The western establishment media (who are seldom foolish enough to actually go into Syria) say the Russians have started a massive bombing campaign, bombing schools and hospitals in Idlib and killing lots of children, while the Syrian Arab Army is massing all around Idlib for a brutal assault. They get this information from tweets sent out by al-Qaeda (under whatever name they're using now). One western reporter, Robert Fisk, who was foolish enough to go to Syria and drive the ring road around Idlib said he heard no bombing, so, while Russia admits it's bombing places sending missiles and drones to bomb Russian bases, the bombing must be very sporadic, or he'd have seen and heard it. The 'Syrian Arab Army' massing around Idlib' he did not see, just a few Syrian soldiers exchanging small arms fire with the peaceful, pro-democracy protesters (and some of their sniper fire came near him). Of course, during this month (which lasts until about 8 October), war is prohibited by Islam, so the Syrian assault to liberate Idlib might be planned for then.
The Russians say they have evidence that NATO (US/UK/France/Turkey) are planning to force regime change in Syria in the very near future. Their intelligence said that a US film crew went into Idlib and filmed a 'chemical attack' by the evil Syrian and Russian regimes, and this was done so the US/UK/France can say they have no choice but to force regime change since the evil Syrians and Russians are using chemical weapons. The film is now being edited, and will be sent to the UN and the OPCW, while out-takes will be posted on social media, whereupon the US/UK/France are already getting ready to start a Libyan-style regime change in Syria. Only it's not 2011 (a fact of which NATO do not seem to be aware, perhaps their calendars stopped because they forgot to wind them?). In 2011, Putin felt that Russia could not stand up to NATO, and Russia did not veto the UN resolution to attack Libya (the resolution did not mention regime change, but even if it had been explicit, Russia and China considered themselves too weak to challenge NATO for Libya). In 2018, Putin says Russia absolutely will not allow NATO to force regime change in Syria. Is Putin bluffing? NATO says he is, they say Yeltsin dismantled the Soviet military, and all Putin's 'weapons' are just Photoshop. When NATO starts bombing, Putin has no choice but to withdraw whatever is left of the Russian military and let NATO remove the evil Syrian regime, put a member of the peaceful, pro-democracy al-Qaeda in charge, and NATO will return to those NATO bases on which the USSR and then Russia have been squatting since the days of the current Syrian president's father. All the NATO 'experts' that I've read say Russia will be about as difficult an opponent as Grenada or Panamá were. Somehow, I don't have quite as much confidence in the NATO 'experts' as they have in themselves. Likewise, I have no idea if Russian intelligence is any good.
We'll all know very soon if Russian intelligence is right. If they're wrong about the NATO regime change in Syria being imminent, it might be awhile before we're sure they were wrong.
And if Russian Intelligence is correct, no one has a clue what will happen. I guess we'll find out.
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I don't have much confidence in Fisk, whom I consider a gatekeeper propagandist. But I'm a hundred percent certain that Russian and Syrian intelligence have infiltrated the cuddly moderate freedom fighters in Syria right to the top levels. And equally certainly, from al Qaeda's own videos and posts, as reported even in the CIA organ the Warshington Post, al Qaeda is keeping the rest from surrendering at gallows point.
The only more-or-less mainstream media reporters I trust are Fisk and Cockburn who try to tell as much of the truth as they can. Fisk went to Ghouta, and reported that no one saw any 'chemical attack'. He went to Iraq and investigated a place the US/UK said was making bombs and found only a baby formula production facility. He's not like another columnist whose name begins with F and who says the US/UK under Trump aren't bombing nearly enough, so Trump's a terrible president. The other F who writes for the New York Times says that, if the US had elected a decent president, Putin and Assad would both be gone by now, and Syria would have a democratic government (ISL or al-Qaeda, both good democratic activists) and so would Russia and China. I like Vanessa Beeley, but she writes for what is called a 'conspiracy theory website', not a major news outlet.
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