Sunday, January 16, 2022

(Economic?) War with Russia

 US intelligence announced that very soon now, Russia will attack the Donbass, say it was the Ukrainian Army, and invade the Ukraine. That will 'force' the US to impose sanctions same as Iran: any nation that trades with Russia is in heinous violation of International Law, and anyone from that nation that ever travels to Western Europe, the Antipodes, the US, Canada, and much of Latin America will be arrested and extradited to the US to face charges with a penalty of Life without Parole. Russia will also be cut off from SWIFT and the US$.

Translation: the Ukraine get most of their money as US handouts which will be cut off unless they march into the Donbass and enforce the laws against the Russia Language and the Russian Orthodox Religion. The US press will, of course, say those army forces are all really Russian, and any Russian response is a heinous violation of International Law.

And then what?

Will Russia cave and let the Ukraine abolish the Donbass autonomy and enforce the ban on the Russian Language and the Russian religion, or will the Russian military enforce the autonomy of the Donbass and evict the Ukrainian Army (which, we have seen, is incredibly easy for the Russian military)?

And how will Russia respond to those US sanctions? Russia will make every effort to ensure no Russian makes Ms Meng's mistake and travels to any country under US hegemony where they will be arrested. Will Russia trade with the PRC in RMB? Will the PRC dig pipelines that will enable Russia to sell all its gas to the PRC? Will cutting off Russia (and trying very hard to cut off the PRC) wreck the US economy?

So many questions, with so many very unpleasant answers and a few pleasant possibilities if Russia and the PRC play their cards right.

Thursday, December 23, 2021

All for the Greater Good

Several years ago, Germany asked Russia for more gas. Russia said, ‘Да!’ And they built Nord Stream 2. But, under great pressure from the US, the German regulators have not approved Nord Stream 2 for gas, even though it’s complete. The US and NATO say Germany must sanction Russia and not buy Russian gas. And the regulators say they probably will never approve Nord Stream 2.

Meanwhile, the PRC wants to decarbonise, but desperately needs energy to provide for its 1.5 billion citizens, so they are digging coal mines like crazy and say they hope to reach peak coal in 2030, increasing their use of coal every year for the next 8 or 9 years.

As it turns out, there is a very happy solution: all that Russian gas should go to the PRC! Gas is a fossil fuel, but it produces much less CO per megawatt hour than coal, so switching from PRC and Australian and DPRK coal to Russian gas is good for Russia, good for the PRC, and good for the planet! It’s a bit hard on the poorer NATO citizens who will have to pay twice as much for their gas, but it’s not Russia’s fault, it’s not the fault of the PRC, it’s entirely the fault of the NATO leaders who say they must sanction Russia.

Russian and the PRC need to start digging those pipelines NOW. And with PRC production values, it would not be that long before the PRC starts greatly reducing its CO emissions while paying much less.

So I'm hoping they get started ASAP.


Sunday, December 19, 2021

USSR ❤️ PRC; USSR ✄ PRC; PRC ❤️ US; Russia ❤️ PRC

 When the PRC formed in 1949, they and the USSR were BFF. (Also, in 1949, the USSR detonated its first nuke.)

In 1951, the US wanted a single Korea with a US puppet dictator, and was about to overrun and overthrow the DPRK when the PRC intervened. General MacArthur said the only way to defeat the PLA was with nukes, but Truman said, 'The USSR has MAD. You're fired.' And the US settled for a 'draw' with the DPRK remaining in the USSR/PRC sphere of influence and South Korea as a US puppet state. (The PRC consider this a Great Victory over the US by the PLA.)

But those two BFF, the USSR and the PRC had a falling out over what the PRC call Zhenbao Island and the USSR call Damansky Island in 1969. Both claimed the island, and both were furious that the other claimed it.

Then, at the World Ping Pong tournament in Japan in 1971, some PRC ping pong players invited the US team to come to the PRC, the US team asked for and got permission, and Kissinger saw to it than President Nixon got invited. The PRC went from BFF with the USSR to BFF with the US. The unitary Communist part of the world was divided into two.

