Wednesday, February 22, 2023

Nordstream Pipeline Destruction Investigations

 Since 1823, the US have been the leading neo-colonial power, saying European nations had better stay out of Latin America. The Americans call this the Monroe Doctrine. For the next 75 years, the US condemned colonialism, where European nations sent their armies into Africa, Asia, and the Americas, conquered countries, and installed ethnic Europeans as the senior government officials, with the resident head of state a European, and the ultimate head of state the head of the European colonising nation.

In Latin America, the US military helped nations achieve independence from their former European colonisers, who had been robbing the nations blind. The US selected a small minority, the Castillanos, in the decolonised Latin American countries and gave them money and weapons with which they took over the governments of those nations and ran their own country, knowing that they had to do what the US leadership and oligarchs told them to do or they would be replaced. All the resources in their country, formerly stolen by the colonial powers, went to US oligarchs, and ordinary Americans got cheap bananas. Most of those in the neocolonised Latin American countries remained very poor, but the tiny minority put in power by the US were rich, and, of course, the US oligarchs were obscenely wealthy. But the country were nominally run by their own citizens, not by citizens of some other country, so they were a neocolony, not a colony.

After WWII, the US expanded their neocolonialism from Latin America to Western Europe, Japan, and South Korea. Unlike in Latin America, they kept most Western Europeans prosperous, so they would fear the USSR and do whatever the US wanted, and did the same in Japan and South Korea so they would fear the PRC and the DRPK. After the collapse of the USSR, the US expanded their neocolonialism to the former Warsaw Pact.

So, after the US and Norway destroyed the Nordstream Pipeline in September 2022, the US gave the leaderships of Germany, Denmark, and Sweden two choices: investigate and say Russia destroyed their own pipeline, or keep the investigation going forever, never reaching any conclusion, and all three agreed on the second option, at least for now.

Russia demand a real investigation, and the PRC agree. The rest of the UN Security Council all say that Germany, Denmark, and Sweden are doing a great job and must be allowed to continue, with all their findings strictly confidential. The US, of course, lie that it has been irrefutably proven that the US had absolutely nothing to do with the sabotage of the Nordstream pipelines, and it is Russia alone that want the German, Danish, and Swedish investigation stopped before they prove that Russia were responsible.

Monday, February 20, 2023

Blockading Russia

 Back in 1960, the US put an embargo on Cuba. This was perfectly legal: the US said no US citizen or permanent resident could buy anything from Cuba. Since most of Cuban industry was buying from and selling to the US, this was a problem for Cuba, but the USSR promised to buy the sugar and cigars Cuba sold and to sell whatever Cuba needed to buy. So it was a very short-lived problem, just until things got sorted and Cuba started selling everywhere except the US.

This annoyed the US, but the USSR were too strong, so Cuban sugar and cigars were sold everywhere, and the US seethed.

But then the USSR collapsed, and the US could and did go to a blockade: No one could buy from or sell to Cuba. So Cubans die from lack of medicines. A blockade is usually illegal under international law, unless you are the Hegemon, too strong for anyone to dare challenge, as the US was after the USSR ceased to exist.

The US have now blockaded Russia, but India and the PRC are ignoring the blockade and buying all the Russia energy Russia formerly sold to the EU at below market value.

So the US have threatened India and the PRC that, if they do not respect the US blockade on Russia, there will be severe consequences.

So what will India and the PRC do? Will they accept that the US are the strongest nation, militarily and economically, and agree to abide by the US blockade, since failure to abide by a US blockade is a heinous violation of the Rules-Based-Order, where the US make all the rules and give all the orders.

Or will they defy the US and continue to trade with Russia.

My guess is that both India and the PRC know the immense power of the US and the horrible consequences of defying the US, so the chances are that India and the PRC will follow the Rules-based-Order and stop all trade with Russia: For India, those chances are slim and for the PRC, those chances are none.

Saturday, February 18, 2023

When Two Fronts are Better than One, How to Get that Second Front???

 In 2012, Graham Allister wrote "The Thucydides Trap," that, with the fall of the USSR, the US became Global Hegemon, and 75% of the time, hegemons fight tooth and nail to keep their hegemony, so it was very likely that the US would go to war with the PRC.

