Nukes?????

There is a rumour that Iran will soon set off a nuke. Where and how they got the nuke is not explained. Maybe the Fatwa from the late Ayatollah meant they got close to a nuke, but not quite across the finish line, but after his passing, his Fatwas passed with him, and they finished the job. Or they might have gotten some help from someone, not at all clear from whom.

The basic idea is that the US were threatening the DPRK until they set off what they said was a nuke on 9 October 2006. A large, underground explosion was picked up on all the measurement instruments that track such things, an explosion that might have been a nuke, or just a huge pile of conventional explosives. The US have been threatening the DPRK on and off since the PRC evicted the US military from the DPRK in 1951, when the US had been close to forming a united Korea as a US puppet state, something the PRC could not allow.

But the second DPRK underground explosion on 25 May 2009 was definitely a nuke, at least 2 kilotons.

That wasn't the last test, but it was enough. The US backed off, and no longer threaten the DPRK.

So many who think that Iran should be left in peace keep saying, 'If they don't have a nuke, the US will keep attacking, doing massive damage, killing lots of Iranians, including schoolchildren, and making the people desperate for the relief that will come when they accept a Shah back, as they were forced to do in 1953, and let BP have all the oil and gas. Legally (under US/UK law) all Iranian oil and gas belongs to BP, which is 50% US and 50% UK owned. Will the US give the UK half? We won't know until the US convinces Iran to surrender and accept a Shah and BP back.

But if Iran have nukes, the US will have to back off, so (again, just a rumour for now) Iran might be planning to set off a nuke, probably underground, as the DPRK did.

Back in 1945, no other country had the tools to detect the US test in New Mexico, but that is no longer the case, so testing a nuke is now enough to convince other countries to leave one alone, it is not necessary to bomb two undefended cities in a country already carpet bombed with conventional weapons and with their army and navy already almost completely destroyed.

And, of course, actually using a nuke could provoke a nuclear response, which testing nukes has (so far) only convinced other nations that it would not be a good idea to attack a nuclear armed nation.

So will Iran actually set off a nuke to convince the US and Israel to back off???? 

***

Meanwhile, Russia have been fighting NATO since 2022, more than four years. I watched various podcasts that said Russia were winning, and the New York Times wasn't saying much about the war in the Ukraine. But then, after a few months, the New York Times wrote that Russia, with old, poorly maintained Soviet weapons, were being destroyed by the Ukraine armed with the most advanced NATO weapons. Russia were unable to kill any of the Ukrainian military, only civilians in undefended Ukrainian villages, while most of the Russian military in the Ukraine had been killed, and Russia were desperately trying to round up young men to be forced to fight and die in the Ukraine. The Ukraine managed to attack and kill many Russians in Moscow at theaters and other such places. It did not look to the New York Times that Russia could hold out much longer: with their economy destroyed by sanctions, so they had no ability to build any new weapons, or even keep their cities running and their people fed, Russia had to collapse.

Reading the New York Times, Russia continue to suffer from a totally destroyed economy and keeps sending young (and also older) men to die in a futile attempt to annex a tiny bit of eastern Ukraine.

Watching the podcasts, it is the Ukrainians who have to send vans to capture young (and older) men and send them to the front to die.

But after four years, Russia have made little progress, only a tiny bit of eastern Ukraine, even if their losses have not been nearly as large as the New York Times reports (New York Times reporters get their news from the most reliable sources, the CIA and MI6, who have accurate intelligence on how the war is going, and we know they would never lie to the various US/UK/EU news outlets).

So, in desperation, several are suggesting that Russia should be escalating to nukes, something that will convince NATO to stop supporting the Ukraine, after which the Ukraine will have to accept Russian terms.

***

And the famous American newspaper reporter Seymour Hersh says that the US is thinking that the simplest answer to the Iran war is to nuke Iran. Obviously, the US have thousands of nukes so no one would dare respond with more than a not-too-harsh statement to the effect that the US might have responded with a somewhat less intense response to Iranian aggression, but not much more than that.

*** 

The US stated, after nuking Japan, that all their nukes were U₂₃₅. I read a Disney comic book back in the '60s about how U₂₃₅ was the most powerful explosive in the world, that a tiny flake would cause a huge explosion that would fill the Grand Canyon.

But then, years later, I read about the Chicago Pile. The US finally admitted that one of the nukes was Plutonium, which is very easy to produce if one has 50 tonnes of yellowcake and metallic uranium (the US gave Israel 100 tonnes). I have seen the public US descriptions of how easy it is to make a U₂₃₅ bomb, in the hopes that everyone who wants a nuke will try to make a U₂₃₅ nuke, something we have no reliable record that anyone has actually been able to do, so the US keep repeating that that is the easiest way to make a nuke, in fact the only way to make a nuke with only a small amount of uranium. I recently watched a podcast that less than 5 kilos of U₂₃₅ is enough for a nuke, and is very easy for any nation to produce. The US have been saying this since 1945, but there is no hard evidence that anyone has ever actually succeeded in building a U₂₃₅ nuke (but the US keep lying that their 1945 nukes were U₂₃₅ and the easiest and best way to build a nuke is to use U₂₃₅).

The DPRK apparently had 50 tonnes of yellowcake and metallic uranium. Basically, every nation with 50 tonnes of yellowcake and metallic uranium that want a nuke have a nuke. Nations without 50 tonnes of yellowcake and metallic uranium don't have one, but the US accuse of them of being close to a nuke as one of many justifications to attack and claim all their resources as war reparations. Of course, if one wants all their resources, one can't actually nuke them, or those resources would be too radioactive to be of any value.

So the US accuse Iran of trying to build a nuke as a casus belli.

***

I worked in the US defence industry for several years. I have a STEM degree, so the US government kept giving defence contractors a lot of money to hire me. My contract said that if I quit, I had to repay the US. 

My first day, they said, 'You were hired as a STEM person. We don't need any T or E, only S and M, Sales and marketing. Your quota is $250,000. Where are you going to get that money?' I had no idea, and they told me, if I had any decency, I'd quit because I was totally unqualified to do the job (they hoped I hadn't bothered to read my contract). So they had me dig holes and fill them up for a year.

I finally got a job where the government demanded they actually demonstrate a STEM result that they had claimed (but hadn't actually achieved) and my contract didn't have any requirement that I repay the government if I quit, so I solved their problem, got my pay cheque, and quit doing defense work.

The defence companies are all totally corrupt, so those US weapons that destroyed Iraq with minimal US losses don't work very well against a nation like Iran.

Also, Iraq were dependent on food and medicine imports, so the US sanctions (really, a blockade, which is an act of war) killed more than 500,000 Iraqis before the war started, something the US say was 'well worth it'.

But Iran grow their own food and produce most of the medicines they need (and they have had, since 2021, customers for their oil and gas who don't care about US sanctions, and who will sell Iran things they desperately need that are banned by those sanctions). So Iran are not suffering the way that Iraq suffered before the war started.

And the Iranian government did not fall as quickly and easily as the Iraqi or Libyan or Venezuelan governments, and they are proving that they do already have a nuke, not a U₂₃₅ or Plutonium nuke, a Strait nuke. And the US have tried everything their military can think of, but Iran still have their Strait nuke (using a Plutonium nuke would leave the Strait too radioactive to be of much use).

So where will the US go from here? No idea.

*** 

My guess is that Iran will stick with a Strait nuke and won't bother with a Plutonium nuke, and Russia will not nuke Ukraine: it's not like nuking a country on the other side of the world, the Ukraine are much too close to be a good target for nukes. Which leaves the US the most likely nation to nuke someone, and they have a history of nuking nations that won't be able to do anything about it.

8 June What a ceasefire????

Iran agreed to a ceasefire if the US and Israel would agree to stop striking Iran, Lebanon, and Ghaza. Of course, as Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov says, the US is 'agreement incapable.'

So the US has bombed Iran in 'retaliation for Iranian strikes on the US military,' strikes that apparently came after the bombing that was in retaliation for those strikes, while doing nothing to stop Israel from bombing Ghaza and Lebanon, something Israel never promised to stop, while the US had agreed with Iranian demands that Israel would stop bombing.

Iran are now annoyed and have bombed Bahrain for hosting the US fleet and Kuwait for hosting the US aircraft that struck Iran, clearly unprovoked and illegal bombing by Iran, while the US and Israeli bombings are entirely justified, just ask any Zionist and they'll tell you that Israel have every right to all the land between the northernmost tip of the Euphrates to the southernmost tip of the Nile, and so, if goyim are stealing any of that land, the Zionists have every right to bomb those thieves, which includes the Turks and the Iranians, plus most of the Palestinians and the Lebanese.

Israel say they must totally eradicate those who killed Israelis on 7 October 2023, which means everyone in Ghaza, all of whom are guilty, and everyone in Lebanon except the top government officials who are Christian and Sunni, and who would be grateful to Israel if they would get rid of all the Shia in Lebanon, especially Hezbollah, and they wouldn't mind if Israel also took out the Christian and Sunni rabble, leaving all of North Beirut for the top Christian and Sunni elites (and the rest of Lebanon part of Israel).

Iran remain quite capable of striking Israel and all the Arab States bordering the Gulf with Two Names (it's the Arabian Gulf on the Southwest and the Persian Gulf on the Northeast, and has had those two names for as long as we have records in Arabic and Farsi). It is not at all clear how much damage Iran can do to Israel: very few Israelis have been killed or injured, since Israel have been preparing for war for years with lots of bomb-proof shelters where Israelis can be safe (not comfortable, but safe, so there are many complaints about having to spend too much time in the shelters).

The Arab States, unlike Israel who downplay as nonexistent, or at most minimal, all damages, deaths, and injuries, complain vehemently about the loss of property and lives and the injuries to many who were too near an Iranian strike. But the number killed and injured by Iranian strikes in the Gulf Arab States is very small. In Iraq there was fighting between pro- and anti-Iranian forces with a total of more than 100 killed.

The US bombing of Iran, in contrast, killed thousands of Iranians and injured many more.

The US say their strikes on Iran destroyed more than 30% of Iranian weapons, since it was difficult to destroy the buried and hidden weapons, but the US say that, with the intelligence gathered since the ceasefire, they now know how to destroy the remaining 70% should Iran provoke a US attack.

Iran say their weapons factories, hidden where the US cannot find nor bomb them, have produced enough new weapons they now have more than 100% of the weapons they had 28 February, and will do far more damage to the military assets of the US, Israel, and the Gulf Arab states still supporting the US if attacked again.

