Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Iran is trying to kill Trump???

For reasons I cannot imagine, after three attempts to assassinate Former President Trump, he announced that it was Iran trying to kill him. Most of the establishment media (excluding Fox and the New York Post) say that Trump would be, by far, the worst president ever if re-elected, and the poll of presidential historians favoured by Wikipedia already has him rated worst president based on his first term when he had no idea how things worked, and the media reiterate that his second term promises complete disaster for the US and the world.

But Vice-president Harris is already backing Israel, who say Iran must be taken out, so it looks like, no matter who wins the election, war between the US and Iran is inevitable. How this war will probably go does not seem at all clear to any of the mainstream media I watch or read.

In 1988, the USS Vincennes shot down Iran Air Flight 655, a plane filled with 290 suicidal jihadis, or so the sailors on the USS Vincennes said, a plane trying to crash into the USS Vincennes and kill everyone on board, so they had no choice but to shoot the plane down. Photographs show that the plane must have been flying backward at the USS Vincennes, since the tail of the airplane is pointing at the ship, not the nose.

Back in 1988, there were still many independent news media in the US, and some of them said the USS Vincennes shot down an Iranian airliner that was flying away from the ship, and posed to threat of any kind to the ship. Fortunately, all the US media are now owned by four or five corporations who let the CIA write, or at least proof, everything they print, so all tell whatever story the US government wants told.

And all say Iran are a very weak nation, all their illegal attacks on Israel were war crimes that were completely stopped by Israel's air defences, with help from the US and US allies. One can see a video showing missiles hitting Israel, but Russia joke that the US and Israel say those were the Israeli missiles rising to hit the incoming Iranian missiles, but the film is run backward by Iran to make it look like it is Iranian missiles actually landing on Israeli targets. In any case, Israel put up a cover of smoke so no one could photograph the area where those Iranian missiles might have landed, and Israel reiterate that not one Iranian missile hit Israel. So nothing to worry about, Israel can destroy Tehran and Qom and Iran can do nothing about it.

Going back to 1988, Iran had nothing they could use, nothing they could shoot at the USS Vincennes. They have been working on that problem for the past 36 years. Iran now have a large number of anti-ship missiles ready to deploy should a US fleet approach Iran, a fact that seems to have escaped the CIA agents who are supposed to be spying on Iran, I guess they're too busy proofing all the US news media to make sure every story is the official US government version. The US fleet will have one or more aircraft carriers from which the US plan that planes will bomb Iran. Not clear where those US planes will land after dropping their bombs. Not clear if there will be any US planes to actually drop any bombs.

But both Trump and Harris are determined to destroy Iran to protect Israel, if Israel can't do it alone, as Israel has promised that they can. Someone leaked US classified documents with the US assessment of Israeli preparations for a major strike against Iran, mentioning Israeli attack planes and refuelling planes that would carry missiles within range of Iranian targets (not clear if the Israeli planes would actually fly over Iran: they never fly directly over Syria, but use short-range missiles from outside the Syrian border: this is in response to Russia providing Syria with antiaircraft batteries that can strike any planes flying over Syrian territory).

Again, Israel and the US seem unaware of Iranian defences, or at least the media report that Iran have no effective offence nor defence against Israel with or without the US military providing support (the US will provide Israel with whatever military hardware they request, and the US Air Force and other services did help Israel shoot down hundreds of Iranian drones, none of which did Iran intend to actually reach Israel, so the US might send US planes to help the Israeli planes attacking Iran).

The US/UK/EU media all keep saying that Russia is very close to complete defeat in the Ukraine, the sanctions completely collapsed the Russia economy so Russia only has, in addition to Soviet weapons from WWII and Czarist weapons from WWI, all taken from the museums where they were housed, weapons and ammunition from the DPRK and Iran, but these are all very, very primitive in comparison to the ultra-advanced NATO weapons with which the Ukrainian military have been provided, so we've seen the best weapons Iran can produce, and they are not up to much.