Crystal Balls have their limitations, and Russia got uppity, so the US decided to provoke Russia into attacking the Ukraine by threatening to make the Ukraine part of NATO with US military bases, and with nukes that could hit Russia in less than a minute, too quickly for Russia to respond thereby removing Russian MAD. This was a brilliant plan. The entire Russian economy was based on selling energy to the West and using the money to buy everything Russia needed from the West, so, when Russia attacked the Ukraine, the sanctions destroyed the Russian economy and the Ukraine, armed with advanced US weapons, easily defeated the entire Russian military with their "outmoded and inept" weapons (as the Western media describe them). Plus, of course, Russia had no money to pay their military, so they suffered a quick and total defeat and we'll have regime change in just a fortnight.

Russia's complete and total defeat has remained just a fortnight away in all the Western media since March 2022. Any suggestion that Russia might possibly be able to win the war is strictly prohibited, no major new outlet can allow any reporter to write such an article, and all those writing for the alternative media are denounced as fools or Russian agents spreading misinformation that no American with a 2-or-more-digit IQ would ever believe.

But now it is time to provoke the PRC into attacking Taiwan. Sending the Speaker of the House seemed like a good start, and a senior member of the PRC said the PLA Air Force would prevent her aeroplane from landing in Taiwan, but then the PRC did nothing.

It turns out that the PRC say they will have a World Class military in 2027. It appears they will not take on the US before 2027. The US know about the 2027 goal, and insist that war must be provoked before 2026.

Back in the '70s, when Kissinger was running the US, he convinced the US to appease Mao in order to pry the PRC away from the USSR. The US agreed that Taiwan was a part of the PRC, and downgraded their Taiwan Embassy to an Institute. The Institute is the same as an Embassy, but the name has been changed.

The agreement Kissinger got the PRC to accept was that the US and Taiwan would always say that Taiwan was just another province of the PRC, no different from any other province, but would act as if Taiwan were an independent nation.

So the US were always careful not to do anything that made it terribly and painfully obvious that Taiwan were an American neo-colony. But that was Before.

The PRC were, formerly, a valuable resource for the US leadership. The PRC provided cheap labour, so the US could lay off expensive US workers and replace them with cheap PRC workers and greatly increase the profits of US oligarchs (and US politicians who got generous baksheesh).

But the PRC are getting too strong, strong enough to challenge US Global Hegemony, so we need a proxy war in Taiwan where the sanction will destroy the PRC economy and Taiwan, with advanced US weapons, will easily defeat the PLA.

But, to be safe, that proxy war needs to take place before 2026. And the PRC seem like a very cautious fish, not rising to any US bait.

The provocations will, of course, get more and more provocative. The new Speaker has said he's going to Taiwan. The US is talking about treaties with Taiwan (before, they could never be called 'treaties'). What will it take to get the PRC to invade and try to conquer Taiwan, and thereby be utterly destroyed?

The US will try anything and everything to get their proxy war in Taiwan before 2026.

And the PRC will put up with a lot that they would never have put up with before, at least until 2027.

Wednesday, February 8, 2023

NATO remain determined to destroy Russia (and take Russian energy sources as reparations?)

 Several leaders of NATO countries have promised large numbers of heavy weapons. And the Western media, as usual, assure us that Russia are losing about 1,000 troops a day to NATO artillery, and Putin has just about completely run out of soldiers, so regime change must be close.

Western media have repeatedly described the complete destruction of the Russian invasion force since the conflict started, and Russia have never, since 1 March, been able to hold out for more than a fortnight.

The US made it clear that all petroleum resources are US property (except for Saudi, who bought their oil property back, giving Western investors a good profit).

Mossadegh and the Shah both thought Iranian oil should be for the Iranian people, so the US removed both as Head of State. Sadly, the Shah's replacements have been even more hostile to the West than the Shah was.

And Venezuela still refuse to return all the US oil in Venezuela, and have not been convinced by the US blockade.

But surely Russia can be convinced, since all of NATO are determined to help the US break up Russia into small, harmless, independent (at least independent on Russia, they can depend on NATO if they need anything) nations, all of whose petroleum products belong to the US.

But this war on Russia does not seem to be going nearly as well as the wars on Grenada, Panama, Iraq, and Afghanistan, except in the Western media, which are read and believed by the NATO leadership, and where Russia have already been decisively defeated.