All US/UK/EU mainstream media report that they have checked and verified that all US claims are true and all Iranian claims are false, so, if the US decides to finish the job, to ensure that Iran cannot built a large nuclear arsenal and threaten the world, they will be able to do so by totally destroying all of Iran's military and nuclear capabilities. The pro-Trump media say Trump could finish the job, while the anti-Trump media say Trump is a worse than useless president who has not and cannot accomplish anything, but his successor will finish the job.

There is, of course, no reliable source who can guarantee that Iran's weaponry has been decreased by a third and the rest can now be taken out with little difficulty by the US and Israel or who can guarantee that Iran's weaponry has been upgraded and will do far more damage to US, Israeli, and Arab Gulf State assets than has already been done.

So, with all the claims and strident efforts to obscure what has actually been happening, we don't really know much. We know what we've been told, but some of us suspect that what we've been told could just possibly be false. 

31 May: War or Not???

A friend says that the US must restart the war, but will wait until after the World Cup. However, Michael Hudson figures the US will start the war today, Sunday, 31 May 2026, or tomorrow, 1 June.

The US goal is control of all the oil in the world. Some say the Iraq war was a disaster, but it wasn't: the US got all the Iraqi oil, and generously gave 10% to the UK for helping. Some say the US got nothing out of killing Qaddafi, but, again, that's not true, the US got all the Libyan oil and gave 10% to the UK and 10% to France for helping (the French learned from the Iraq war that one should always help the US, since that pays better than not helping).

Syria was a little different. The US got all the oil, but there wasn't that much. The idea was to get rid of the horrible dictator Assad and replace him with a good, democratic leader like Jolani, a good Zionist who helped Israel with their 13 June and 28 February attacks on Iran (Assad had anti-aircraft that he used against any Israeli plane that flew over Syria, so Iran had to fly around Syria or, if the target was in Syria, use expensive missiles rather than cheap bombs, so he was obviously a horrible dictator and anti-Semite who had to go).

In any case, Iran has to go. All Iranian oil was discovered by UK developers, so it was all UK property until Prime Minister Mosaddek nationalised the oil in 1951. After WWII, the UK was too weak to get rid of Mosaddek, but MI6 knew to ask the CIA who arrested Mosaddek, made the Shah supreme leader of Iran,  and the Shah returned all the oil in Iran to the rightful (under US/UK law) owners, BP, now 50% owned by the UK and 50% owned by the US.

Great! But then, in 1979, the Iranians, led by an Ayatollah, overthrew the Shah and not only took all the oil, they took every American in the Embassy in Tehran hostage. President Carter sent a rescue mission that was destroyed by a desert sandstorm, so Carter lost the 1980 election and was replaced by President Reagan who paid a big ransom to Iran and got all the American hostages released.

But the Iranians kept all their oil, totally illegally under US/UK law,, so the US blockaded Iran, making it impossible for anyone to buy any Iranian oil or sell Iran anything like food or medicine. The blockade of Iraq killed about 500,000 Iraqis, and the US said it was well worth it to get all the Iraqi oil back in the hands of the legal (under US law) owners.

But Iran grows enough food to prevent starvation or even malnutrition, and enough medicine for the most common diseases, so the Iranians dying from no access to medicine was not nearly as many as in Iraq (and Iran have a larger population).

So the US keep pressing on to get that oil returned. As Trump says, no president has been able to get that oil back, but he's making great progress and will get it all bacdk and will remove a horribly anti-Semitic government of Iran that condemns Israel killing Arab terrorists like the babies in Gaza and South Lebanon (but he still doesn't have the oil back).

That the US will attack again to get their (and the UK) oil back seems certain, but whether it will be before or after the World Cup is anyone's guess. 

27 May: What's Next?

 The US have offered Iran that they will accept Iran's complete surrender, in the mind of the US, a very generous offer, since the alternative is to eliminate Iran completely.

Iran keeps playing their Strait, while Trump holds all the Uno cards.

It should be noted that, while this is denied, Iran had some surreptitious help from Russia and the PRC: devices to block Starlink terminals and lead Iranian forces to the holders of Starlink terminals, which had quite an impact in December 2025 and early January 2026. And it is not clear if Iran produced every last part of the missiles that destroyed the US military bases in some of the Arab Gulf countries and struck somewhere in Israel. The world can see the damage to US military bases, since the Arab Gulf countries allowed news agencies to film the damage, but we have no idea how much damage those missiles did to Israel, since no one except the Israeli government is allowed to know the extent of that damage.

It is not altogether clear why the US and Israel stopped bombing Iran, although running low on bombs may have been part of the reason. Iran managed to go up the escalation ladder, doing more and more damage (that we know) to the US military bases and the Gulf Arab states as the US and Israel bombed Iran, until it seemed to the US (and maybe Israel) that a ceasefire was called for.

But the US keep demanding that Iran hand over all weapons and all uranium with unlimited US inspections to verify that all weapons and uranium have been turned over, and also agree to allow free passage through the Strait (of course, if Iran have no weapons of any kind, it would be difficult for them to have any impact on ships passing through the Strait, which is the idea). After which, the US would be able to select the leader of Iran, and would insist on someone like the new leader of Venezuela, who would agree that all Iranian oil and gas belong to BP, the legal owner under US/UK law.

For inexplicable reasons, Iran have not yet accepted that generous offer from the US.

So, at this point, we have no idea what the US and Israel will do. We know Israel plan to annex the southern part of Lebanon, maybe all of Lebanon, destroying all of Beirut, making it unlivable, after which a new, Israeli city will be built, one where only Israelis are allowed to live.

Israel say all they want is what is rightfully theirs, which, as the US Ambassador to Israel agreed when talking to Tucker Carlson, is everything from the Euphrates to the Nile. 

The Iranians say that part of the terms to which they insist Israel and the US agree is that Israel must withdraw from Lebanon and Gaza and stop all military action in both. Since the US and Israeli terms are that Iran must cease to exist, there seems to be rather a large distance between the minimal demands of the parties involved.

And it is not at all clear what, if anything, Russia and the PRC will do to help the three parties come to some kind of peaceful settlement. 

18 May: When (and Who) Will Strike Iran???

Several 'experts' say the US want the attack on Iran to be on a weekend, so the stocks can't crash as the strike appears on the news.

But the 2025 strike was very early on a Friday, not long after midnight. That strike, the US were not involved, only the Israelis, and they killed all the top generals with drones, having found out where they all lived and destroying their homes. They also tried to kill the Ayatollah, but he wasn't home, and the President, who was home, but the drone failed to kill him, and his injuries were described as minor.

The 2026 strike was on a Saturday, but the day was not picked by Israel and/or the US, it was picked by the Ayatollah, since he believed that it was best to be martyred during Ramadan. The most senior generals were hidden, but Israel had bought one of them and he revealed the secret room where they were to be to meet with the Ayatollah, then he excused himself from the meeting and called the Israelis to say all the senior generals were in the room he'd told the Israelis about, and the Israelis bombed the room and killed all those generals.

Of course, all those generals had a second in command, so the seconds immediately took over control of the military, and Iran have detailed plans for what to do when the Ayatollah in charge dies, so the promised total collapse of the government and military, and the uprising of all the Iranian people predicted by massive polls of all the Iranians in the US/UK/EU didn't seem to be forthcoming.

What was forthcoming was a massive Iranian attack on US bases around the Gulf with Two Names (the Arabs all call it the Arabian Gulf while all the Persians call it the Persian Gulf), an attack that did $billions of damage to American military assets. This attack by the Iranians was totally illegal under international law, while the US/Israeli attack was totally legal (the US, not Iran, get to say what International Law is).

Net: we have no idea what day the US and/or Israelis will attack Iran, but an attack is considered certain by the Iranians and many other observers. 

17 May 2026: When Will the US Resume the War on Iran???

The US ran out of bombs and agreed to a ceasefire, officially, to give the Iranians time to surrender before more schoolgirls were killed.

Under US law, every one of those young schoolgirls died because she was forced by the Iranian government to attend a school for terrorists, so the Iranian government are entirely responsible for the deaths of all those young girls.

But, as of now, the Iranians still, illegally under US law, have gated the Strait of Hormuz, opening it to ships they like for no payment or a small payment, and closing it to ships they don't like or that refuse to pay the toll.

President Trump says that President Xi agrees that the Strait must be open, and supports the American military effort to re-open the Strait.

The PRC do not seem to totally agree with the official US position: they want the Strait open, but, of course, the Iranians have said it is completely and totally open to all PRC ships, and, in addition, after what happened in 2021, the US Navy are not seizing any PRC oil tankers.

In any case, Israel have it in their version of the Torah that all of West Asia legally belongs to Israel, and intend to take it all, including Iran. And they expect the US to help them.

Trump would prefer peace, as one saw if one looked, but then the men in dark suits and dark glasses had a little talk with him and said that, if he does not go on camera and order war, he'll get the same great funeral that JFK got.

So Trump ordered war. The war on Syria got rid of Assad, who was an anti-Zionist, and replaced him with Jolani, a good Zionist who says he totally supports Israel and let them fly over Syria to attack Iran in June 2025 and February, March, and April 2026.

And, with full support from Jolani, most expect Israel to strike Iran again, very soon, with the full support and cooperation of the US.

9 May 2026: US fired on 7 May, as predicted, but not much. 16 or 17 May???

President Trump is scheduled to meet with PRC leaders on 14 and 15 May, so no big attack on 7 May, a date predicted by some for the resumption of US/Israeli attacks on Iran. A few shots were fired by US Navy ships on 7 May, and shots returned by Iran, but nothing much.

The PRC have been helping Iran, so Trump doesn't want to be in the middle of a major war during his visit, and so the attack that the Zionists want seems to be postponed until after the visit, and it is said that whoever is really in charge prefers weekend attacks that won't shock the markets. This theory is contradicted by the fact that Trump announces peace shortly after some punters bought puts on oil, and then announces that the peace initiative failed after the punters cashed their puts and bought calls on oil. How much Trump (or his close family members) made on the markets is unknown, but someone seems to have known about the declaration of peace and the nullification of that declaration and made a lot of money from that knowledge. Anyway, just good business: it has always been the case that the big boys (and now the big girls like Pelosi) have access to information denied to most of us.

All the Zionists keep saying that Iran must be destroyed, they are a mortal threat to everyone in the US, they are only a very few days away from nuking the US. And some believe them.

Trump has declared total victory several times. I've heard him say, 'We've destroyed the entire Iranian Army, Air Force, and Navy and all their weapons, and we've killed all their leaders.'

But he's never added the obvious, 'so now we can go home and forget all about Iran.'

