The US 2022 Election

 The US had an election for the legislative branch, not quite a Parliament, but the closest US equivalent, on Tuesday, 8 November (it has to be on the first Tuesday AFTER 1 November). We still have no idea who won.

Before, the Democrats had a majority in the House and the Senate. After 5 days, we have no idea. Neither party have a majority in either the House or the Senate, since we have no idea which party won.

A month before the election, the polls said it was 60% certain the Republicans would win in the House, and 60% certain the Democrats would win in the Senate. A week before the election, the polls said the Republicans would have a comfortable majority in the House, and the Senate was 50-50.

To win in the House requires having at least 218 members, and neither party have that many yet.

To win in the Senate, the Democrats need 50 Senators, the Republicans need 51, and both now have 49.

The Republicans are slightly ahead in the House, with 211, and the Democrats have 201, sorry 202, sorry now it's 204: the Democrats are gaining, and no one knows which will end up with the majority.

The Senate is almost certain to go to the Democrats, who might go from their current majority of 50 to a majority of 51.

The anti-war candidates did not do well. Most Americans listen to their leaders that Putin wants to rebuild the Warsaw Pact, then expand it to Western Europe, the UK, the US, and Canada, so he must be stopped. Not stopping Putin in the Ukraine would be as bad as Chamberlain appeasing Hitler at Munich.

Only the story about Chamberlain and appeasement came when the UK wanted a scapegoat and Churchill gave them Chamberlain.

In 1938, the year of Munich, Britain and France wanted war with Germany in 1939. Neither were ready for war in 1938. France wanted to complete the Maginot Line, and France would not join Britain in a war against Germany without that Maginot Line. So Chamberlain pretended that he only wanted 'Peace in our time' and so gave Germany the Sudetenland when he was really buying time.

Britain wanted to complete a radar system, which was Top Secret, so Churchill's demonisation of Chamberlain said the UK won the Battle of Britain with carrots, not radar, which was completely false. The radar meant that the RAF knew when and where the Luftwaffe were coming and were waiting for them, so Luftwaffe losses were unacceptably high, the Luftwaffe lost too many bombers, and the UK won the Battle of Britain. But Churchill said the RAF could see the Germans coming and shoot them down because they ate a lot of carrots, nothing else.

Since Churchill warned about appeasement, the US went to war in Korea, Vietnam, Grenada, Panama, Iraq, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Libya, Somalia, the Yemen, Syria, and probably a bunch I forgot and a bunch that never made the media, since war is always better than appeasement.

But now the US want to take on Russia and the PRC, which are not at all like any war the US has ever fought before.

So the US threatened to put nukes and ABMs in the Ukraine, and said there was nothing Russia could do about it, so Russia did something, and the US say Russia must be totally destroyed, broken up into several small, independent, unarmed states. A state for Dagestan, a state for Chechnea, an independent state for all the Russian Republics. Then those states will be no more of a problem for the US than Grenada.

But Russia are NOT Grenada, so this war is unlikely to go like the War against Grenada.

But every US Democrat and the senior Republicans all say we cannot appease Putin, we must totally destroy Russia before they can conquer the world. Only a few Republicans say they want to stop the war and go back to cheap petrol and low inflation. All the rest say, 'No appeasement!!!'

As for the election, 'It's not who votes that counts, it's who counts the votes.' And those who count the votes are making sure enough of the anti-war Republicans lose that a comfortable majority will continue to support the endless US wars.