Blockading Russia

 Back in 1960, the US put an embargo on Cuba. This was perfectly legal: the US said no US citizen or permanent resident could buy anything from Cuba. Since most of Cuban industry was buying from and selling to the US, this was a problem for Cuba, but the USSR promised to buy the sugar and cigars Cuba sold and to sell whatever Cuba needed to buy. So it was a very short-lived problem, just until things got sorted and Cuba started selling everywhere except the US.

This annoyed the US, but the USSR were too strong, so Cuban sugar and cigars were sold everywhere, and the US seethed.

But then the USSR collapsed, and the US could and did go to a blockade: No one could buy from or sell to Cuba. So Cubans die from lack of medicines. A blockade is usually illegal under international law, unless you are the Hegemon, too strong for anyone to dare challenge, as the US was after the USSR ceased to exist.

The US have now blockaded Russia, but India and the PRC are ignoring the blockade and buying all the Russia energy Russia formerly sold to the EU at below market value.

So the US have threatened India and the PRC that, if they do not respect the US blockade on Russia, there will be severe consequences.

So what will India and the PRC do? Will they accept that the US are the strongest nation, militarily and economically, and agree to abide by the US blockade, since failure to abide by a US blockade is a heinous violation of the Rules-Based-Order, where the US make all the rules and give all the orders.

Or will they defy the US and continue to trade with Russia.

My guess is that both India and the PRC know the immense power of the US and the horrible consequences of defying the US, so the chances are that India and the PRC will follow the Rules-based-Order and stop all trade with Russia: For India, those chances are slim and for the PRC, those chances are none.