Sadly, the Zionists keep pointing out that Iran still control the Strait, in spite of having no army, navy, air force or weapons, so the job isn't done, and won't be done until there is no Iran on the map.

And the Zionists are in control of the US of A (and, a fortiori, Trump), so the war will definitely continue after Trump gets back from the PRC, but when, exactly, the war will resume won't be clear until the bombs start falling.

7 May, Will the US Start the New War on Iran Today?

 Trump declared that the US war on Iran, called "Epic Fury" had ended in April.

The US Constitution says that only Congress can declare war, but, with nukes, the idea was that war might last half an hour, and it takes Congress at least a day to convene and vote, and the war would be over (with the US losing) before the Congress could even gather, let alone have the House and Senate agree on a Declaration of War and pass the declaration. So the Congress voted that the US President can declare a military operation, but he must get Congressional Approval before 60 days.

Trump's 60 days started on 28 February, so they ended in April. Trump did not go to Congress, but a few days ago, he said the operation ended before the 60 day limit, it was over, done.

So now Trump, probably under orders from Bibi, is planning to start another war, and the rumour mill says the new war is scheduled to start today, 7 May.

Will the US try a land invasion? A massive bombing run? Trying to shoot some Iranian fishermen?

No one can be absolutely certain that the date of 7 May is the confirmed date for the next iteration of a totally new military operation against Iran, an operation that US President Trump has every legal right to start, since the old operation was closed before the 60 day limit.

We might find out if the rumour about a new military operation against Iran is true early on 7 May, or perhaps late on 7 May. 

And it is possible that nothing of military interest will happen on 7 May.

But we will find out soon enough. 

Trump wanted to nuke Iran?????

We have videos of General Dan Caine, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, leaving the White House with his head down. There is wide disagreement about what this meant.

The best story (not most accurate, but best as in 'most news worthy') is that Trump wanted to nuke Iran, but the procedure for nuking required that Caine verify the nuke, and Caine refused and stormed out of the White House, leaving Trump unable to nuke Iran.

There are a lot of Trump haters who hated Trump when his only big public appearance was doing The Apprentice, a show many loved and many hated. They want anything that makes Trump look bad.

I saw Trump try to keep the US out of the war to overthrow the Syrian government. Twice! Two times, Trump ordered all US troops out of Syria, but he was put up three times to talk about the US in Syria, and the third time he ordered US troops into Syria to overthrow the government. The overthrow didn't happen until the last year of Biden's presidency, but the US managed to remove Assad and replace him with Jolani, a good Zionist who gave Israel all of what had been Syria south of Damascus, and shut down all Syrian air defences, so Israel can fly over Syria to attack Iran.

So most agree that it's great that Trump was moved from his stupid anti-war stance to a 'destroy every nation in West Asia and North Afrida and give all their lands to the Zionists!'

We have no idea what really happened that caused General Caine to storm out of the White House, nor do we know if Trump can do the right thing, as the US did in 1953, and change the evil government  in Iran to a good government that will return all Iranian oil to the rightful owner, BP (50% owned by the US).

I remember, back in 1973, watching the old Shah on TV saying the world needed to conserve the precious oil that was running out, meaning BP had to pay him more for Iranian oil. So the US found a cleric in Paris whose only goal was making sure all Iranian women dressed in black and covered their hair, so the US got rid of the Shah (who was dying of cancer) and put the Ayatollah in as the ruler of Iran.

Only the Ayatollah didn't return all the oil, he wanted to steal it, make it all Iranian oil, sell it, and use the money for heaven only knows what, but whatever it was, stealing BP oil was obviously terrorism, and the US started planning how to get rid of the Ayatollah. And the Iranians took all the Americans in the American Embassy in Tehran hostage, and President Carter's attempt to rescue them resulting in some American soldiers dying in a sandstorm, so the American voters chose Reagan who had promised to pay the Iranians to release the hostages. After Reagan took office, he paid and the Iranians sent all the hostages back to the US, so the US put on sanctions and a naval blockade so the Iranians could not sell any of their stolen BP oil (owned 50% by the US and 50% by the British).

Until 2021 when a navy that was much stronger than the small US fleet blockading Iran came protecting a fleet of oil tankers that bought, paid (a fraction of the market price) for, and filled up with just about all the oil Iran had available for sale.

The US remain determined to return every drop of Iranian oil to BP, but Israel don't care about Iranian oil, they just want rid of Iran, so a discussion is going on between the Israeli leadership and the American leadership: the easiest way to get rid of the evil Iranian oil thieves is to nuke them, but then all that oil will be too radioactive to use in the US/UK/EU, so it can only be sold for a tiny amount to third-world countries that don't care if their drivers and passengers get radiation poisoning, so the owners of BP are not fond of that good Zionist solution to the problem.

Barring nukes, no quick solution seems available, and the Zionists don't want to wait, so we'll just have to wait and see who is stronger: the owners of BP or the Zionists.

My Arab source is sure Israel will eventually use nukes, and they'd like the US to use at least one as well so it won't be all Israel, but the US are reluctant to use even one small nuke, so my Arab source says he thinks they will pither around until late May before nuking Iran.

Pausing for a Month???

The person or persons really running the US of A had Trump, the designated Announcer of Official American Policy, say there would be a 'ceasefire' ending yesterday, Wednesday, at around 12:01 am Washington, DC time. But sometime around 11 pm Tuesday, Trump announced the ceasefire would be extended by a month, but the US blockade would continue, costing Iran more than $500 billion a day in income until they cannot continue as everyone, including the Ayatollahs, are starving, so they will have to surrender and agree to all the US/Israeli terms.

Official US sources say that US blockade have stopped all traffic to Iran, no oil is being sold, no food is being bought, so a month of such sanctions should force surrender without the US having to waste good taxpayers' dollars bombing Iran.

Foreign sources say quite a few ships are making it to and from Iran, since the US blockade is enough to stop one ship every few days, and the ships they're stopping are mostly empty. Of course, only the US sources always tell the the TRVTH, the whole TRVTH, and nothing but the TRVTH, so those Iranians rioting in the streets every night waving the Islamic flags that have the name 'Allah' written where the old flags, used when the Shah was in charge (as a US puppet), had a lion holding a sword, are only waving those 'Allah' flags because they couldn't find any of those lion flags, and they all want the Shah back. 

As a primitive people, the ordinary Iranians have no use for the oil and gas that legally (under US/UK law) belongs to BP, a company 50% owned by the UK and 50% owned by the US, and all those ordinary Iranians are desperate to return to the simple life under the Shah and the CIA/MI6-run Savak that kept all the oil and gas going to BP, a little money going to the Shah and Savak, and the ordinary Iranians living the simple, pre-industrial life. (Sorry, times change, so update that 'CIA/MI6-run Savak' to the new status of a CIA/MI6/Mossad-run Savak, with Mossad, now really in charge, politely taking third place.)

The big question is, what happens next? The Zionists running Israel, many rich enough to fly to Epstein's Island, where they spent their time on the Island doing the hard work of running the world, are not willing to waste a month during the promised 'ceasefire,' which is only planned to be long enough to move the troops and materiel into place and get the Iranian guard down, then they certainly won't wait the entire promised month, but will strike. According to my Arab sources, they'll almost certainly use nukes.

As I've said before, US oiligarchs don't like that solution since their oil and gas will be too radioactive to sell to Western nations, so they'll have to sell it all at deep discounts to Third World nations. But those whose money is mostly from other sources than oil and gas figure the nuke option will be the quickest and easiest way to solve the Iran problem and let the Russians and Chinese know that, if they step out of line, they'll be next, so a great plan, and one those really in charge will probably use at a time when it is least expected and Iran is as unprepared as possible. 

Dee Lie Leh?

Prof Mearsheimer says the world desperately needs an agreement that returns Persian/Arabian Gulf Oil to the world market, or we'll be facing a Global Depression that will make 1929 seem like a very minor economic setback.

As Prof. Mearsheimer says, the US desperately needs a deal: Iran have been sanctioned and unable to sell their oil for many years, while the world got about a third of the energy resources needed from Arab sources, but now Arab products are mostly blocked by Iran, and the US military are unable to break the Iranian block, so the world is now getting about 30% less oil, gas, fertilizer, helium, etc., etc.

Which leaves a couple of solutions. One is to accept Iran's demands, and let all the Persian/Arabian Gulf products back on the world market. The alternative of trying to live without those products is something close to a total collapse of the world economy, as in mass starvation, caused by a massive reduction in the total number of gasoline/diesel powered vehicles and all the stuff they deliver, plus much less food production because of the lack of fertilizer, and the inability to manufacture lots of the items we desperately need that cannot be produced without helium.

The only way to not appease Iran and not have the world's worst Depression seems to be the Samson Option. Reliable sources have photos/videos showing the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Kane, leaving the White House with his head down; unreliable sources interpreted that head down as meaning General Kane was very angry/disturbed by Trump's announcement that he plans to use nukes on Iran.

Of course, the US doesn't have to be the nation to use the nukes, Israel is quite capable of nuking Iran, with or without a US joint nuclear strike.

It is certainly looking like Delilah has done her work and Samson is now blind, and ready to pull down the pillars in the Temple of Dagon.

An Arab friend predicts Israel, with or without the US, will nuke Iran before the end of April, which is only 9 days away, and the ceasefire officially ends 22 April.

***

After the 9/11 attack in 2001, President Bush, Jr announced that all the hijackers were Afghans, members of the Taliban, none were from Saudi Arabia, and he sent the US military into Afghanistan, where they made great improvements in things like agriculture. Afghanistan, before the Taliban, had been a big producer of opium, but the Taliban had put an end to that valuable crop. Fortunately, the US and allies fixed that, returning Afghanistan to a major producer, along with many other great improvements. But, in 2003 President Bush, Jr gave what the Washington Post calls one of the best State of the Union Addresses ever, when Bush, Jr noted his big mistake in 2001 saying only Afghanis were involved. 

In fact, Iran planned and funded the attack and trained all the 9/11 attackers, who were not all Afghans, but also included Iraqi and DPRK terrorists (to which, a few days after the State of the Union address, Bush, Jr. also added Libyans, Syrians, and Cubans).

It was in 2007 that General Wesley Clark said that he remembered hearing sometime around 20 September 2001 that the US would take out "seven countries in five years, starting with Iraq, and then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and, finishing off, Iran.'"

The US got all the oil in Iraq, Syria, and Libya, that we know of (and gave some to the UK and France for helping). 

