Nukes?????

There is a rumour that Iran will soon set off a nuke. Where and how they got the nuke is not explained. Maybe the Fatwa from the late Ayatollah meant they got close to a nuke, but not quite across the finish line, but after his passing, his Fatwas passed with him, and they finished the job. Or they might have gotten some help from someone, not at all clear from whom.

The basic idea is that the US were threatening the DPRK until they set off what they said was a nuke on 9 October 2006. A large, underground explosion was picked up on all the measurement instruments that track such things, an explosion that might have been a nuke, or just a huge pile of conventional explosives. The US have been threatening the DPRK on and off since the PRC evicted the US military from the DPRK in 1951, when the US had been close to forming a united Korea as a US puppet state, something the PRC could not allow.

But the second DPRK underground explosion on 25 May 2009 was definitely a nuke, at least 2 kilotons.

That wasn't the last test, but it was enough. The US backed off, and no longer threaten the DPRK.

So many who think that Iran should be left in peace keep saying, 'If they don't have a nuke, the US will keep attacking, doing massive damage, killing lots of Iranians, including schoolchildren, and making the people desperate for the relief that will come when they accept a Shah back, as they were forced to do in 1953, and let BP have all the oil and gas. Legally (under US/UK law) all Iranian oil and gas belongs to BP, which is 50% US and 50% UK owned. Will the US give the UK half? We won't know until the US convinces Iran to surrender and accept a Shah and BP back.

But if Iran have nukes, the US will have to back off, so (again, just a rumour for now) Iran might be planning to set off a nuke, probably underground, as the DPRK did.

Back in 1945, no other country had the tools to detect the US test in New Mexico, but that is no longer the case, so testing a nuke is now enough to convince other countries to leave one alone, it is not necessary to bomb two undefended cities in a country already carpet bombed with conventional weapons and with their army and navy already almost completely destroyed.

And, of course, actually using a nuke could provoke a nuclear response, which testing nukes has (so far) only convinced other nations that it would not be a good idea to attack a nuclear armed nation.

So will Iran actually set off a nuke to convince the US and Israel to back off???? 

***

Meanwhile, Russia have been fighting NATO since 2022, more than four years. I watched various podcasts that said Russia were winning, and the New York Times wasn't saying much about the war in the Ukraine. But then, after a few months, the New York Times wrote that Russia, with old, poorly maintained Soviet weapons, were being destroyed by the Ukraine armed with the most advanced NATO weapons. Russia were unable to kill any of the Ukrainian military, only civilians in undefended Ukrainian villages, while most of the Russian military in the Ukraine had been killed, and Russia were desperately trying to round up young men to be forced to fight and die in the Ukraine. The Ukraine managed to attack and kill many Russians in Moscow at theaters and other such places. It did not look to the New York Times that Russia could hold out much longer: with their economy destroyed by sanctions, so they had no ability to build any new weapons, or even keep their cities running and their people fed, Russia had to collapse.

Reading the New York Times, Russia continue to suffer from a totally destroyed economy and keeps sending young (and also older) men to die in a futile attempt to annex a tiny bit of eastern Ukraine.

Watching the podcasts, it is the Ukrainians who have to send vans to capture young (and older) men and send them to the front to die.

But after four years, Russia have made little progress, only a tiny bit of eastern Ukraine, even if their losses have not been nearly as large as the New York Times reports (New York Times reporters get their news from the most reliable sources, the CIA and MI6, who have accurate intelligence on how the war is going, and we know they would never lie to the various US/UK/EU news outlets).

So, in desperation, several are suggesting that Russia should be escalating to nukes, something that will convince NATO to stop supporting the Ukraine, after which the Ukraine will have to accept Russian terms.

***

The US stated, after nuking Japan, that all their nukes were U₂₃₅. I read a Disney comic book about how U₂₃₅ was the most powerful explosive in the world, that a tiny flake would cause a huge explosion that would fill the Grand Canyon.

