeps talking about the Great Armada, when the last Great Armada didn't do all that well against the English. 

Intersting times???

Right now, the US/UK/EU mainstream media assure us that Iran and Russia are very weak, on the verge of collapse, and both could easily be tipped into Democracy (with all their oil returned to the rightful owners, Western oiligarchs) if only the West would step up to the plate and hit the two easy pitches out of the park. Maybe the US are needed, maybe the UK and EU could do the job alone, at least in the Ukraine, while Iran will be a very easy task for the US to return the Shah just as they did in 1953, after the evil Mossadegh stole British oil in 1951, while the UK found that they were no longer able to accomplish the return of their own oil, after suffering massive losses in two World Wars (even if they were on the winning side both tines), so they got the US to step in and recover their oil, in exchange for a 50% share. And the US should be able to repeat the victory of 1953 much more easily than back then, since the 2026 US military is far more advanced than the US military of 1953.

So the UK and EU are preparing to overwhelm the evil Russians without (much) American help in just a few years, and everyone expects the US to recover all the stolen Iranian oil with the same ease that they recovered all the stolen Venezuelan oil: The US military is the most advanced in the world, and has a new weapon that disabled all the opposing forces in Venezuela, where all the defenders were paralysed by this new weapon, and were unable to shoot at the American military or defend Maduro from being lawfully arrested for his many crimes without a single US soldier being killed or seriously injured.

Of course, getting rid of Iran as a terrorist, Islamist state will protect Israel, which is the most important task for the rest of the world to perform after letting the Nazis kill Jews without doing anything during WWII, and the only possible solution is to follow the Bible: Jews must have everything from the northern-most tip of the Euphrates to the southern-most tip of the Nile (the Biblical word 'wadi' has had it's old, incorrect, non-Zionist meaning changed from meaning an arroyo near the southern border of historical Palestine to meaning the entire River Nile).

Right now, Bibi is demanding that the US take out Iran without allowing Iran to threaten Israel, but neither Bibi nor the top US military planners have figured out how to do this: Iran have a huge arsenal of missiles that will destroy just about all of Tel Aviv and most other major Israeli cities and military installations, and those missiles will be launched before the US can destroy them. They will probably sink a lot of US ships and kill a lot of US soldiers and sailors and airmen, but those are expendable, while nothing in Israel can be allowed to be damaged, let alone destroyed. So even Bibi can't see how the US could possibly achieve his demand, which is to utterly destroy Iran without risking the slightest damage to anything inside Israel (except for Palestinian areas that need to be demolished and cleansed of Palestinians).

Russia is an even bigger puzzle than Iran, since Russia once had the world's largest nuclear arsenal. We know MI6, maybe with help from the CIA and Mossad, took out a lot of the Russian nuclear arsenal, but we're not sure how much (MI6 probably know, but that information is classified TS/SCI/NOFORN/BBR). So how much damage could Russia do before the UK and EU could totally destroy Russia, returning all the stolen Russian oil, gas, uranium, and gold to the rightful owners, UK and EU oligarchs? Russia have been unable to do much damage to the Ukraine, taking only a tiny sliver of the Ukraine in 4 years, and couldn't possible manage nearly as much damage to the UK and EU, protected by the UK/EU military, probably the 2nd strongest military in the world, only surpassed by the US military, and easily able to defend the UK/EU from a weak nation like Russia, and probably able to stop any Russian nuclear attack over Russia where it could do no damage to the UK or EU (but we still have to worry that a Russian nuclear attack detonated over Russia would squander a lot of that oil, gas, gold, and uranium, taking massive amounts of wealth from the rightful Western owners). 

Of course, Russia say they are just as capable of destroying the rest of the world as the USSR were, but no one believes the Russian propaganda channels, and even Russia had to admit that MI6 damaged their nuclear deterrent, but they lie that not much damage was done and most of their nuclear deterrent is still intact and capable of completely destroying the US/UK/EU. Obviously, no one should believe the Russian propaganda, and the US/UK/EU mainstream media assure us that Russia can't do anything to stop the UK and EU if they decide to destroy Russia, break Russia up into a bunch of small, demilitarised states, and claim all Russian oil, gas, and mineral assets as war reparations (with a fair share given to the US, of course).