We also know that the British did the exploration and development of all the oil in Iran from around 1900 until 1951, when Prime Minister Mosaddek stole all their oil, and the UK were too weak to take it back. Iran had never been a British colony, the legal Head of State was an ethnic Iranian, the Shah, but the Entail was made and revised by the British, and they replaced Shahs they did not like with Shahs that they did like. But by 1951, the UK were too weak to do anything, so they had the US go in and gaol Mosaddek and returned the ownership of all the oil in Iran to BP, which was split 50/50 between the UK and US. All went well until the Ayatollah stole that oil in 1979, and the US have been trying to get it back ever since.

So the US want Iran back under the Shah, all power taken from the Ayatollahs, and all the oil returned to BP.

But that oil won't be worth much if it is too radioactive to use safely (well, the US could still sell it to third world nations, but would probably have to give a great discount). So the US do not want Israel to nuke Iran, unless that is the only alternative available: better a nuked Iran than a free Iran that might give ideas to other nations.

So we are very likely to see the Samson Option before the end of April. 

Straight Flush???

As several have noted, Iran have been trying to acquire a Weapon of Mass Destruction for 40 years, and, on 28 February 2026, they had one: the Strait of Hormuz. At least 20% of the world economy requires the traffic of energy, fertilizer, helium, and other critical products that go through that Strait, and Iran, which never touched that Strait before 28 February 2016, the day the US and Israel killed the Ayatollah, Iran blocked the Strait and said no ship could use it except those ships allowed by Iran.

Insurers would not insure ships going through the state, and ship owners will not risk a ship that is not insured, so the world are facing a major depression in about four to six months unless Iran relents.

Iran did relent when Israel stopped bombing Lebanon, for a whole day, when Israel continued to bomb Lebanon while promising (or being promised by the US) that they would stop, then closed the Strait when the US and Israel did not fulfill their agreements with Iran.

So the world economy is back on course for a Depression that will make the US Great Depression of 1929–1941 seem like a very mild recession.

And we're still waiting for the Samson Option, which an Arab friend predicts will happen before the end of this month. Not that the Samson Option will necessarily leave a usable Strait, but at least there won't be many Iranians to continue rejoicing in their victory over Israel and the US of A, so Israel and the USA will be able to rejoice in their 'victory'. 

US-Iran War Over, Iran Lost???

According to the Western Media, the war is now over and Iran lost. Iran have agreed that they will no longer impede any ship that wishes to pass through the Strait, while the US will continue to limit the Strait to only non-Iranian ships that did not do any trade with Iran. And Iran will hand over all their uranium and weapons.

Great ending to Iran's attempt to challenge the US, the strongest military power the world have ever seen, and probably the strongest military power the world ever will see.

Oops.

Iran demanded that there be peace in Lebanon, and Israel have stopped waging war against Lebanon, at least for now (not clear just how long).

Iran are still in control of the Strait. No military ships allowed, and no enemy merchant ships, but non-military ships may pass if they apply for and receive permission from Iran to pass the Strait.

And the ships Iran have been allowing to pass have sailed past the US blockade without any problems, including ships that bought items from Iran, and Iran are selling oil, gas, fertilizer, helium, and other essential items.

So clearly, a complete and total victory for the US, and a complete and total surrender for Iran. 

Getting Closer to Samson???

The official US news is that 99% of Iranians hate their government, and, with just a teeny bit of help from the US, they will take over and end one of history's greatest injustices: Beginning around 1900, the UK explored, drilled, and developed their oil fields around the Gulf with Two Names (it's the Persian Gulf on the northeast side, and the Arabian Gulf on the southwest side, and has been for a very long time).

Then, in 1951, the evil Mosaddek stole all that British  oil, but the UK, after WWII, was not the powerful empire that it had been, it had already lost the Raj, their most valuable colony, and were rapidly losing the rest of the British Empire, so they asked the US for help, and help they were given. The CIA went in, arrested Mosaddek, put the Shah back in as head of state instead of a figurehead, and put the CIA/MI6-led Savak in to keep the Shah in power and keep all the oil as property of BP, now 50% UK owned and 50% US owned.

But the Shah got cancer and scruples and talked about preserving the oil for future generations, so he had to go, and Iran was given to an Ayatollah in France who was only concerned with keeping women in their place in Iran, he didn't care about the oil which would return to BP control. So the US/UK put the Ayatollah in power, and he declared that everyone in the US embassy was a hostage. President Carter had no idea what to do. The rescue mission hit a sandstorm and all were lost.

Reagan offered the Ayatollah a lot of money to keep the US embassy personnel hostages until Reagan won the election and took office in '81, when President Reagan would give Iran a huge ransom for all the hostages, and the Ayatollah agreed, so Carter lost the election, Reagan won, paid Iran, and got all the US hostage safely back in the US.

Anti-Ayatollah Iranians found it very easy to get US visas and passports, and they and their kids all want Iran to get the Shah back (the Shah says, once the US makes him the ruler of Iran, he'll stay in the US and act as sovereign and make sure whatever the CIA and Mossad want, he'll make the official Law in Iran).

Anyway, the US ordered Iran not to miss the meeting on 15 June 2025, but they missed the meeting, so Israel attacked Iran on 13 June 2025 for missing the meeting on 15 June 2025, killing all the Iranian generals and professors of nuclear physics (or, as Walt Kelley said, 'new, clear, fizzicks, not so new, not so clear, and nary a fizz). Then Israel bombed Iran for 10 days, then the US totally obliterated all the Iranian nuclear bomb development facilities, Iran retaliated by sending one missile to the US base in Qatar, and the 12 Day War was over.

Then, December 2025, the US Treasury Secretary went to all the international currency computers and crashed the Iranian currency, making it worthless, so no shop could replenish any of the stock they had sold, and customers could not buy anything, and peaceful protests started, soon joined by peaceful protesters sent by Mossad, the CIA, nd MI6, well-armed peaceful protesters who shot police and other protesters, all coordinated with Starlink terminals that let Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 tell them where the weapons were located, and where the next riot was to take place to kill off all the Iranians who supported the Ayatollah and did not want the Shah to resume being Supreme Leader of Iran. Good plan, but the evil Russians and Chinese gave Iran devices that could block Starlink, so those peaceful protesters could not ask where to find the weapons they needed for their peaceful protests, and those devices let Iran find all the Starlink terminals and arrest all the peaceful protesters.

So the planned attack on 14 Jan 2026 had to be postponed until 6 February, but the Ayatollah said he'd be at home on 28 February talking to all the top government officials, so the attack was rescheduled (again) for 28 February.

One Iranian general was a good Mossad agent, and he knew where the generals would be when they were talking with the Ayatollah on 28 February, and he told Israel and the US, so on 28 February, during the meeting, the US and Israel took out the Ayatollah and all his family, and all the generals (the good general working for Mossad excused himself from the meeting and left just before the US/Israeli attack), and the Ayatollah and all the Iranian generals were removed, making it very easy for the good Iranians to take over and install the Shah and Savak as …

 Oops. The old Iranian government had survivors who took over, and a few of them are still running the Iranian government.

My Arab friend (who has a US passport) says Israel will use the Samson option before the end of April, and a lot of the podcasts I watch figure he's right.

Some figure Trump will order a US nuclear attack on Iran, but most figure it will be Israel on their own, they have at least 300 nukes, and maybe some of those are thermonuclear (all secret, so no one knows, but we're likely to find out before the end of April, 2026).

How Close are We to Sampson????

The US sent Israel about 100 tonnes of uranium/yellowcake. It takes about 50 tonnes to make a bomb. Israel is estimated to have 100 to 300 nuclear bombs, just nuclear, not thermonuclear (they say).

Enough of the people responsible have talked that we're pretty sure this is a fact, and it took the US only 50 tonnes of uranium/yellowcake to make the first three bombs, one tested in White Sands, New Mexico and two tested in Japan at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. It seemed like they killed a lot of people in Japan, but then they made much bigger thermonuclear weapons, but none of these have ever been used in war, so the record for deaths is from their use in Japan.

Not clear if Israel has any thermonuclear weapons. Anyone with more than 50 tonnes of uranium/yellowcake can make a lot of nuclear bombs, but it takes hydrogen to make a thermonuclear weapon.

Basically, every country that has 50 tonnes of uranium/yellowcake and wants a bomb, has a bomb. The nations with no nuclear bombs either lack the 50 tonnes of uranium or just don't want a bomb. And Israel has at least 100 tonnes of uranium/yellowcake, so we can assume they have some bombs, exact number Classified TS/SCI/NOFORN, but probably between 100 and 300, and maybe some thermonukes, or maybe not.

So, it's looking like Israel needs to nuke Iran, and the big question is, 'Will the US help, or leave Israel to nuke Iran all by themselves???'

There doesn't seem to be any question at this point of 'Will Israel nuke Iran?' only  a question of how many of their 300 bombs will Israel use?

Japan would be forced to concede defeat after the USSR joined the war on 8 August, but it took time for the details of the bomb and the USSR invasion to reach the Japanese leadership, so the US dropped another bomb before the Japanese surrendered on 15 August.

But the US only had 3 nuclear bombs in August, 1945, one to test and two to drop on Japan, while Israel have at least 100 and probably more than 300, and some of those might be thermonuclear.

So not much will be left of Iran, but the oil will be too radioactive to use, and the US have been at war with Iran ever since the Ayatollah stole all the Iranian oil from BP, which is 50% owned by the US (and 50% owned by the UK), so the US want the oil with few or no nukes, while Israel figure it's more important to ensure that Iran can never again challenge Israel, and if that takes carpet nuking, then so be it.

After which, everyone knows all of West Asia and much of North Africa will be Israeli, and all the goyim will be strongly encouraged to leave if they don't want to end up like the Iranians.

Trump: Worst President Ever?????

People like Judge Napolitano and his guests condemn Trump as the worst president they have ever seen, but I fear they need a visit to their ophthalmologist.

I watched President Trump, during his first term, order all US troops out of Syria.

OK.

Then, another press conference, and, again, President Trump ordered all US troops out of Syria.

Why two press conferences to give the exact same order?

Then, another press conference, and this time Trump ordered US troops into Syria to steal all the oil, and promised that this would not cost the US anything.

So what happened?

Obviously, there was a Teleprompter, as there has been a Teleprompter for the US President for about as long as Teleprompters have been available. As I recall, President Reagan used notes, but that was more than 35 years ago.

So Trump tended to ignore the Teleprompter, and failed to say what he was supposed to say and said something else, but if important persons came to the White House without the usual speech announcing their arrival and how happy the US was to see them, a few people were annoyed, but no real damage was done.

However, ordering the US troops out of Syria when the Teleprompter said 'into Syria' is not allowed.