But then, years later, I read about the Chicago Pile. The US finally admitted that one of the nukes was Plutonium, which is very easy to produce if one has 50 tonnes of yellowcake and metallic uranium (the US gave Israel 100 tonnes). I have seen the public US descriptions of how easy it is to make a U₂₃₅ bomb, in the hopes that everyone who wants a nuke will try to make a U₂₃₅ nuke, something we have no record that anyone has actually been able to do, so the US keeps repeating that that is the easiest way to make a nuke, in fact the only way to make a nuke with only a small amount of uranium. I recently watched a podcast that less than 5 kilos of U₂₃₅ is enough for a nuke, and is very easy for any nation to produce. The US have been saying this since 1945, but there is no hard evidence that anyone has ever actually succeeded in building a U₂₃₅ nuke (but the US keep lying that their 1945 nukes were U₂₃₅).

The DPRK apparently had 50 tonnes of yellowcake and metallic uranium. Basically, every nation with 50 tonnes of yellowcake and metallic uranium that wants a nuke has a nuke. Nations without 50 tonnes of yellowcake and metallic uranium don't have one, but the US accuse of them of being close to a nuke as one of many justifications to attack and claim all their resources as war reparations. Of course, if one wants all their resources, one can't actually nuke them, or those resources would be too radioactive to be of any value.

So the US accuse Iran of trying to build a nuke as an casus belli.

***

I worked in the US defence industry for several years. I have a STEM degree, so the US government kept giving defence contractors a lot of money to hire me. My contract said that if I quit, I had to repay the US. 

My first day, they said, 'You were hired as a STEM person. We don't need any T or E, only S and M, Sales and marketing. Your quota is $250,000. Where are you going to get that money?' I had no idea, and they told me, if I had any decency, I'd quit because I was totally unqualified to do the job (they hoped I hadn't bothered to read my contract). So they had me dig holes and fill them up for  year.

I finally got a job where the government demanded they actually demonstrate a STEM result that they had claimed (but hadn't actually achieved) and my contract didn't have any requirement that I repay the government if I quit, so I solved their problem, got my pay cheque, and quit.

The defence companies are all totally corrupt, so those US weapons that destroyed Iraq with minimal US losses don't work very well against a nation like Iran.

Also, Iraq were dependent on food and medicine imports, so the US sanctions (really, a blockade, which is an act of war) killed more than 500,000 Iraqis before the war started, something the US say was 'well worth it'.

But Iran grow their own food and produce most of the medicines they need (and they now have customers for their oil and gas who don't care about US sanctions, and who will sell Iran things they desperately need that are banned by those sanctions). So Iran are not suffering the way that Iraq suffered before the war started.

And the Iranian government did not fall as quickly and easily as the Iraqi or Libyan or Venezuelan governments, and they are proving that they do already have a nuke, not a U₂₃₅ or Plutonium nuke, a Strait nuke. And the US have tried everything their military can think of, but Iran still have their Strait nuke (using a Plutonium nuke would leave the Strait too radioactive to be of much use).

So where will the US go from here? No idea.

*** 

My guess is that Iran will stick with a Strait nuke and won't bother with a Plutonium nuke, and Russia will not nuke Ukraine: it's not like nuking a country on the other side of the world, the Ukraine are much too close to be a good target for nukes.

8 June What a ceasefire????

Iran agreed to a ceasefire if the US and Israel would agree to stop striking Iran, Lebanon, and Ghaza. Of course, as Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov says, the US is 'agreement incapable.'

So the US has bombed Iran in 'retaliation for Iranian strikes on the US military,' strikes that apparently came after the bombing that was in retaliation for those strikes, while doing nothing to stop Israel from bombing Ghaza and Lebanon, something Israel never promised to stop, while the US had agreed with Iranian demands that Israel would stop bombing.

Iran are now annoyed and have bombed Bahrain for hosting the US fleet and Kuwait for hosting the US aircraft that struck Iran, clearly unprovoked and illegal bombing by Iran, while the US and Israeli bombings are entirely justified, just ask any Zionist and they'll tell you that Israel have every right to all the land between the northernmost tip of the Euphrates to the southernmost tip of the Nile, and so, if goyim are stealing any of that land, the Zionists have every right to bomb those thieves, which includes the Turks and the Iranians, plus most of the Palestinians and the Lebanese.

Israel say they must totally eradicate those who killed Israelis on 7 October 2023, which means everyone in Ghaza, all of whom are guilty, and everyone in Lebanon except the top government officials who are Christian and Sunni, and who would be grateful to Israel if they would get rid of all the Shia in Lebanon, especially Hezbollah, and they wouldn't mind if Israel also took out the Christian and Sunni rabble, leaving all of North Beirut for the top Christian and Sunni elites (and the rest of Lebanon part of Israel).