Only the reporters actually in the Ukraine, reporters like Eva Bartlett and Vanessa Beeley, report that Russia are winning, but such stories are never allowed in any US/UK/EU media. And Tucker Carlson was fired for reading a Top Secret paper released by (now gaoled) Airman Teixeira that said Russian troop losses were only 10% to 20% as many as Ukrainian losses, when the official US/UK/EU figures are more than one million Russians soldiers have been killed and only 31,500 Ukrainian soldiers.

And I suspect the official US assessment of Iranian offensive and defensive capabilities that appear in the US/UK/EU media are about as accurate as the official US/UK/EU media reports on the battle in the Ukraine.

Of course, it is said that someone sent a ship with 100 tonnes of yellowcake, the name for uranium oxide, to Israel, and 60 tonnes of yellowcake are enough to generate a chain reaction which will produce enough plutonium for many bombs, so many figure Israel must have more than 100 nuclear bombs (and might have done one test in 1979 somewhere near the southern tip of Africa, but that evidence of a nuclear test is now officially a 'device malfunction').

Iran has relatively little uranium under Iranian soil, and no access to uranium from any other source, so there is no way Iran can have a bomb, but they've been less than one month away from a nuke for the past 30 years, according to Netanyahu, who has been reiterating that a US regime-change invasion of Iran is essential and urgently needed.

And it looks like neither Harris nor Trump would do anything to stop Israel from nuking Iran, so not much difference for the Palestinians, Lebanese, Syrians, or Iranians who gets elected week after next.

What is less clear is what will happen in the Ukraine, where Harris has promised complete victory and Trump refuses to say what he will do. When president, Trump read on the official US Presidential TelePrompter, 'I order the US military into Syria to bring peace, freedom, and democracy,' and Trump said, 'I order all US troops out of Syria.' Twice. The third time, he said, 'Now I understand US troops will be going into Syria to steal all the oil, and then we'll sell that oil, so this won't cost the US 1¢, it will make the US money, and I fully support this move.'

Net: the people who run the US wanted Trump to order the troops into Syria to bring peace, freedom, and democracy, but they couldn't get him to do that, and now rate Trump as worst person ever to play the part of US president and speak the lines he or she is given with the right timbre.

But, in his second term, Trump might order generals who fail to follow his orders, e.g., 'All US troops must leave Europe!' fired. Not clear that a single general would leave, or the US military would do anything any differently than their original plans, but it was bad enough that Trump ordered all US troops out of Syria. Twice! We can't have that happen again. So the US government is doing everything it can to make sure the next president is Harris, not Trump, since we know she'll read the official Presidential TelePrompter and never ad lib.

And she has promised the total defeat of Russia, and the restoration of 1991 Ukraine. So what could possibly go wrong???

Friday, October 18, 2024

Iran’s Nuke?

Iran was offered the JCPOA by Obama, but it was cancelled by Trump. The dimmycrats figure Trump was stupid and evil, but they figure that with or without his cancelling the JCPOA.

Clinton ordered a strict blockade on Iraq. No food, no medicine, no vaccines or antibiotics, so childhood diseases that could have easily been treated proved fatal, and malnutrition plus treatable medical problems killed at least 500,000 Iraqi children, a number the US said was well worth it. Clinton promised an end to the blockade if Iraq allowed UN inspectors to verify that Iraq had no WMD.

 Just as soon as those UN inspectors verified no WMDs in Iraq, the Bush, Jr. government announced that they had found anthrax and other biological WMD, and ordered an invasion, execution of all top Iraq government officials, and killed several million more Iraqis than the blockade had already killed.

Then Bush, Jr ordered a strict blockade on Libya and made the same offer, and Qaddafi accepted. As soon as the UN inspectors verified no WMDs, Obama announced that he’d found WMD in Libya and ordered the US military to kill Qaddafi, and lots of other Libyans, and the US military were glad to comply. Then Obama tightened the blockade on Iran (there since 1979) and offered the JCPOA. Plan A, of course, was for Hillary to find WMD and order the overthrow of the Ayatollah. Only Trump got elected and cancelled the JCPOA, and, as a result, we still have the Iranian Ayatollah.