So the staff tried explaining this to Trump, and told him he had to do it again, and this time read the Teleprompter.

But, for a second time, Trump ignored the Teleprompter and ordered all US troops out of Syria.

That's when the men in dark suits and dark glasses had a little talk with Trump and told him, if he didn't want to read the Teleprompter, no problem, he'd get a great funeral, just as good as JFK's. And they made it clear that their predecessors had gotten rid of Kennedy for not doing as he was told, and they'd be very happy to do the same for Trump.

Trump, however, tossed a bone to his voters, he said, 'I order the troops into Syria to steal the oil. This won't cost the US taxpayers anything, in fact, it will make money and reduce taxes.'

This wasn't what was on the Teleprompter, 'I order the US troops into Syria to bring freedom and democracy,' but it was enough, the troops went in, they stole all the oil and wheat, and with no money to pay the Syrian Arab Army, Assad was easily overthrown by Julani, who promptly gave Israel the right to fly over Syria, something Assad never allowed, and gave Israel all of Syria south of Damascus, which is a good start, so Julani is a good Wahhabi Zionist, and one cannot think of a better president for a nation like Syria.

The day before he started his second term, Trump said that the US must stop spending money on the Ukraine, since it was destroying the US. The day after he started, Trump said that Russia must get out of the Ukraine or the US would destroy Russia, and, in spite of 'peace talks', the US keeps giving more and better weapons to the Ukraine to drive all the Russians out. After all, all the oil, gas, gold, and uranium in Russia really belongs to the Western oligarchs who helped Trump get elected and are now telling  him what to do, so Russia's war against NATO in the Ukraine is supposed to destroy Russia so all those assets they are stealing can go back to the rightful owners.

Likewise Iran: Mosaddek tried stealing British oil in 1951, when Britain was much too weak to do anything about it, so they asked the US, who arrested Mosaddek and returned ownership of all Iranian petroleum products to BP, the rightful owner, with the UK giving 50% ownership to the US. This went very well until 1979 when the first Ayatollah took over and stole all those petroleum products, so the US sanctioned Iran: no one can buy anything from Iran. A US Naval blockade stopped all oil tankers who tried to carry Iranian oil out of Iran until 2021, when a fleet of oil tankers accompanied by a naval fleet managed to buy all the oil Iran had available for sale. Not only that, a few of those oil tankers are still buying Iranian oil, since Iran are still selling to selected buyers, but US bombing runs mean no large fleets of oil tankers can safely buy Iranian oil, only a very few.

Trump, of course, says, more or less, whatever he has to say, not quite with the words they want him to use, but he still says what he has to say, since he's not yet ready for that funeral they give former presidents, and he's trying not to get that great funeral they give to presidents who die in office.

As Judge Napolitano says, the US senior military analysts have been saying, 'Don't attack Iran!' for many years, and every president before Trump listened, but Trump ignored their advice.

But what that means is that the people giving Trump orders figured this was a good time to attack. The attack was planned, well, first for Friday, 13 June 2025, but that didn't work out too well, so the US and Israel called it quits after 12 days and started planning for a more effective attack.

They destroyed the Iranian currency in December, 2025, and riots started, first by some of the Iranians most severely affected by the currency crash, then those were joined by about 40,000 well-armed rioters with Starlink terminals so they could get their orders (and directions to the piles of weapons) from their Mossad/CIA/MI6 handlers, it it looked like the Iranian regime might be overthrown. Only the evil Russians and Chinese gave Iran some anti-Starlink devices that disabled all the Starlink terminals and guided Iranian forces to the locations of those 40,000 paid rioters who were arrested.

Clearly, Iran murdered more than 80,000 innocent, peaceful, unarmed protestors, and I know this because I read it in the New York Times and the Guardian and watched it on CNN, BBC, France24, and Fox News.

So the planned 14 January attack by Israel and the US on Iran was postponed until 6 February, and then the Ayatollah announced a big meeting on 28 February when he would be at home and the top generals would be in a 'secret' meeting place. Mossad and the CIA and MI6 got to work and paid a top general who would be at the meeting, and he told Israel and the US where the meeting would be and excused himself from the meeting, then the Ayatollah's house and the meeting place were bombed, taking out all the Iranian leadership, so, of course, …

Oops, the Iranian government reconstituted itself and began firing drones, huge numbers of them, at Israel and the Gulf Arab states hosting US military bases. The US expected this, so soldiers had been moved off the bases and into hotels, but some of those drones went off near those hotels, and many went off near the airports.

Clearly, firing drones at Israel makes the Iranians much worse than the Nazis, and firing at peaceful, innocent Gulf Arab States was a war crime. The Iranians have proved by their actions that they are evil incarnate, viciously attacking innocent, peaceful Jews and Arabs without the slightest provocation, and they must be destroyed (and all their oil and gas absolutely, positively must be returned to BP).

What Iran Did that Forced the US and Israel to strike on 28 February

I had planned a trip to the Arab Gulf, on 28 February 2026. The Arab Gulf is the southwest part of the Gulf with Two Names, the northeast part of which is the Persian Gulf, and the Arabs on the southwest of the Gulf have been calling it the Arab Gulf (in Arabic) for many, many years, while the Persians (now Iranians) on the northeast have been calling it the Persian Gulf since the time they called themselves Persians.

But, as my plane was approaching the Arab Gulf, it made a U-turn and flew back to the airport from which I'd come, since most of the Arab Gulf airports were closed because the evil, bellicose Iranian were attacking for no reason.

The Iranian claim their attack was provoked by the US and Israel killing all the Iranian leadership while they were fasting during Ramadan in Tehran. Being Shi'a, they figure it's Great to be Martyred during the Islamic month of Ramadan, so they scheduled a big meeting of all the Iranian leadership on a day in Ramadan, which started on 18 February and lasts for 29 or 30 days, depending on whether the Moon Sighting Committee does or does not see the moon on the 29th of Ramadan on 19 March.

In any case, all the Iranian leadership scheduled a meeting on 28 February, and announced the meeting, so, probably during the 11 February visit of Netanyahu with Trump, they agreed to kill off all the Iranian leadership, leaving Iran without a government, after which the CIA/Mossad/MI6 would direct their agents in Iran to attack and take over, then the US and Israel could bring the Shah back, put him in charge, and all the stolen Iranian oil would be returned to the rightful owner, BP.

Great plan, what could possibly go wrong?

Well, it seems the Ayatollah had the government arrange for replacements for everybody. The Ayatollah almost certainly expected to be martyred, and it is likely the other leaders knew martyrdom during their meeting was very likely, and figured it was time to go straight to Paradise for being martyred during Ramadan.

And the people who took over Iran after the former government were all killed, for no reason anyone can understand, started shelling the Arab Gulf states, all of which had US military bases, which were hit. The US military, knowing that whoever took over Iran, before they were dispatched by the Revolution that would give Iran back to the Shah, might be able to fire a few missiles and/or small drones at the US military facilities, had the soldiers staying in hotels, and, the Gulf Arab states being full of Iranians, Iran knew which hotels and struck those hotels, but no one is saying if any US troops were injured, the US only admit that 6, four named and two nameless, were killed by Iranian ordinance that hit the Gulf Arab states.

The US advises all Americans to avoid the Arab Gulf for now, and those stuck there to try to remain out of sight, and try to get out ASAP.

The US and Israel say the strike was a complete success, the entire Iranian leadership were taken out, and the return of Iran to rule by the Shah should be accomplished very soon. Trump wanted full victory in four days, but those four days are now estimated to be four weeks months, after which several have said that the US will declare total victory and withdraw.

The US spokespersons assure us all that they have destroyed most of the Iranian weaponry that could hit US assets, but maybe not quite all of it, so there might be a few more strikes by a few very small, impuissant weapons.

I guess we'll have to wait and see what happens. The Iranians haven't been able to do much damage to US military assets, while the US continue to bomb Iran, taking out most of the important Iranian military facilities like elementary schools, hospitals, and apartment buildings filled with people, and those terrorist facilities that were bombed were then 'double tapped' to kill not just the resident terrorists but also those trying to save those terrorists (and we know that those elementary school girls, hospital workers, and others killed by the US and Israeli militaries were all terrorists, since the US and Israel military never target civilians, only criminal combatants, and the Iranians had more than 260 criminal combatants under 12 years old, so the US and Israel did great work taking them out to protect the good, honest, peaceful seekers of the return of the Shah, and who will work hard to extract the BP oil and hand it all over to BP).

The New York Times report that the girl's school was really an Iranian Naval Base, disguised as a school, with 265 human shields kept there to discourage an attack, but the US military would never refrain from destroying an Iranian Naval Base, and all the students and teachers who died were victims of the Iranians who used them as human shields, the US military were innocent as new born babes, and they've been tried and acquitted (well, acquitted, no need for a trial when their innocence and the guilt of the Iranians is so obvious).

A total of about 1,400 Iranians have been killed by the US and Israel since 28 February, good work by the US military; however, the brutal Iranians murdered 6 Americans who were just doing their jobs keeping peace in Iran and returning all the Iranian oil to the legal owners, BP, which will be a major accomplishment by the Trump presidency, keeping the price of oil below $500 a barrel, with every ¢ going to US oiligarchs. 

What is happening with Iran???

 Saturday, 28 February, I was trying to travel and my plane was diverted as the skies were closed in a lot of West Asia, and I ended up stuck with no computer and no Internet.

It seems that, last year, Netanyahu and the other people really running the US agreed to attack Iran on:

First, it was going to be 13 January or 14 January, only the evil Russians and PRC gave Iran the technology to stop Starlink and track down all Starlink terminals, so Iran rounded up the people with 40,000 Starlink terminals given to foot soldiers with the Mossad/CIA/MI6 officers in charge safe in Israel, the US, and the UK.

So the protests petered out, and the US and Israel decided they'd better postpone the 13 Jan attack until 5 Feb or so, then they decided they'd better postpone until ...

The CIA (we're told) found out that there would be a big meeting of Iranian leaders on 28 February, so the US and Israel decided to kill all the leaders, the Ayatollah in his home apartment building, where a massive shelling by missiles killed most of those in the building, the Ayatollah and his family, including a small granddaughter, and also all the Iranian leaders meeting in a government facility. The war went very well from that point, since Iran had no living leaders, so no one to resist the US/Israeli attacks.

Oops.