Iran remain quite capable of striking Israel and all the Arab States bordering the Gulf with Two Names (it's the Arabian Gulf on the Southwest and the Persian Gulf on the Northeast, and has had those two names for as long as we have records in Arabic and Farsi). It is not at all clear how much damage Iran can do to Israel: very few Israelis have been killed or injured, since Israel have been preparing for war for years with lots of bomb-proof shelters where Israelis can be safe (not comfortable, but safe, so there are many complaints about having to spend too much time in the shelters).

The Arab States, unlike Israel who downplay as nonexistent, or at most minimal, all damages, deaths, and injuries, complain vehemently about the loss of property and lives and the injuries to many who were too near an Iranian strike. But the number killed and injured by Iranian strikes in the Gulf Arab States is very small. In Iraq there was fighting between pro- and anti-Iranian forces with a total of more than 100 killed.

The US bombing of Iran, in contrast, killed thousands of Iranians and injured many more.

The US say their strikes on Iran destroyed more than 30% of Iranian weapons, since it was difficult to destroy the buried and hidden weapons, but the US say that, with the intelligence gathered since the ceasefire, they now know how to destroy the remaining 70% should Iran provoke a US attack.

Iran say their weapons factories, hidden where the US cannot find nor bomb them, have produced enough new weapons they now have more than 100% of the weapons they had 28 February, and will do far more damage to the military assets of the US, Israel, and the Gulf Arab states still supporting the US if attacked again.

All US/UK/EU mainstream media report that they have checked and verified that all US claims are true and all Iranian claims are false, so, if the US decides to finish the job, to ensure that Iran cannot built a large nuclear arsenal and threaten the world, they will be able to do so by totally destroying all of Iran's military and nuclear capabilities. The pro-Trump media say Trump could finish the job, while the anti-Trump media say Trump is a worse than useless president who has not and cannot accomplish anything, but his successor will finish the job.

There is, of course, no reliable source who can guarantee that Iran's weaponry has been decreased by a third and the rest can now be taken out with little difficulty by the US and Israel or who can guarantee that Iran's weaponry has been upgraded and will do far more damage to US, Israeli, and Arab Gulf State assets than has already been done.

So, with all the claims and strident efforts to obscure what has actually been happening, we don't really know much. We know what we've been told, but some of us suspect that what we've been told could just possibly be false. 

31 May: War or Not???

A friend says that the US must restart the war, but will wait until after the World Cup. However, Michael Hudson figures the US will start the war today, Sunday, 31 May 2026, or tomorrow, 1 June.

The US goal is control of all the oil in the world. Some say the Iraq war was a disaster, but it wasn't: the US got all the Iraqi oil, and generously gave 10% to the UK for helping. Some say the US got nothing out of killing Qaddafi, but, again, that's not true, the US got all the Libyan oil and gave 10% to the UK and 10% to France for helping (the French learned from the Iraq war that one should always help the US, since that pays better than not helping).

Syria was a little different. The US got all the oil, but there wasn't that much. The idea was to get rid of the horrible dictator Assad and replace him with a good, democratic leader like Jolani, a good Zionist who helped Israel with their 13 June and 28 February attacks on Iran (Assad had anti-aircraft that he used against any Israeli plane that flew over Syria, so Iran had to fly around Syria or, if the target was in Syria, use expensive missiles rather than cheap bombs, so he was obviously a horrible dictator and anti-Semite who had to go).

In any case, Iran has to go. All Iranian oil was discovered by UK developers, so it was all UK property until Prime Minister Mosaddek nationalised the oil in 1951. After WWII, the UK was too weak to get rid of Mosaddek, but MI6 knew to ask the CIA who arrested Mosaddek, made the Shah supreme leader of Iran,  and the Shah returned all the oil in Iran to the rightful (under US/UK law) owners, BP, now 50% owned by the UK and 50% owned by the US.

Great! But then, in 1979, the Iranians, led by an Ayatollah, overthrew the Shah and not only took all the oil, they took every American in the Embassy in Tehran hostage. President Carter sent a rescue mission that was destroyed by a desert sandstorm, so Carter lost the 1980 election and was replaced by President Reagan who paid a big ransom to Iran and got all the American hostages released.