The only question is, 'What could possibly go wrong????', and, if one would just listen to the always reliable US/UK/EU mainstream media, the only answer is, 'Absolutely nothing!' so the US/UK/EU should get busy and overthrow Iran and Russia and get on with things. 

Stop worrying that Russia could destroy the US/UK/EU the way the USSR could have, the USSR is long gone and Russia is just a weak, third-world country. And there is even less worry about Iran, the US military now have new, advanced weapons that will make it as easy to arrest and/or kill all the Ayatollahs and install the Shah as ruler of Iran as it was to arrest Maduro.

Getting interesting

 CNN, always reliable, since they get their news from the CIA, the best intelligence agency in the world, so their news is the best in the world, interviewed Trump, and he said the US will stop all oil sales by Russia. Every Russian oil tanker will be stopped and seized by the US Navy, no exceptions, and if a Russian Navy ship or submarine tries to stop the US Navy, the US Navy will sink that ship or submarine, so Russia are in big trouble, and will soon have to pull completely out of the Ukraine, demilitarise and hand over all Russian oil, gas, uranium, and gold as war reparations. Which is good since the US ended the New Start Treaty yesterday, so there would have been no limits on what nuclear weapons Russia could have produced had they not been unconditionally defeated by the US, as they will be very soon.

Trump also said the Greatest Armada ever will soon help the vast majority of the Iranian people get their freedom from the horrible dictatorship of the Ayatollahs (and also return all that Iranian oil to the rightful owners, BP).

I figure this is all good to know. CNN assures us that Russia are very weak, they have lost millions of men, and have done very little damage to the Ukrainian military, the million or so Ukrainians murdered by the Russians have all been defenceless civilians.

And we know the CIA (and Mossad and MI6) would never give CNN any inaccurate information, so this must all be TRVE.

Of course, the Russian (and Iranian) propaganda channels lie that Russia have hypersonic missiles that can easily get past any Golden Dome that Trump might put up, and, since Trump ended the New Start Treaty by not renewing it (as Putin asked him to do), they will start developing more nuclear devices, but CNN assure us that Russia are so broke they cannot even maintain their existing nuclear arsenal, much of which was destroyed by "Operation Spider Web," done entirely by Ukrainian forces (with only a tiny bit of help from the CIA/Mossad/MI6) on 1 June 2025, so Russia have little or no nuclear arsenal left, and no money with which to rebuild one.

Likewise, the Iranian (and Russian) propaganda channels say that Iran has a massive fleet of drones and missiles that, if a single bomb is dropped on Iran, will be unleashed against Israel and all US military assets within 1,000 km (maybe 1,500 km) from Iran, totally destroying Tel Aviv and the ships in the Great Armada, and the Strait of Hormuz will be closed, raising the cost of a barrel of oil to above $700, but CNN assures us the attack on Iran will go just as successfully as the attack on Venezuela, which showed the incredible strength of the US military, with devices that disabled all the Venezuelan defenders so it was easy for the American military to arrest Maduro and kill 100 Cuban and Venezuelan defenders without losing a single American, and the US will use that device to disable all Iranian defences so the US military can take out all the Ayatollahs and install the Shah as supreme ruler, with all that stolen oil in Iran returned to BP.

Of course, the propaganda channels say the main weapon the US used in Venezuela was the powerful US$ that bought off most of the defenders, and this is not likely to work at all on Russian Navy ships or on Iran.

The Reserve Currency?

Years ago, I read the book Paper Money by Adam Smith (the author, a professional Wall Street gossip columnist, didn't want to use his real name, or the people who spilled Wall Street beans would stop talking to him, so he took the pen name Adam Smith).

Smith tried to explain that, at Bretton-Woods in 1944, the US dollar was declared the world's Key Currency. 