The seconds in command  took over immediately after the former leaders were killed. The permanent replacement for the Ayatollah has not been chosen, but a temporary replacement took his place until the Council can choose a permanent Ayatollah/Leader, and the replacements for the secular leadership took over and ordered old drones and missiles fired at US resources in the Arab Gulf States (it's legally the Gulf with Two Names, the Persian Gulf on the Northeastern Coast, and the Arabian Gulf on the Southwestern Coast). So the airspace was closed, and not clear when it will re-open.

Iran keeps firing drones and missiles, and a few US planes were downed with the US military in the planes parachuting to safety, but the planes were lost. The Bahrain US military base is well-basted by the Iranian strikes, and CIA headquarters in the UAE were targeted.

The US are running out of ammunition. US and UK ships have been hit and stopped from carrying their oil to the purchasers, so the price of oil is rising rapidly, as is the price of gold. Not clear what happens to the US$. Not clear how high oil will go.

And not clear what the US and Israel can do to regain control of the situation.

Actually, that's not true, Israel can use what they have been calling the Sampson Option: nuke Iran until there is nothing left, all the oil too radioactive to use, and no government of any kind, all of Iran reduced to radioactive rubble.

Not clear when this will happen, but no one expects Iran to just surrender, and that's the only way they can prevent Israel from nuking them back to nothing.

After 5,000 Years, the End of Persia???

I just watched Col Douglas MacGregor analysing the current military situation in West Asia. He notes that, for multiple reasons, the US military are very short on ammunition. I've tried to explain that, as a defence contractor for several years, the US military mainly exists to pump $trillions into the pockets of those who really control the US government, and, while a few weapons systems and the ammunition they need to operate get built, not very much of those $trillions gets wasted on such things, most goes straight into the pockets of the real US decision makers.

Meanwhile, Iran showed that ???

Actually, we don't know. Israel swears that only one Iranian missile hit Israel and killed 24 people who had not gone to a bomb shelter, clearly an act of genocide, the legal definition of which is "killing all or part of a recognised religious-ethnic group," of which there is only one. Israel killing all the Palestinians, all the Arabs, all the goyim, or whatever, is not genocide under the legal definition, but must be called "self-defence".

But Russian and Iranian propaganda sources all say that Iranian missiles did significant damage to Israel, damage no one has seen because Israel bans all post-attack photography. And Iran were being careful to avoid escalating the war, carefully avoiding doing too much damage to Israel, hoping Israel and the US would not respond with too much of an attack on Iran.

After 11 days, Israel asked the US to stop the 12-Day war, so Trump and Iran agreed: the US would bomb three sites, agreed in advance, and then Iran would respond with one missile hitting the US military base in Qatar at a time and specific location agreed in advance, so not much damage was done to Iran or the US military base, no one was killed, and the 12-Day War was over.

This time, Col MacGregor says, after the inevitable attack on Iran by either the US or Israel or both, Iran will start to totally destroy Israel, taking out all major resources. This is somewhat limited, since Israel moved some of the government from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, and Iran cannot do any strike that endangers the Al-Aqsa Mosque, but a lot of Israeli vital resources remains outside Jerusalem, and all those will be targeted, and the only way Israel can defend themselves is with a massive nuclear strike that will totally obliterate Iran.

Israel can and almost certainly will do this, given the alternative, if any war starts at all.

As Col MacGregor states, Trump is being forced by Netanyahu to attack Iran, or at least to support a conventional Israeli attack on Iran. This, we know, is not true. Trump is just reading the Teleprompter which has whatever the people really running the US want him to say. We saw that his first term when he stated, firmly, twice, that all US troops must leave Syria.

Then, after the men in dark suits and dark glasses asked him if he really wanted to be the next JFK, and these are the successors to the people who killed JFK, Trump agreed to just read the Teleprompter.

And again, on 19 Jan 2025, we saw Trump say that, if the US did not withdraw from the Ukraine, the costs of the war would destroy the US. Trump had already been elected, so this wasn't a lie told to win the election, it was something Trump intended to pursue. Then the men in dark suits and dark glasses had another little talk with Trump, and he then said that Russia must completely withdraw from the Ukraine or Russia would be destroyed.

So Trump has been taught to just read the Teleprompter.

We don't know, yet, if Trump will attack Iran, or if Israel will attack Iran. Col MacGregor figures it's a certainty that will result in the total destruction of Israel, but he forgets that Israel is one of the world's biggest nuclear powers, even though it is a tiny nation. The DPRK probably have fewer than a dozen nukes, just enough to convince the US not to try any regime change, but Israel has hundreds, maybe thousands of nukes, all built with the assistance and acceptance of the US. And, if mortally threatened, Israel will use those nukes.

After which, few in the West will miss Iran.

This also has the great advantage that the PRC will be cut off from a lot of the oil they need to keep their economy running at the current level.

So removing Iran will serve both Israel's purposes and those of the US, so it seems very likely we'll see the first use of nukes to totally destroy a country (the nukes the US used in WWII were only to impress the USSR, Japan surrendered after the USSR declared war on Japan a few days after the nukes were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki).

There is, of course, one way out of this: the people who are really in charge might know that any war with Iran will result in Israel dropping much of their nuclear arsenal on Iran, and they might not want this to happen. Then they will come up with some way to declare 'victory': They will find something to which Iran can agree, something, anything, meaningless, something Iran have no trouble agreeing to, and then Trump will read off the Teleprompter, 'We have achieved total victory over Iran without a war!!!'

That's our only hope.

What's Happening Now????

As I wrote before, Scott Ritter, on Friday, 13 February, said there was no way the US could attack Iran, since the consequences would be a disaster, and the US military  leadership would never agree to such an attack.

Then, on Monday, 16 February, Scott said the US was about to attack, and the attack would totally destroy Iran, the US had identified all Iran's weapons, the location of all Iran's leadership, and all would be destroyed on the first day of the war, after which the US would pound Iran until there was nothing left that could possibly threaten the US or Israel, and this would take place in a day or two. Scott repeated this on Friday, 20 February and Monday, 23 February, the US attack was coming up very soon and Iran would be totally destroyed.

I then heard that the PRC had agreed to sell Iran some new weapons systems, but could not deliver for at least a year, by which time there would not be an Iran there to buy them.

One point that somehow gets missed is that the US imposed sanctions on Iran, so Iran could not sell any oil. The US did this to Iraq, a complete blockade, Iraq could not sell any oil or buy anything, and Iraq had started buying food with their oil money, and cut back on their farming, and Iraq needed to buy medicine since they had no indigenous medical industry, so at least 500,000 Iraqis died from starvation and curable diseases. And the US official statement was that those 500,000 dead Iraqis were well worth it.

Iran is not Iraq. Iran produces lots of food, enough to feed themselves and sell their substantial surplus, and Iran produces their own medicine, and can treat common diseases, only a few, rare diseases that required very advanced medicines could not be treated and the patients died, but only a few.

And then, in 2021, a fleet of oil tankers showed up and bought all the available Iranian oil, in spite of the US naval blockade, since that fleet of tankers had a bigger Navy protecting them than the US naval blockade, so the US naval blockade withdrew, not willing to attack a much bigger, stronger naval force.

The PRC desperately need energy resources, and they were trying to develop Venezuela, while Russia sold their energy to the EU.

Then the EU said they would not buy anything from the Russian aggressors who want to take over all Europe, and the US know that, if they don't help Europe support the Ukraine, US tourists who want to see the Eiffel Tower and Big Ben will have to speak Russian. So the US/UK/EU will do whatever it takes to stop the Slavs from overrunning Aryan lands.

So now the Russians are selling their energy to the PRC and India, but the PRC energy needs keep growing and growing, and the PRC might be able to do without the Venezuelan oil they spent more than $1 billion developing, but they figured it was better to cut and run, and focus on Iran.

But the US intend to get all the Iranian oil, oil that the Iranians have been stealing, returned to the legal owners, BP, who will never be allowed to sell any oil to the PRC, and then NATO will overrun Russia, which, according to all the US/UK/EU mainstream media are losing badly and all that Russian energy should be returned to the rightful owners, US oiligarchs, who won't sell a drop to the PRC.

Scott figures this isn't all that ethical a plan, but a military victory of the US over Iran is not only certain, but will be very easy, with no US losses or any damage to Israel.

Russia keep saying they will be helping Iran, but the Russian military, according to all the US/UK/EU mainstream media, were armed with WWII weapons, all easily destroyed by the advanced NATO weapons used by the Ukraine, who were also able to destroy the Russian nuclear triad with a drone attack against which the Russians were totally unprepared and unable to stop.

So the Russia don't have much of a military left, according to all the US/UK/EU analysts, and will soon be totally defeated, broken up into many small, demilitarised countries, and all Russia energy, gold, and minerals will be taken as war reparations by US oiligarchs, and no Russian oil will go to the PRC, which will then collapse back into an agricultural society with everyone working as small farmers barely able to feed themselves, and the PRC will no longer be a threat to the US, but will be back where they were in 1850, after the UK and other Europeans (plus the US and Japan) took over the Qing Dynasty China and stole everything.

That's the plan, and the US/UK/EU figure it's a sure thing and an easy thing and nothing can possibly go wrong.

Of course, Russia and the PRC and Iran just might have other plans. Professor John J. Mearsheimer says that the US generals and/or maybe Trump have figured out that any attack on Iran is not going to go well. Israel seem to think the US have set up lots of new air defence systems to protect Israel, so now's the best time to take out Iran, after which Israel will be able to take everything from the northern tip of the Euphrates to the southern tip of the Nile, but the US military experts, according to Mearsheimer, are not convinced this will go well, and fear that this might go very, very badly, and do not want to go to war with Iran.

Mearsheimer hopes that the US can negotiate a deal like the one that ended the 12-day war of 2025, where the US bombed some Iranian nuclear sites after giving Iran warning and time to prepare, then Iran was allowed a symbolic hit on an American base in Qatar, and the war was over interrupted for six months.

But Iran says that is not on the table.

As usual, if Iran figures they have nothing and the US can totally destroy Iran with no damage to the US or Israel, why wouldn't Iran agree to such a generous offer?

But Iran say their missile sites are well hidden, the US won't be able to hit more than a few of them, and the cost to the US and Israel will be far more than they can afford. Of course, Iran might be wrong about this, but the US idea, repeated by Scott Ritter, that they can totally destroy Iran without losing any US or Israeli assets might also be completely wrong.

We can all hope that Professor Mearsheimer is right, that the US are quite unsure of how much damage Iran can do, and are not willing to risk that damage, so they'll try threats and bluffs, hoping Iran will respond by agreeing to all US/Israeli demands, or at least to some US/Israeli demands, and then the US can declare victory without any losses.

