Sunday, February 13, 2022

War in the Ukraine this week???

 CNN report that US intelligence have proof that Russia will create a False Flag attack, probably on the Donbass, one day this week.

Translation: the CIA plan a 'False Flag' attack, probably on the Donbass, one day this week. US intelligence will say they have proof the attack was by Russia.

The question is, will the CIA attack impel Russia to intervene? The CIA certainly hope so. This will give the US the excuse to apply severe sanctions on Russia, similar to the sanctions on Japan in 1941.

What will really happen is impossible to know from the CNN news story. The Ukrainian military are positioned close to the Donbass, and snipe on a daily basis, but do little damage, and Russia do nothing. So it is not clear if the CIA attack will impel the Russian military to enter the Ukraine.

From what US intelligence report, one concludes that 'US intelligence' is an oxymoron, but that could be misleading. We know US intelligence lie, because that's their job. Are they really well informed but just lying, or are they totally misinformed and lying? No easy way to know. Just as there is no way to know in advance how Russia will respond to the CIA attack on the Donbass.

Best guess: the CIA will set off a bomb of some kind that will kill some of the people in the Donbass, but Russia will not respond by sending their military into the Donbass, since there would be nothing useful the Russian military could do. When the Ukraine banned the Russian language and the Russian Orthodox Religion, and the Donbass declared its independence from the Ukraine, the Ukrainian military took over the Donbass and enforced that ban. The Russian military evicted the Ukrainian military from the Donbass, told them never to come back, and left. I can't see the Russian military returning after a single CIA bomb attack.

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