But the Iranians kept all their oil, totally illegally under US/UK law,, so the US blockaded Iran, making it impossible for anyone to buy any Iranian oil or sell Iran anything like food or medicine. The blockade of Iraq killed about 500,000 Iraqis, and the US said it was well worth it to get all the Iraqi oil back in the hands of the legal (under US law) owners.

But Iran grows enough food to prevent starvation or even malnutrition, and enough medicine for the most common diseases, so the Iranians dying from no access to medicine was not nearly as many as in Iraq (and Iran have a larger population).

So the US keep pressing on to get that oil returned. As Trump says, no president has been able to get that oil back, but he's making great progress and will get it all bacdk and will remove a horribly anti-Semitic government of Iran that condemns Israel killing Arab terrorists like the babies in Gaza and South Lebanon (but he still doesn't have the oil back).

That the US will attack again to get their (and the UK) oil back seems certain, but whether it will be before or after the World Cup is anyone's guess. 

27 May: What's Next?

 The US have offered Iran that they will accept Iran's complete surrender, in the mind of the US, a very generous offer, since the alternative is to eliminate Iran completely.

Iran keeps playing their Strait, while Trump holds all the Uno cards.

It should be noted that, while this is denied, Iran had some surreptitious help from Russia and the PRC: devices to block Starlink terminals and lead Iranian forces to the holders of Starlink terminals, which had quite an impact in December 2025 and early January 2026. And it is not clear if Iran produced every last part of the missiles that destroyed the US military bases in some of the Arab Gulf countries and struck somewhere in Israel. The world can see the damage to US military bases, since the Arab Gulf countries allowed news agencies to film the damage, but we have no idea how much damage those missiles did to Israel, since no one except the Israeli government is allowed to know the extent of that damage.

It is not altogether clear why the US and Israel stopped bombing Iran, although running low on bombs may have been part of the reason. Iran managed to go up the escalation ladder, doing more and more damage (that we know) to the US military bases and the Gulf Arab states as the US and Israel bombed Iran, until it seemed to the US (and maybe Israel) that a ceasefire was called for.

But the US keep demanding that Iran hand over all weapons and all uranium with unlimited US inspections to verify that all weapons and uranium have been turned over, and also agree to allow free passage through the Strait (of course, if Iran have no weapons of any kind, it would be difficult for them to have any impact on ships passing through the Strait, which is the idea). After which, the US would be able to select the leader of Iran, and would insist on someone like the new leader of Venezuela, who would agree that all Iranian oil and gas belong to BP, the legal owner under US/UK law.

For inexplicable reasons, Iran have not yet accepted that generous offer from the US.

So, at this point, we have no idea what the US and Israel will do. We know Israel plan to annex the southern part of Lebanon, maybe all of Lebanon, destroying all of Beirut, making it unlivable, after which a new, Israeli city will be built, one where only Israelis are allowed to live.

Israel say all they want is what is rightfully theirs, which, as the US Ambassador to Israel agreed when talking to Tucker Carlson, is everything from the Euphrates to the Nile. 

The Iranians say that part of the terms to which they insist Israel and the US agree is that Israel must withdraw from Lebanon and Gaza and stop all military action in both. Since the US and Israeli terms are that Iran must cease to exist, there seems to be rather a large distance between the minimal demands of the parties involved.

And it is not at all clear what, if anything, Russia and the PRC will do to help the three parties come to some kind of peaceful settlement. 

18 May: When (and Who) Will Strike Iran???

Several 'experts' say the US want the attack on Iran to be on a weekend, so the stocks can't crash as the strike appears on the news.

But the 2025 strike was very early on a Friday, not long after midnight. That strike, the US were not involved, only the Israelis, and they killed all the top generals with drones, having found out where they all lived and destroying their homes. They also tried to kill the Ayatollah, but he wasn't home, and the President, who was home, but the drone failed to kill him, and his injuries were described as minor.

The 2026 strike was on a Saturday, but the day was not picked by Israel and/or the US, it was picked by the Ayatollah, since he believed that it was best to be martyred during Ramadan. The most senior generals were hidden, but Israel had bought one of them and he revealed the secret room where they were to be to meet with the Ayatollah, then he excused himself from the meeting and called the Israelis to say all the senior generals were in the room he'd told the Israelis about, and the Israelis bombed the room and killed all those generals.