The correct definitions are that a 'reserve currency' is one of the currencies used in international trade, and so must be kept in reserve by international banks.

Before WWII, most of the world were colonies of the European imperial powers. International trade between British colonies and Britain were in £ sterling, so the £ was a reserve currency, and so were the ₣ and a few more currencies of the major European imperial powers. After WWI, the US$ became a reserve currency, and, a few years after WWII, when Japan had rebuilt and re-industrialised, the ¥ became a reserve currency. Today, the ₣ is no longer a currency, so it is off the list, which now consists of the "U.S. dollar, Euro, Chinese renminbi, Japanese yen, Pounds sterling, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, and Swiss francs," according to the International Monetary Fund. (The renminbi is a very recent addition to the list, since 20 years ago, the PRC had a tiny economy and was not much of a monetary power.) Some of these currencies can be used in SWIFT exchanges (I know the US$, the £, the €, an the renminbi can all be used, and I think there are a few others.)

So yes, the US$ is a reserve currency, but it is one of at least eight reserve currencies.

After WWII, the French ₣ had collapsed, and the British £ was weak. The £ had always been worth at least $5, but had dropped to $4.75 and the UK were panicking over that tiny drop (the first of many). The US had banned ownership of gold by US citizens and permanent residents during the Great Depression, but, to ensure that the US$ could be used in international transactions, any foreigner living outside the US could buy one ounce of gold for $35. The British and French had borrowed huge amounts of those US dollars during the war to buy matériel, and owed the US, plus Germany owed war reparations, so most of the world's gold ended up in Fort Knox, where it stayed, so having a US$ was a good as gold, and your gold backing your dollars was safe in Fort Knox.

So, in 1944, with no one having any trust in any other currency, at Bretton-Woods, the US$ was declared the 'Key Currency,' the main currency for all international trade (this is not mentioned in Wikipedia, but it was emphasised by Adam Smith in Paper Money). All nations other than the US were ordered to price their currency in US dollars, which was worth 1/35 ounce of gold, making all currencies priced in gold, then believed to be the only real measure of the value of a currency.

The US spent lots and lots of US$, first on rebuilding Europe, then on buying oil. During WWII, the US was the main producer of oil in the world, so the Allies had plenty of petrol for their planes and ships and tanks, while the Axis was very short of oil, and had a hard time keeping their planes and ships and tanks running. But after WWII, most Americans were able to buy cars, and the US demand for oil soon exceeded the domestic supply in the US, so the US$s flowed out, and other countries began to get nervous and used their US$s to buy the gold in Fort Knox, until the gold was running out, so, on 15 August 1971, President Nixon announced that the US would no longer redeem a US$ for gold, a US$ was just a US$. The value of the US$ in terms of gold fell slowly at first, but then faster and faster, then settled a bit, and then fell rather slowly until about a year ago, when the US$ began to fall quite rapidly against gold.

Judge Napolitano starts each of his podcasts saying, 'Buy gold!', but there's a problem: a lot of the gold for sale ain't what it's cracked up to be. They'll say 'It's 24 carat,' when it's really 12 carat, so you paid twice as much as you should have paid. To be safe, one must pay to have the gold assayed, and then, when one wants to sell, the buyer will insist you pay to have an assay prove your gold is what you say it is (as the small guy/gal in the transaction, you have to pay all the expenses of the transaction, the big guy/gal don't pay). And after you buy the gold, you have to think of Silas Marner, who earned lots of gold weaving and had it all stolen. So where will you put it? In the bank? The government can seize it anytime they want. At home? A thief could steal it. There is no good place to keep that gold where you can't be robbed or cheated (not to mention taxed).

So the US$ ain't a good place to put your money, gold has lots of problems, and the Chinese 元 looks like the safest place to keep your money, but the Chinese don't make it easy for foreign barbarians to buy their  元.

What will happen with Iran????