Naturally, the US plutocrats, who only earned 5 times the US average wage under Eisenhower, saw a way to get all their labour costs down to a few ¢ and their net income more than 500 times the US average wage! Great job, Kissinger!

But the PRC slowly went from a nation where most people didn't have enough to eat, where millions starved to death every year to a middle income nation where no one goes hungry. From a nation where more than a billion people slaved all day, every day on farms to a nation where all those farms are deserted. Work done by hundreds of peasants manually is now done by one engineer with high-tech agricultural robots. The old farmhouses are now vacation homes 'out in the country', since the farmers no longer need them nor use them, having homes in the cities where they have jobs that were, until very recently, 996 jobs: i.e., work from 9 am to 9 pm 6 days a week (but that's highly illegal now and the CPC is cracking down very hard, and set up a website 996.ICU where workers can turn in illegal bosses anonymously; they'll get the same pay and only have to work 40 hours a week, because the factories are earning too much profit and can afford to pay far more for labour).

It is obvious that what the CPC is doing to its workforce is highly illegal, they're going to give workers all over the world the wrong idea, so the US, which has been cracking down on Russia to prevent their every again rising to the threat level once posed by the USSR, is now cracking down on the PRC, as well they should be. What would happen if all workers all over the world started demanding the kind of treatment the CPC is demanding for all PRC workers?

But with the US cracking down very hard on both the PRC and the Russian Federation, they have, after many years, returned to their prior BFF status. Basically, the last three or so presidents have managed to undo all Kissinger's work.

So the US is working hard to provoke Russian invasion of Taiwan and PRC invasion of the Ukraine. Or do I have that backward? Anyway, doesn't matter, the US military just need a good excuse to put the PRC and Russia back in their place. US intelligence say that job will be far easier than Grenada and Panama, and the sooner the US get it done, the better.

Saturday, November 27, 2021

What about the PRC and the RF???

 Back in 1983, Grenada had a powerful military and posed a serious threat of conquering the world and imposing their dictatorship, and only the US, under the Great Reagan, were able to stop them. But peace did not last. In 1989, a new threat to the world arose, Panama, but Bush, Sr managed to subdue their quest for world domination. Shortly thereafter, in 1991, Iraq was prepared to first conquer the entire Middle East and take control of most of the world's oil, and again, only the US were able to stop them. Then, it was Yugoslavia that was close to conquering the entire world, but again, the US under Clinton managed to stop them. Then, on 9/11/2001, Afghanistan attacked the US and destroyed the World Trade Center. It took 20 years to topple that evil dictatorship, but the US finally managed under President Biden. During those 20 years, Libya became a serious threat, but Obama managed to lead the US military to victory, and the Libyan attempt at world domination was stopped.

But now we have the PRC and the RF. These are not great powers like Grenada and Panama, but only backward countries that wish to threaten the world. Obviously, Luxembourg would be able to take on both of these third-world countries who are nothing in comparison with Grenada and Panama, but Luxembourg is not willing, so it looks like the US of A will once again have to step up to the plate.

Fortunately, the PRC and the RF should not require nearly as much effort as Afghanistan, and the US should be able to subdue both in much less than 20 years. Chechnya and Dagestan and the other Republics in the RF will have their freedom, as will East Turkestan, Tibet, Hong Kong, and Taiwan.

Thursday, November 25, 2021

The US solution to the Afghanistan problem

 On 9/11/2001 (US date style) 19 Arabs,15 of them Saudis, hijacked 4 aeroplanes. Two were flown into the World Trade Center, killing most of the people inside and, of course, everyone on both planes. Another plane was crashed into the Pentagon, which was built to withstand bombing by the Luftwaffe, so it killed everyone on the plane and a very few of those working in the Pentagon. The passengers got word on their cellphones on the 4th aeroplane and fought with the hijackers who then crashed the plane, killing everyone on board, but no one else.