Of course, all those generals had a second in command, so the seconds immediately took over control of the military, and Iran have detailed plans for what to do when the Ayatollah in charge dies, so the promised total collapse of the government and military, and the uprising of all the Iranian people predicted by massive polls of all the Iranians in the US/UK/EU didn't seem to be forthcoming.

What was forthcoming was a massive Iranian attack on US bases around the Gulf with Two Names (the Arabs all call it the Arabian Gulf while all the Persians call it the Persian Gulf), an attack that did $billions of damage to American military assets. This attack by the Iranians was totally illegal under international law, while the US/Israeli attack was totally legal (the US, not Iran, get to say what International Law is).

Net: we have no idea what day the US and/or Israelis will attack Iran, but an attack is considered certain by the Iranians and many other observers. 

17 May 2026: When Will the US Resume the War on Iran???

The US ran out of bombs and agreed to a ceasefire, officially, to give the Iranians time to surrender before more schoolgirls were killed.

Under US law, every one of those young schoolgirls died because she was forced by the Iranian government to attend a school for terrorists, so the Iranian government are entirely responsible for the deaths of all those young girls.

But, as of now, the Iranians still, illegally under US law, have gated the Strait of Hormuz, opening it to ships they like for no payment or a small payment, and closing it to ships they don't like or that refuse to pay the toll.

President Trump says that President Xi agrees that the Strait must be open, and supports the American military effort to re-open the Strait.

The PRC do not seem to totally agree with the official US position: they want the Strait open, but, of course, the Iranians have said it is completely and totally open to all PRC ships, and, in addition, after what happened in 2021, the US Navy are not seizing any PRC oil tankers.

In any case, Israel have it in their version of the Torah that all of West Asia legally belongs to Israel, and intend to take it all, including Iran. And they expect the US to help them.

Trump would prefer peace, as one saw if one looked, but then the men in dark suits and dark glasses had a little talk with him and said that, if he does not go on camera and order war, he'll get the same great funeral that JFK got.

So Trump ordered war. The war on Syria got rid of Assad, who was an anti-Zionist, and replaced him with Jolani, a good Zionist who says he totally supports Israel and let them fly over Syria to attack Iran in June 2025 and February, March, and April 2026.

And, with full support from Jolani, most expect Israel to strike Iran again, very soon, with the full support and cooperation of the US.

9 May 2026: US fired on 7 May, as predicted, but not much. 16 or 17 May???

President Trump is scheduled to meet with PRC leaders on 14 and 15 May, so no big attack on 7 May, a date predicted by some for the resumption of US/Israeli attacks on Iran. A few shots were fired by US Navy ships on 7 May, and shots returned by Iran, but nothing much.

The PRC have been helping Iran, so Trump doesn't want to be in the middle of a major war during his visit, and so the attack that the Zionists want seems to be postponed until after the visit, and it is said that whoever is really in charge prefers weekend attacks that won't shock the markets. This theory is contradicted by the fact that Trump announces peace shortly after some punters bought puts on oil, and then announces that the peace initiative failed after the punters cashed their puts and bought calls on oil. How much Trump (or his close family members) made on the markets is unknown, but someone seems to have known about the declaration of peace and the nullification of that declaration and made a lot of money from that knowledge. Anyway, just good business: it has always been the case that the big boys (and now the big girls like Pelosi) have access to information denied to most of us.

All the Zionists keep saying that Iran must be destroyed, they are a mortal threat to everyone in the US, they are only a very few days away from nuking the US. And some believe them.

Trump has declared total victory several times. I've heard him say, 'We've destroyed the entire Iranian Army, Air Force, and Navy and all their weapons, and we've killed all their leaders.'

But he's never added the obvious, 'so now we can go home and forget all about Iran.'

Sadly, the Zionists keep pointing out that Iran still control the Strait, in spite of having no army, navy, air force or weapons, so the job isn't done, and won't be done until there is no Iran on the map.

And the Zionists are in control of the US of A (and, a fortiori, Trump), so the war will definitely continue after Trump gets back from the PRC, but when, exactly, the war will resume won't be clear until the bombs start falling.