 It is now well known, since Secretary Bessent admitted it, that the US deliberately crashed the Iranian currency in late December 2025, starting peaceful protests, to which Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 (and maybe other intelligence agencies) sent about 40,000 well-armed, violent protesters with Starlink terminals, directed by their Mossad, CIA, MI6, and other handlers to riot and kill, and tie up the Iranian government so that a US attack on 14 January 2026 would be able to easily overthrow the Iranian regime and enable a pro-US regime to take power.

Only the Russians and Chinese might have helped the Iranians by giving them the technology to block Starlink, cutting the rioters off from their handlers and also leading Iranian security forces to the locations of the Starlink terminals and the rioters using them, and quenching the riots before the planned 14 January attack by USAF bombers. The US had the refuelling planes in the air, the Qatar military base emptied of vulnerable troops and assets, and plenty of bombers flown in from US bases as far away as the US and Europe (with the refuelling planes, those bombers could stay in the air for a week or more).

But with the riots quenched, the Iranian government in complete control, and all the Iranian defensive and offensive weapons ready, the Iranian government announced that, if attacked at all, even with a single bomb or missile, it will not be at all like the 12-Day War, but Iran would fire many more missiles and drones, including some much more advanced missiles, at every US asset and at Israel, utterly destroying every US base and most of the Zionist parts of Israel, so Benjamin called Trump and said, 'Don't do it!!!'

Trump announced that he was sending an Armada to Iran, a huge Armada that could and would utterly destroy Iran, but he would give the Iranians a little time to completely surrender, agreeing to the US that inspectors could enter Iran and ensure that Iran have no uranium, no equipment that can enrich uranium, no missiles, no military, and probably all the stolen BP oil in Iran returned to the rightful owners. Trump keeps saying that Iran had better submit quickly, since his patience is wearing thin, and the attack will start soon if Iran does not submit. But Trump never said what he meant by 'soon'.

I listened to the Judging Freedom podcasts on Monday, 2 February, and the guests had two opinions: 1) Israel, the US, and Trump know that any attack on Iran, even a very limited one, would be a complete disaster for Israel and the US, most of the Zionist parts of Israel would be completely destroyed, as would much of the US Armada (about like that Spanish one in the history books) and all the US bases in the region, plus Iran would close the Strait of Hormus cutting off 25% of the world oil supply (sort of, the PRC have a new, high-speed rail line that could transport oil from Iran to the PRC without needing the Strait), so Trump will try threats (which won't work) but will not be stupid enough to actually attack Iran; and the alternative: 2) that with advanced US weapons, the US know that they can block Iranian attacks from damaging any US military bases, ships or Israel, so the attack will probably happen within the next two weeks, or next two months, or maybe next two ???

And there is one more possibility: Israel might decide to just carpet nuke Iran, leaving no threat to Israel (and also leaving no usable oil in Iran, so no profits for BP).

Best analyses say that the US have no non-nuclear weapons that could totally disable Iran's ability to retaliate and do massive damage to all US assets and all of Israel, and the US would not dare to use a nuke given that Russia, the PRC, and Pakistan are nuclear powers who would be furious, but Israel are under no such restrictions, so Israel using a nuke, knowing that is the only way they can  completely and permanently eliminate the threat from Iran, seems possible, maybe likely, and if Israel did that, they would still be protected by the US nuclear umbrella, so why not? 

Friday Night Chat with Jordanian-American

 As Secretary Bessent said, it was the US that destroyed the Iranian currency in December 2025 by dumping and shorting huge quantities on the monetary exchanges where the currency is traded, starting about three days of peaceful protests.

Meanwhile, Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 (that we know of, there may have been other, EU intelligence agencies helping) gave money, weapons, and 40,000 Starlink terminals to some foot soldiers of the rebellion to overthrow the evil Iranian regime that have been stealing the American oil in Iran since 1980 and replace that regime, as the US did in Venezuela, with a good regime that will return every drop of that oil to the rightful owners, US oiligarchs. The NCOs and officers of the rebellion remained in Israel, the US, and the UK (and maybe some European countries, but we're not sure about that), and directed the rebellion for about three days.