Or, if Iran refuses to negotiate, the US/UK/EU can have all the US/UK/EU media say Iran surrendered without a fight, knowing they were totally overpowered, or did fight but lost, and US/UK/EU people are now in charge, and all is for the best in this, the best of all possible worlds! 

After which, Iran can continue to sell oil to the PRC in peace, but not a peep about this will make its way to the US/UK/EU media who will celebrate the great US/UK/EU victory over the Iranian Ayatollahs.

Are Ayatollahs Allowed to Lie through their Teeth?

I have been reading Trump saying the US will start with a small attack on Iran, just to show the Iranians what the US can do, and then give them a chance to capitulate: total disarmament of Iran, removal of the Ayatollahs to some monastery (or whatever the Muslims call it) where they can pray in isolation, and return of Iran to the Shah and all Iran's oil to BP, and if they do not capitulate, then total destruction of Iran.

I have read several analysts guessing when the small strike will be, and how much damage it will do to Iran, and if the US will really stop after a small strike and let the Iranians surrender, or will just continue with the total destruction of Iran, losing no US military forces or equipment while they totally destroy Iran.

This, however, does not conform to what the Ayatollahs have been saying: if one bomb lands on Iran from the US or Israel, Iran will respond with a full, 'regional' response, meaning, Iran will destroy all US military forces in the region, plus all oil assets, plus all of Israel. Are the Ayatollahs lying? Will they accept a small strike and not retaliate, hoping that will prevent a larger strike? Will they withhold their fire, even as the US destroy Iran, fearing the US might do much worse if Iran dare to shoot back? My guess is that the Ayatollahs are telling the truth about what they will do, even if the US and Israel are sure they are lying, that they cannot retaliate, that Israel told the truth, every Iranian missile except one was intercepted by the Iron Dome, and that one missile killed 24 Israelis who did not go to a bomb shelter, a clear case of genocide by the genocidal Iranians, a crime that must be punished, and punished severely.

Obviously, Iran lacks (maybe) missiles that can hit the US mainland, we only know they have hypersonic missiles that can go 1,400 km (870 miles), far enough to reach Israel and just about all the US military assets now gathered around Iran, ready for an attack like the one on Iraq in 2003. Only Iraq didn't have any hypersonic missiles, while Iran have many.

We also know that the US have nothing that can stop a hypersonic missile, unless they can destroy them on the ground before launch.

The US military now say they can do just that, US stealth airplanes cannot be detected by Iran, and US intelligence have located every single Iranian missile, so all the missiles can be totally destroyed in about 5 minutes, leaving Iran with no offensive weapons, and no defensive weapons that could hinder the US destruction of Iran.

As Scott Ritter says, the US cannot destroy all the Iranian missiles, but they can destroy almost all of them, leaving just a few of what the military call 'leakers', but these few leakers cannot possibly overwhelm the US or Israeli air defence systems, so all will be destroyed before they can do any damage to US military assets or Israel.

So Scott is saying that, while it is not true that the US air and ship-launched missile attacks can take out every Iranian missile, they can leave Iran unable to strike any US or Israeli targets with the few missiles not destroyed before they can be launched.

Again, all this leaves out what the Ayatollah has been saying: one bomb, just one, and an all-out retaliation will take place, and if the US cannot destroy all those hypersonic missiles, a lot of US matériel and Israeli buildings will be destroyed and a lot of US military forces and Israelis will be killed. It also leaves out the PRC and Russian defence systems that have been installed in Iran (and which Russia and the PRC figure should have been installed before 13 Feb 2025), systems that make stealth US airplanes as visible as a cow in a close-cropped field in broad daylight (even when those US planes attack at midnight).

So the US military saying they know they can overwhelm Iran is either a) a bluff, an attempt to convince the Iranians to surrender, since Iran can't possibly know it's a bluff  (actually, Iran will react as if it is a bluff); or b) utter stupidity, which will work just like utter stupidity always works.

The question remains: when will the US actually try any utter stupidity????

Attacks have been scheduled for 14 January, 1 February, and 6 February, but all were 'postponed'.

Trump said on 19 February that Iran had just 10 days to surrender, later extended to 15 days, so will the actual attack by the US on Iran be on Monday, 2 Mar? Friday, 6 Mar? Tue, 3 Mar to catch the Iranians off guard, since they'd never expect an attack on 3 Mar?

Basically, I'm sure Scott Ritter based his assessment on what he was told by his friends still active in the US military, but they don't seem to know much, or couldn't tell him anything except the official lie that the US is still, by far, the strongest military power in the world.

I keep repeating: the US ordered sanctions, actually a naval blockade, on Iran from 1980 until 2021. I read many newspaper accounts of oil tankers that tried to buy Iranian oil, only to be stopped by the US Naval Blockade, taken to a friendly port, and sold, along with the oil, with all the money going to the US Treasury, so not one ¢ of the oil's value went to Iran, and the owners of the tankers lost their tankers and their oil.

Then, in 2021, a fleet of oil tankers showed up in Iran and bought every drop of oil Iran had to sell, and when the US Navy showed up to stop them, found the tanker fleet protected by a more powerful navy than the US blockade, so the blockade withdrew, and Iran have been selling about 2 million barrels of oil a day, every day, ever since.

So the US military ain't what they used to be many long years ago.

One final point: the New York Times, always reliable, i.e., always reliably demonising Trump, say they heard from the top US general that the general told Trump not to order an attack on Iran, and then, after that, Trump said that the general gave him the green light to order an attack.

Which might actually be partly true: the general might know that an attack on Iran is not possible, never said it openly, but quietly mentioned it to a New York Times reporter. And Trump might be threatening a small attack in hopes that Iran will accede to at least some small part of Trump's demands (not clear what, if anything, the Iranians might agree to at this point, backed by the evil Russians and PRC who are providing the Iranians with defences the US cannot handle).

But whoever is really running the US (and also Trump) might be hoping they can somehow convince Iran to make some small concessions (possible, if those concessions are small enough, or maybe Iran conceding that they will never do something that they never had any intention of doing), and the US can then describe those minor concessions as a total victory over Iran (which is about the best the US can do), and if the US go the utter stupidity route, it will be most unfortunate for US military personnel stationed anywhere in West Asia or off the coast of West Asia, Israel, and the Arab Gulf states.

Trump, fortunately, uses bluffing, so we can hope all his talk about destroying Iran is just a bluff, hoping the Iranians will fear US power and make at least token concessions, but I fear even token concessions are unlikely.

When will the 2026 Iran War Start?????

Bessent said he deliberately crashed the Iranian currency to destroy the Iranian economy in late December 2025. In anticipation of protests over the crashed (by the US) Iranian currency, Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 sent in 40,000 foot soldiers with Starlink terminals, and they were directed (from Mossad in Israel, CIA in the US, and MI6 in the UK) to piles of weapons and where to gather with other foot soldiers to kill security officers and protesters not aligned with the pro-Shah forces.

About 3,000 were killed, mostly Iranian security forces and civilians, plus several hundred of the good, (US-, UK-) law-abiding protestors.

Of course, the US/UK/EU mainstream media note that that figure of 3,000 is Iranian propaganda, and scream that more than 30,000, maybe more than 40,000, maybe more than 70,000 peaceful protestors have been brutally murdered by the evil Ayatollahs.

It seems the brilliant Mossad/CIA/MI6 plan ran into a little snag: the evil PRC and Russia gave Iran systems that could disable Starlink, track down the locations of all the Starlink terminals, and then arrest the foot-soldier agents sent to start the overthrow of the Ayatollahs and return of the Shah (who is the son of the former Shah).

But the violent rioters sent by Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 all having been arrested, the Ayatollah was still firmly in control, so the planned 14 Jan 2026 US attack had to be postponed, as was the 6 Feb attack and the 15 Feb attack.

On 19 Feb, Trump said he was giving Iran just 10 days to comply with all US demands: no uranium in Iran, complete de-militarisation, no resistance to return of the Shah and return of all Iranian oil to the rightful owner: BP.  

Ten days would mean 1 March 2026, but Trump later extended the deadline to 15 days, or 6 March 2026.

At this point, the top decision makers in the CIA/MI6/Mossad seem to be unsure how to proceed: the evil Russians and PRC militaries have been helping Iran prepare their defences, and the size and effectiveness of those defences may or may not be fully understood.

Plan A says that the US have detailed knowledge of the locations of all Iranian weapons, and the US stealth-planes can easily evade all Iranian radar detection, so the hundreds of planes and missiles fired from ships and US military bases will destroy all the Iranian weapons, kill all the senior government officials, military officers, and Ayatollahs, and leave Iran ripe for the picking, with the Ayatollahs replaced by the Shah just as easily as Maduro was replaced by President Trump (who now calls himself the effective president of Venezuela).

But there are sceptics who think the evil Russians and PRC might have defensive weapons that can conceal the whereabouts of the Iranian offensive weapons, and then just might, a remote possibility but still a possibility, sink one or more of the ships in the Armada(s), shoot down one or more of those US stealth planes, and might have a few well-hidden missiles that could do serious damage to Israel, US military bases, Arabian Gulf oil fields, and close the Strait of Hormuz with Russian and PRC mines.

One strange thing is that, on Friday, February 13th, Scott Ritter said that Trump would not dare order an attack on Iran, since the chance of unacceptable US losses was too high, but on Monday, February 16th, he said that a US attack on Iran was imminent, possibly before the end of the week. He repeated that again this Monday, February 23, that the attack is almost (but not quite) certain, and very soon, maybe early in the morning one day this week or next.

Scott says that, if ordered to attack, the US know the location of every Iranian missile, and can take most of them out. There will be a few missiles that will get missed, missiles that the military call 'leakers', but this is why the US have put in lots of additional anti-missile defence systems to protect US assets and Israel from those 'leakers'.

Ideally, Scott says, there will be no US or Israeli casualties, with US air defences and Israel's Iron Dome easily able to protect US military forces and all Israelis from the Iranian 'leakers'.

But Scott says that success for the US attack, while very likely, is not absolutely certain, and there might be some US and Israeli casualties.

Scott is hoping that the top generals will warn Trump that, while success is almost certain, there is still a chance that US and Israeli lives could be lost if the US attack Iran, and Scott thinks that Trump is a coward, and hopes that Trump will be so cowardly that he will refrain from ordering an attack.

Scott, like a lot of people, detests Trump more than he has ever disliked any other president. I, however, saw Trump go on TV and say, 

'I order all US troops out of Syria!.' Twice! 

Then the men in dark suits and dark glasses asked Trump if he wanted to be the next JFK, since the US hadn't had a good president's funeral in more than 50 years, and Trump asked, 'What do I have to do?' and the next day, Trump ordered US troops into Syria. 