Since Saudi is an essential supplier of oil to the US, Afghanistan proved the perfect scapegoat. Bush, Jr convinced Americans in 2001 that Afghanistan had perpetrated 9/11, and the US vowed revenge. The Congress authorised the US president to wage war against anyone he thought had been responsible for 9/11, so for 20 years the US bombed Afghanistan, bombing schools, hospitals, weddings, and funerals.

But after 20 years, the US came up with a new plan. The Important Americans were all evacuated, the unimportant ones left behind. The Afghan government had to keep all its money in US banks, all of which was confiscated when the US left. Afghanistan is sanctioned so no food, no fertiliser, no agricultural implements allowed, and certainly no aid. With luck, every last Afghan will starve, suitable punishment for the 9/11 scapegoat, and most Americans figure they deserve it.

Of course now the US wants to rein in Russia and the PRC.

After the US transformed Grenada, Panama, Iraq, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, and Libya from brutal, impoverished dictatorships and major threats to the world into peaceful and prosperous democracies, third world countries like Russia and the PRC will be much easier, especially after all the US learned from their beneficent transformations of those former threats.

Sunday, October 31, 2021

The PRC lie about what they know about CoViD-19

 A US report just came out about CoViD-19. The virus was probably zoonotic. Unless it wasn't. No one in the US knows, but they do know that the PRC know a lot more than it is telling. And, for once, they are right about that.

The American Unz, whose analysis is well worth reading, has a theory about the origins of CoViD-19, and the PRC have the same theory, namely that it originated in the Chinese province of Maryland at a Chinese virology lab called Fort Detrick. 

The PRC have refused to share this theory of theirs with the world, because the Chinese have been studying diplomacy for 5,000 years, and figure this is one thing they'd better not say, so they're sticking with saying they're sure that the origins of CoViD-19 are strictly zoonotic .

As Nicholas Wade writes, in February and March 2020, a bunch of American scientists who had funded gain-of-function research in Wuhan wrote that CoViD-19 was irrefutably proven to be zoonotic. Since they would be liable if their gain-of-function research project caused the CoViD-19 pandemic, they lied through their teeth that they had proof that CoViD-19 was zoonotic. As Mr Wade points out, they lied and lied in their two papers, and no reasonable researcher would accept one word of what they wrote.

Once upon a time, gain-of-function research viruses were easy to identify, and CoViD-19 does not meet those criteria. Only now, there are 'no-see-um' gain-of-function viruses that do not have the markers, but are still gain-of-function viruses. Mr Wade says CoViD-19 fits this bill perfectly.

Mr Wade blames the Wuhan lab. Mr Unz says the US sent highly infectious viruses to the Wuhan lab with the note that they were harmless, so the Wuhan lab took minimal precautions, and the pandemic started in Wuhan, as planned by the US intelligence agencies. Only the PRC applied massive countermeasures and contained the virus. But before they knew, a few people went to Italy, and from Italy to the rest of the world, and the rest is history.

Saturday, October 30, 2021

Kipling (White Man's Burden)

 When I was in school (we took our notes on stone tablets) Kipling was on the reading list, and we had to read "White Man's Burden". Great poem. About how the Europeans had the duty to bring civilisation to the savages, even though the savages preferred their miserable, primitive lifestyle and hated progress. The White Man brought modern medicine, and cured all the savages' diseases. The White Man brought modern agriculture and eliminated all the savages' famines.

Then, of course, I read other histories, not the ones taught in Western secondary schools. The White Man brought the Native Americans blankets. And smallpox. And this, without the White Man having to lift a finger, exterminated more than 90% of the Native Americans.

And the British, needing grain for their armies in the World Wars, took all the food from the Indians and caused massive starvation.

And that is how Western Medicine and Western Agricultural methods eliminated diseases and famine for the savages: they were all dead, so no disease and no famine.

And yet, as Kipling complained, the savages did not appreciate the White Man's ministrations and kept rebelling, for reasons that escaped Kipling and many Westerners.

Those of us who read too much can see why some of the savages might not have appreciated the White Man's largess.

Fortunately, most Westerners get their information from the TV that reiterates that Kipling was right and those savages are a bunch of ingrates after all the West has done for them.