The US was supposed to start bombing Iran on 14 January 2026 to help the rebellion, so they'd be bombing Iranian government and pro-Ayatollah forces to help the anti-government protestors with the 40,000 Starlink terminals. Sadly, the evil Russians and Chinese put a minor crimp in Plan A: they gave the evil Iranian government equipment that could: a) make Starlink terminals unable to communicate or be turned off; and b) enabled the evil Iranians to track down every single Starlink terminal and arrest the people using it. So, by 10 January, the anti-government protests against the collapse of the Iranian currency had been completely stopped, and the Iranians had been warned, so they were ready at their anti-aircraft batteries and missile batteries. Iran said they would never start a war, but if the US attacked Iran, Iran would launch thousands of missiles at Israel and all the US bases in the region and close the Strait of Hormuz, raising the price of oil from the current $60 - $80 up to $600 - $800 per barrel.

Netanyahu called Trump and ordered, 'Don't attack Iran!' so the attack planned for 14 Jan 2026 had to be postponed.

My Jordanian friend said the US have the Armada and refuelling tankers ready, so the attack should happen in the next week or two. Iran are really very weak, and the US will use the device they used in Venezuela that disabled all the Venezuelan anti-aircraft batteries and also paralysed all the Venezuelan defenders on the military base where Maduro was staying, thinking he was safe there, so Iran will have absolutely no defences against the American attack which will take out all the Ayatollahs and let the Shah take over as head of state.

If the Jordanian is correct, and the arrest of Maduro was made possible because the US have such an advanced military that they can easily take out any head of state (Putin and Xi should be worried), then the attack should indeed take place in a week or two.

If, however, the arrest of Maduro relied on the Almighty US$, paid to most of the defenders who were in on it, except for the Cubans who were kept out since they would have told Maduro what was coming and been ready to try and defend him, so only about 100 people had to be killed, the rest were all on the side of the US, happy to get lots of US$ for helping get rid of Maduro, then the attempt to use that Almighty US$ has been tried and failed miserably in Iran (thanks to the help of the evil Russians and Chinese), so the attack by the USAF and US Navy is likely to be postponed indefinitely.

US Armada in the Gulf with Two Names

For about as long as there have been people on both sides of a certain, rather well-known Gulf, it has had two names. On the northeast side of the Gulf, it is the Persian Gulf, while on the southwest side, it is the Arabian Gulf. About 27% of world oil and 22% of world gas (LNG) that is transported by ship goes from the Gulf with Two Names through the Strait of Hormuz to the Oman Gulf, which connects to the Arabian Sea, then ships can sail northwest up the Red Sea to the Suez Canal and then west to Europe and the Americas, or eastward through the Strait of Malacca to the Pacific Ocean and supply nations on the Indian and Pacific Oceans with oil and gas.

Iran has promised that, if they are attacked, they can and will close the Strait of Hormuz, but my Jordanian friend who lives in the US says, 'Look at the US attack on Venezuela. The US military have devices that destroyed all the Venezuelan air defences and knocked out all the people in the military base where the evil terrorist Maduro was sleeping, so the US military were easily able to arrest the narco-terrorist Maduro and bring him to the US for trial, conviction, and punishment, leaving Venezuela in the hands of people who have returned all the oil and other resources stolen by Chavez and Maduro to the rightful owners, American oiligarchs. And the US military can do the same to Iran, destroying all their air defences, then landing and arresting or killing all the Ayatollahs and putting Iran back under the Shah who has promised to return all Iranian oil to the rightful owners, British Petroleum (owned by the US and UK), with no danger that the US military will lose a single US soldier or marine in this operation. Iran have nothing that can withstand an attack by the US.'

The US now have one Aircraft Carrier Battle Group (ACBG) in the US Armada that will do to Iran what they did to Venezuela. Commentators other than my Jordanian friend said it was not advanced US weaponry that enabled the arrest of Maduro, but the Mighty US$, paid to people who agreed to stand down and let the US military land, kill the Cubans and other guards–a total of about 100 people–and capture Maduro.