Meanwhile, Clinton, Bush, Jr, and Obama blockaded the DPRK and made the same offer. Kim Jong Il had a huge explosion set off in a mine and said he’d set off a nuke, but seismic evidence was ambiguous. His son, Kim Jong Un set off an explosion in a mine that was unambiguously a nuke. Nothing has happened to the DPRK.

 So why doesn’t Iran have a nuke?

The US executed two Jews for giving away the big secret to a nuke, a secret known to just about every physicist: one needs a pile of about 60 tonnes of uranium and three years. The first US pile was created in Chicago in 1942, and that pile had about 5 tonnes of metallic uranium and the rest was yellowcake, both made as pure as possible, and a chain reaction started, a chain reaction that produced plutonium, something that does not occur in nature. (The pile also needs very pure graphite and cadmium, but graphite and cadmium are easy to obtain, and refining the graphite isn’t that difficult, the hard part is getting enough uranium.)

In 1945, the US obliterated Hiroshima and Nagasaki with two nukes. The US, after Nagasaki was destroyed, explained that there had been a secret test of the first nuke. The US also explained that all three nukes were based on a critical mass of U235. They also explained that they got the U235 by taking pure uranium, which is mostly U238 with a tiny amount of U235. One transforms metallic uranium into uranium fluoride gas and centrifuges the gas to separate out the U235. It takes a lot of centrifuging, because each round only increases the percentage of U235 by a small amount. Eventually, one gets almost pure U235, which is a fissile material that can form a nuclear bomb.

I saw a Disney comic in the ‘50s where the duck scientist, Ludwig von Drake, has a tiny speck of U235, which he said was the most powerful explosive in the world. He threw the tiny speck of U235 into a huge canyon. Someone said, ‘Nothing happened.’ Ludwig von Drake said, ‘It hasn’t hit bottom yet.’ Finally, there was a huge explosion that completely filled the entire canyon, all from a tiny flake of U235.

In high school, my science teacher said he’d worked on the bomb, centrifuging uranium fluoride to get pure U235.

The Soviets were not fooled. It is extremely difficult to separate out almost pure U235. The US eventually admitted one of the three nukes was a plutonium nuke, which is very easy to extract from the uranium pile after three years of a controlled chain reaction. Later it became two plutonium nukes and one U235 nuke. Last I heard, many figure it was three plutonium nukes.

Iran has found about 10 tonnes of uranium. None of the nations with large amounts of uranium will sell to Iran.

The nations of the world are divided into two groups, those with lots of uranium, more than 60 tonnes of yellowcake, and those with very little uranium. The group with lots of uranium is further subdivided into two subgroups: those that want and have a nuke, and those who absolutely do not want a nuclear bomb, and sell the uranium that they do not need for their own nuclear power plants to countries of which they approve.

Needless to say, Iran is in the group with very little uranium and no one willing to sell or give them uranium. Israel is in the group of one nation that has very little uranium in mines in their own country, but who might have had a friend that gave them 100 tonnes of yellowcake that they used to build one of the world’s largest and somewhat ‘secret’ nuclear arsenals–Israel will neither confirm nor deny that they have nukes.

As everyone who has ever listened to President Netanyahu has heard him reiterate, ‘Iran is less than a month away from having a nuke,’ so the US must invade immediately or face a nuclear armed Iran that cannot be safely invaded. And Iran has been less than a month away for at least 30 years now.

But without those UN inspectors verifying that Iran aren’t hiding a secret nuke that they could deploy against the US, the US are reluctant to invade.

So Iran are very lucky that Hillary lost the election, or the JCPOA would have gotten them invaded and destroyed.

Friday, October 11, 2024

So Long Mom?

If one reads the US/UK/EU news, Putin had this hair-brained idea of rebuilding the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact, and figured the Ukraine was the weakest link and the best place to start. What Putin did not know (as the US/UK/EU reiterate) was that NATO had armed and trained the Ukraine. Russia, meanwhile, had old Soviet weapons from WWII and Czarist weapons from WWI, and nothing else, so the entire Russian army was wiped out by the Ukraine. The Russians managed to invade a few villages, such as Bucha, and kill a bunch of unarmed civilians, but the Russians could not stand up to the Ukrainian military with their ultra-advanced weapons and training from NATO.