Proving Trump, like Biden and Obama and Bush, Jr. are all just actors playing the part of the US president, reading the lines the real president gives them to read off the Teleprompter.

But I don't know if the person really in charge will order an attack that might fail, or will just hope that the Iranians are foolish enough to surrender, and if they aren't, won't risk an attack that could do serious damage to the US military.

We've also been 'promised' an attack at least four times now, but no attack, and there is a high cost to having an Armada sitting and doing nothing, so we need that promised attack to finally come about very soon now, or the fleet will need to sail home.

Nuclear Physics and Iran

Walt Kelly called it "New Clear PhyFizzics", then noted it was not so new, not so clear, and, when the book was dropped in a bucket of water, 'nary a fizz.'

In 1945, the US announced that they had the world's greatest weapon: U₂₃₅! Of course, everything was Top Secret, so no details, but everyone knew that no other nation could possibly produce such a weapon, only the US, so when the USSR produced one after four years, the US executed the two Jewish spies who gave away the secret. The way the spies were discovered was that the Great J. Edgar Hoover picked up some people and said, 'You will be charged with espionage. If you do not confess, you will be executed. If you confess and name your accomplices, you'll get your sentence reduced to just a few years in Federal Prison. Now name your accomplices!' And the people arrested kept naming accomplices and naming accomplices until a Jewish couple, Ethel and Julius Rosenberg, said they had not been spies, they had not stolen nuclear secrets and sold them to the Soviets, and they had had no accomplices, so they were both executed (the others arrested got prison sentences of a few years, then they were released as disgraced spies who had helped the Rosenbergs give the USSR the secret to the nuclear bomb; J. Edgar Hoover said he kept waiting for a phone call on the night of execution saying the Rosenbergs were ready to confess and name their accomplices, and he would have immediately ordered their sentence commuted).

I saw a Disney comic book back in the late '50s, showing Professor Ludwig Von Drake teaching about U₂₃₅: the most powerful explosive in the world. He threw a speck into the Grand Canyon. Nothing happened, so they asked, 'What's happening?' and Ludwig said, 'It hasn't hit bottom yet.'

When the U₂₃₅ finally hit bottom, the explosion filled the entire Grand Canyon. Nothing about radiation poisoning, though, since this was a children's comic book explanation about the atomic bomb and U₂₃₅, no details like radiation poisoning allowed.

In fact, the story started that all the bombs were U₂₃₅, then that one bomb was actually plutonium, not uranium, then two bombs were plutonium, and now most figure all three of the US bombs, the one tested at White Sands New Mexico, and the two dropped on Japan, were all plutonium bombs.

The grimy details finally came out about the secret facility in Chicago (the Chicago Pile) where about 50 tonnes of metallic uranium and yellowcake were allowed to sit until a fission reaction started, then it was stopped and the Pile was moved to a more secure location. After three years of fission, the pile produced enough plutonium to make three bombs. Of course, the fact that the bombs were Plutonium was tippity-top secret, classified TS/SCI/NOFORN/BBR!!! The US wanted everyone to try to make a bomb out of U₂₃₅.

Everyone knew the US was buying uranium, millions of dollars worth, but the war left most nations without millions to spend on uranium when no one thought it would work until they saw the US do it, after which, every country that has 50 tonnes of metallic uranium and wants a bomb has a bomb. The countries without bombs either don't want them, so they sell their uranium oar, or they don't have enough uranium to build a bomb.

So the Soviets didn't need any spies, nor did the French, Chinese, Indians, Pakistanis, or North Koreans (the British and Israelis didn't need any spies because they got by with a little help from their friends).

But Israel and the US want rid of Iran, and saying they are building a nuclear bomb and are only a few days away from completing one (and have been just a few days away for more than 30 years) is more than enough justification to totally destroy the country (and then return all the oil that the Iranians have been stealing since 1980 back to the rightful owners, BP).

The only teeny problem that intrudes into this brilliant and facile plan by the US and Israel is that the evil Russians and Chinese might have been helping Iran with their defences (all deny that, since if Iran lose, Russia and the PRC don't want any of the blame, and if Iran win, they want the US to know they lost to a small country with only the most primitive defences, spears and arrows and such like against the most advanced weapons in the entire world that only the US Defence Industry can produce: one can hardly believe the $trillions needed for all the advanced development by ChatGPT required to produce those US weapons).

Latest Guess about When the War on Iran Will Take Place

The 2026 State of the Union Address will take place on Tuesday, 24 February.

I heard some experts say that any War on Iran will tend to overshadow and distract people from paying much attention to the State of the Union, something Trump would never allow, so the War must be postponed until at least 25 February, and then take place either that day or very shortly thereafter. 

Trump announced on the afternoon of 19 February that, if Iran do not surrender and agree to all the US terms within 10 days, the war will start. It is not altogether clear what all those terms are: One or more of:

1) the JCPOA that Obama negotiated, got UN Security Council Approval, and so was 'legally binding on the US', then Trump said he was cancelling the JCPOA? 

2)  no nuclear material of any kind in Iran?

3) no missiles in Iran?

 4) total disarmament, Iran must be totally demilitarised?

5) new leadership, the Ayatollahs all have to leave, the Shah has to return as total ruler of Iran, and must stick to his agreement to return all the oil in Iran oil to the legal owners (under US/UK/EU law): BP? 

 6)????

One must recall that, the last time Trump said time was running out, that Iran must meet negotiators on Sunday, 15 June or the war would start, that the war started in the early hours of Friday, 13 June, with help from many Mossad, CIA, and MI6 agents and from the IAEA, so Israel knew where every general and senior atomic scientist was living and droned all their homes, killing every single Iranian general and senior atomic scientist, and tried to kill both the Ayatollah and the president of Iran but only wounded the Iranian President, and the Ayatollah was not staying in the residence where the spies said he would be, so he escaped unharmed.

So Trump might expect a great victory, as Great and as Quick as Venezuela, a victory he will be able to brag about during the Address, so the war might start and end with a total and complete US victory before the address, catching the Iranians totally by surprise?

Last I heard, most of the experts are predicting that the war will start shortly after the address and take at least a few weeks, and some predict a year or more.

So will Trump wait 10 days, and start the war on 29 June, or sooner or later or ???? 

There are, of course, the second and third Carrier Battle Groups, AKA the second and third Armadas, which have not yet reached a position where they can participate in any initial massive strike on Iran, a strike which is supposed to be so massive that it will take out all the top government officials and most Iranian military assets, leaving Iran unable to make much of a return strike, nothing that can penetrate Israel's Iron Dome, which has been further protected by many Patriot batteries set up in the last few weeks. And if the US are waiting for all the Armadas to arrive, the war will have to be postponed until they arrive, which will be a week or more after the State of the Union Address, and not clear exactly when that will be.

Again, Trump said Iran must meet all US terms (which are not precisely articulated) before 29 June, but, based on what we've seen Israel and the US military do before, the attack might be sooner or later than that. 

*** 

After the first US and/or US-Israeli strike are launched from the one, two, or three Armadas, Iran are supposed to have nothing left that can penetrate the Israeli defences or the defences the US have set up to protect US military assets in West Asia, nothing that can do any damage to the Arabian Gulf oil fields, nothing that can mine the Strait of Hormuz and limit the easy travel of Arabian oil to world markets. And with the Ayatollahs all gone, the Shah can be put back in, all Iranian oil, stolen by the Ayatollahs in 1980, will be returned to the lawful owner (under US/UK/EU law), BP!

And after this victory, the US will be free to concentrate on liberating the Soviet Union from the Communist dictators, and then breaking up the former USSR into many, small, demilitarised countries, with all Soviet oil, gold, and other valuable minerals returned to the rightful owners, Western (mostly American) oiligarchs, as War Reparations. 

***

Of course, some of the pro-Iranian propaganda channels say the evil PRC and Russia have given some weapons to the Iranians that can stop any US or US/Israeli attack. Iran say, 'That is not true. No one has given us any weapons, we bought them all with our own money.'

In any case, it is not at all clear what kinds of weapons Iran have, except that none are nuclear. They might have hypersonic missiles that can penetrate the defences of the Armada(s) and Israel. They might have stealth submarines that can take out some or all of the ships in the Armada(s). 

I keep wondering about a) calling it 'three Armadas,' since the term 'Armada' covers all the US naval assets, not just part of them; and b) using the word 'Armada' after what happened to the most famous Armada in (British) history.

The Armada(s) are sure that they are out of range of all Iranian missiles, but it is not clear if that intelligence is correct. 

The Iranians also have some stealth submarines, but the US a) may not know that a backward nation like Iran could possibly have any submarines, and b) if they do, they are probably like the US Civil War Southern Rebel submarines that were easily destroyed by the Union Navy, so the US Navy are sure they can detect and destroy any Iranian submarine that approaches the Armada(s).

There are quite a few commentators on the pro-Iranian propaganda channels who figure the US Armada(s) will do about as well as that last Armada sent to conquer Britain, the Iranian hypersonic missiles and stealth submarines will be able to sink much of the Armada(s), and those hypersonic missiles will then do massive damage to Israel, US military bases, and the Arabian Gulf oil fields. Iran will also mine the Strait of Hormuz, possible with PRC mines set to never go off if approached by a PRC tanker, so the Strait of Hormuz will be closed to all ships except those from the PRC.

***

Net: a lot of people claim to have excellent intelligence about what is about to happen, but we'll have to wait before we can be sure.

What does seem likely is that, if the US and/or Israel attack Iran, and that initial strike fails to decapitate all Iranian defences, which then prove rather resilient and formidable, seriously threatening the complete destruction of Israel, then Israel will carpet nuke Iran to take out all Iranian defences. 

This will, sadly, leave Iranian oil too radioactive for anyone to use, and make oil permanently worth much more than current prices, but at least Israel would be safe from Iran, and could start concentrating on taking out Türkiye. 

After all, Israel were promised all the land from the Euphrates to the wadi, and, the Zionists have a new and greatly improved definition of wadi from the ancient Hebrew meaning (an arroyo), to the new definition, Great River, so now the word wadi means the entire River Nile, so Israel runs from the northernmost tip of the Euphrates to the southernmost tip of the Nile, and the Turks need to find someplace else to live, as do all the West Asian Arabs.

But we aren't sure what, exactly, it will take to convince Israel that they have reached a situation that necessitates the use of their nuclear arsenal, or if the Iranian response to an attack by the US and/or Israel would be such a situation.

So it looks like some very interesting times ahead.