 The original plan for an attack on Iran involved about 40,000 people who want to get rid of the Ayatollahs, some Iranians, and some invaders. Iran have several ethnic groups that were stuffed into Iran against their wishes, e.g., Arabs and Kurds pushed from native Arab and Kurdish lands into Iran by the Ottomans, the British, and the French, and there are some other Iranian minority groups who joined the 40,000. There were also Arabs, Kurds, and others living outside Iran who wanted to help Iranians of their ethnicity break free of the Ayatollahs. Mossad, the CIA, MI6, and other EU intelligence agencies gave the 40,000 peaceful protesters Starlink terminals, money, and weapons to facilitate a riot that would start the overthrow, and then the US and Israel would help them finish the job.

Sadly, with help from the evil Russians and Chinese, the Iranians tracked down all 40,000 Starlink terminals and arrested or killed the people holding them.

And without those 40,000 helping with the overthrow, experts other than my Jordanian-American friend say the US need at least 3 ACBG in the US Armada to have any chance of success.

Of course, my Jordanian-American friend says the new devices that worked so well in Venezuela will work just as well in Iran, who use the same Russian and Chinese defence systems as the Venezuelans, so the US ACBG already in the Gulf with Two Names can easily disable all Iranian defences and kill all the Ayatollahs without any threat that Iran can strike Israel or US bases in the region or block the Strait of Hormuz.

But Iran is not Venezuela. On the first night of the 12-Day War, Israel had the names an locations of every top Iranian general and every nuclear scientist, and they knew the official residence of Ayatollah Khamenei, so they sent drones to destroy the homes of all the senior generals and nuclear scientists and the Ayatollah, killing every single senior general in the Iranian Army and all the nuclear science professors (but the Ayatollah wasn't home). Israel also used an EMP pulse to totally destroy the computer that ran all the Iranian air defences.

Within hours, Iran had named the successors to all the top generals, who took over management of the Iranian military, and the evil Russian repairmen had a computer running and the Iranian air defences were fully operational (so Israel had to fire rockets and drones into Iran from outside Iran where the anti-aircraft batteries could not reach).

But, starting late on the first day of the 12-Day War, Iran began firing missiles at Israel, and, during the 12-Day War, managed to kill 24 Israeli Zionists with a missile that struck before they could reach their bomb shelter. According to Israel, no other missiles got through, no one else was killed, and no real damage was done, but after 12 days, Israel had run out of ammunition for the Iron Dome air defence system, so the US bombed Iran, totally destroyed all the Iranian nuclear facilities, and the war ended. Israel placed an urgent order for a massive amount of replacement ammunition for the Iron Dome but their order has not yet been filled, so they wanted the 40,000 peaceful protesters with their Starlink terminals to overthrow the Ayatollahs and disable all Iranian air defences and missiles before the next war starts.

My Jordanian friend figures the US Armada can take out the Ayatollahs as easily as they took out Maduro, but Israel don't think so and asked for a delay until their order for replacement ammunition for their Iron Dome is filled.

Trump says the Armada will go ahead with the next War on Iran as soon as the Armada are ready, unless Iran surrenders before then, and Iran better surrender or the Armada will do major damage to Iran. Trump says that Israel have nothing to fear, the US military can take out all Iran's military capability, leaving them with no ability to attack Israel or US bases in the region, and the Armada can easily stop Iran from blocking the Strait of Hormuz.

Of course, while the US/UK/EU mainstream media all agree the 12-Day War did major damage to Iran and only minor damage to Israel, the Russian and Iranian propaganda channels say that war did major damage to Israeli military facilities, and the Iranians promise major damage to Israel and US military bases in the region if the US and/or Israel start a second war, but, since the CIA, MI6, and EU intelligence agencies, whose hard work give them more than 100% of all the information in the world and they then give this information to the US/UK/EU mainstream media, we can all be sure the US/UK/EU mainstream media is 100% correct in their descriptions of world news, and we can discount everything on the Russian and Iranian propaganda channels (available on Telegram if it's not blocked where one lives). 