Putin lost one army, so he sent a second and a third. Russia have lost more than one million men, while the Ukraine have only lost 31,500. Russia is on the edge of defeat, the Ukraine military have taken the Westernmost part of Russia and will soon be in Moscow and will hand Putin over to the Hague, then Russia will be broken up into 30 or more small, unarmed countries, with all Russian oil and gas forfeited to US oiligarchs as War Reparations.

Great story, and it sells Western news media: print, web, and TV. Not a word of it true, but the point is profit, and the Western news are profiting from this story (and any other story is strictly illegal, unless it's the story that they lied: Russia are much weaker than this story portrays, and victory will be much easier).

Meanwhile, classified US documents read by Tucker Carlson (for which he was fired) say that it's not Russia but the Ukraine that are losing, that the Ukraine have lost close to 1 million men, while Russian losses are only 10% to 20% of Ukrainian losses.

Russia will not stop until NATO agree that the Ukraine will never be a part of NATO, and the faux Ukrainian government, installed by NATO, specifically by Victoria Nuland, is replaced by a government that promise never to join NATO.

It is never mentioned that, in 2021, Putin sent 2 letters, one to the White House and one to NATO headquarters in Europe, that Russia could never allow the Ukraine to be part of NATO. The White House and NATO headquarters both said that Russia had no say in the matter, the Ukraine would join NATO and host the largest NATO military base in the world. After which, Putin invaded.

Putin made one huge mistake. In 2014, Victoria Nuland got rid of a rabidly pro-Russian government whose president kept going back and forth between Russia and Europe, asking which would give him the better deal. So Victoria put in a rabidly anti-Russian government that promised the largest NATO base in the Ukraine, in return, the president got $millions and the Ukraine got nothing, which is just as it should be. The new government announced that all those Russian naval bases in Crimea would be given to NATO, and Russia would be kicked out, leaving Russia with no sea access for their fleet.

Russia invaded Crimea, and the army, with almost all Slavic senior officers, met the Russians and agreed that Crimea would return from the Ukraine to Russia, where it had been until Khrushchev gave it to the Ukraine in 1954. Not a shot was fired.

But, from 2014 until 2022, NATO had the Ukraine remove all Slavic officers from their military and replace them with Aryan officers who wanted the complete destruction of all Slavs and Slavic nations. So when Russia arrived in 2022, it was not like the Crimea, the  Ukrainian Aryans tried their best to destroy the Russian military, who reorganised and began crushing the Ukrainian military.

It is now clear, to observers who are currently in the Ukraine seeing what is happening, that Russia will win.

It is just as clear, to observers in the US/UK/EU, that all reports and news articles say Russia are losing, and losing badly, they have lost three armies, and now all Russian military are very elderly men and very young boys, and most Russians are ready to hand Putin over to the Hague.

The Ukraine say they need long-range weapons that can destroy Moscow and St Petersburg. The UK said, 'OK, we'll give you long-range Storm Shadow missiles.'

Putin said, 'If one Storm Shadow missile hits Russia, every Storm Shadow facility in the UK will be toast.'

The UK withdrew the offer, but the US are now making a similar offer, and Putin has not yet threatened the US facilities, or, if he has, the US suppress that news.

US/UK/EU readers/watchers of the news are still told that the Ukraine are winning and Russia are just days away from total defeat, provided the US/UK/EU support continue. A mere $900 billion have kept the Ukraine close to victory, and more money is essential to completely destroy Russia, 

Everyone is sure the US will easily destroy Russia just as Napoleon did in 1812, and the "1812 Overture" celebrates Napoleon's victory over Russia.

And, of course, the Wehrmacht defeated the USSR. The Wehrmacht fought at Leningrad and Stalingrad, and easily destroyed both cities. Just look at any modern map: there is no trace of Leningrad nor Stalingrad, since both were destroyed by the Wehrmacht, and the Ukrainian/NATO army are rapidly advancing on Moscow (but the US/UK/EU prediction of what will happen when they get there might prove rather less than accurate).