As a fallback, of course, Israel have at least 100 nukes, so if the Armada starts something they cannot finish, Israel has a way to finish everything for them.

With US protection, no one would dare attack Israel if they nuked Iran totally off the map.

(Pakistan have already promised that, if Israel nukes Iran, Pakistan will nuke Israel, but neither the Israeli nor the American leadership can speak Urdu.) 

The US Carrier Force is nearing Iran

Trump announced that, after Iran murdered many innocent, peaceful protestors, he was sending an armada that might or might not attack Iran and replace the evil Ayatollah with a good Shah, but the newspapers only report that the carrier strike group is 'on their way' to Iran, no idea where, or when they'll get there.

The UN reports that Iran had a protest after Iranian government incompetence wrecked the Iranian currency, making it worthless, so no one could buy anything, and Iran responded by killing more than 20,000 of the peaceful protesters. This is supported by all the US/UK/EU mainstream media.

As usual, the social media like Telegram have posters (like the Iranian propaganda outlet, PressTV) that say the UN/US/UK/EU mainstream media are all lying, that the actual death toll during the protests was 3,117, where 2,427 were security forces and civilians and 690 were armed terrorists shooting at the security forces and peaceful protestors until they were killed by the security forces.

It seems someone managed to get about 40,000 Starlink terminals into Iran and also there was also an Iranian Royalist website, and both provided instructions to the terrorists on where to find weapons, where to go to join other terrorists, and told them to shoot security forces and peaceful protestors. Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 (that we know of, other Western intelligence agencies may also have helped) paid Iranians and others to riot and kill and gave them their Starlink terminals and lots of weapons: pistols, incendiary devices, etc. 

Iran has many minorities, Kurds, Arabs, Royalists, etc., some of whom want to get rid of the Ayatollahs, and who together are about 10% of the Iranian population. Also, Kurds and Arabs living outside Iran might have entered Iran (the border is not well guarded) to help the Kurds and Arabs living inside Iran try to overthrow the Ayatollahs.

It started when the US worked hard to destroy the Iranian currency, dumping and shorting rials on the various currency exchanges until the Iranian rial lost more than half the value, so shopkeepers could not buy replacement stock and went out to peacefully protest. Then Mossad, the CIA, MI6, et al. paid people and provided them with weapons so they could go out and join the shopkeepers and start shooting security forces and the shopkeepers, getting detailed directions from their Starlink terminals.

All was going well until Iran shut off the Internet, then used devices provided by the evil Russians and Chinese to track down every Starlink terminal in Iran and arrest the people who had them, and 690 innocent, armed Starlink holders, who shot at and killed some of the forces trying to arrest them, were then brutally murdered by the Iranian police (which means about 39,000 other Starlink holders were probably arrested).

So the US are sending a Carrier Task Force. Not clear what for.

Iran is not Venezuela, they have a rather impressive arsenal, some home-built, some sold to them by the evil Russia and PRC. Sayed Marandi says that Iran can easily destroy Israel, the Carrier Task Force, and all US bases in the Arab states near Iran, and will do so if attacked. Of course, if one reads the US/UK/EU mainstream media, Iran only managed to get a single missile past the Israel Iron Dome, David’s Sling, Arrow and Thaad missile defences, and that missile killed 24 Israelis who did not go to the bomb shelters in time. But if one reads Sayed Marandi, Iran destroyed many of Israel's military and government facilities (but only killed 24 civilians, since the government and military personnel were all in bomb shelters), so the 12-day war ended because Israel had suffered too much damage to continue, and they were out of ammunition for their air defences.

If Israel and the US use conventional forces,  it is almost certain that Iran will be able to destroy much of the carrier task force and do massive damage to Israel and to US military facilities in the region. They can also close the Strait of Hormuz, killing the Western economies that desperately need Middle East oil.

But Israel has a massive nuclear arsenal that could take out all Iranian defences (and many Iranians), but will they use it?

That's something we might find out very soon.