The official US news is that 99% of Iranians hate their government, and, with just a teeny bit of help from the US, they will take over and end one of history's greatest injustices: Beginning around 1900, the UK explored, drilled, and developed their oil fields around the Gulf with Two Names (it's the Persian Gulf on the northeast side, and the Arabian Gulf on the southwest side, and has been for a very long time).
Then, in 1951, the evil Mosaddek stole all that British oil, but the UK, after WWII, was not the powerful empire that it had been, it had already lost the Raj, their most valuable colony, and were rapidly losing the rest of the British Empire, so they asked the US for help, and help they were given. The CIA went in, arrested Mosaddek, put the Shah back in as head of state instead of a figurehead, and put the CIA/MI6-led Savak in to keep the Shah in power and keep all the oil as property of BP, now 50% UK owned and 50% US owned.
But the Shah got cancer and scruples and talked about preserving the oil for future generations, so he had to go, and Iran was given to an Ayatollah in France who was only concerned with keeping women in their place in Iran, he didn't care about the oil which would return to BP control. So the US/UK put the Ayatollah in power, and he declared that everyone in the US embassy was a hostage. President Carter had no idea what to do. The rescue mission hit a sandstorm and all were lost.
Reagan offered the Ayatollah a lot of money to keep the US embassy personnel hostages until Reagan won the election and took office in '81, when President Reagan would give Iran a huge ransom for all the hostages, and the Ayatollah agreed, so Carter lost the election, Reagan won, paid Iran, and got all the US hostage safely back in the US.
Anti-Ayatollah Iranians found it very easy to get US visas and passports, and they and their kids all want Iran to get the Shah back (the Shah says, once the US makes him the ruler of Iran, he'll stay in the US and act as sovereign and make sure whatever the CIA and Mossad want, he'll make the official Law in Iran).
Anyway, the US ordered Iran not to miss the meeting on 15 June 2025, but they missed the meeting, so Israel attacked Iran on 13 June 2025 for missing the meeting on 15 June 2025, killing all the Iranian generals and professors of nuclear physics (or, as Walt Kelley said, 'new, clear, fizzicks, not so new, not so clear, and nary a fizz). Then Israel bombed Iran for 10 days, then the US totally obliterated all the Iranian nuclear bomb development facilities, Iran retaliated by sending one missile to the US base in Qatar, and the 12 Day War was over.
Then, December 2025, the US Treasury Secretary went to all the international currency computers and crashed the Iranian currency, making it worthless, so no shop could replenish any of the stock they had sold, and customers could not buy anything, and peaceful protests started, soon joined by peaceful protesters sent by Mossad, the CIA, nd MI6, well-armed peaceful protesters who shot police and other protesters, all coordinated with Starlink terminals that let Mossad, the CIA, and MI6 tell them where the weapons were located, and where the next riot was to take place to kill off all the Iranians who supported the Ayatollah and did not want the Shah to resume being Supreme Leader of Iran. Good plan, but the evil Russians and Chinese gave Iran devices that could block Starlink, so those peaceful protesters could not ask where to find the weapons they needed for their peaceful protests, and those devices let Iran find all the Starlink terminals and arrest all the peaceful protesters.
So the planned attack on 14 Jan 2026 had to be postponed until 6 February, but the Ayatollah said he'd be at home on 28 February talking to all the top government officials, so the attack was rescheduled (again) for 28 February.
One Iranian general was a good Mossad agent, and he knew where the generals would be when they were talking with the Ayatollah on 28 February, and he told Israel and the US, so on 28 February, during the meeting, the US and Israel took out the Ayatollah and all his family, and all the generals (the good general working for Mossad excused himself from the meeting and left just before the US/Israeli attack), and the Ayatollah and all the Iranian generals were removed, making it very easy for the good Iranians to take over and install the Shah and Savak as …
Oops. The old Iranian government had survivors who took over, and a few of them are still running the Iranian government.
My Arab friend (who has a US passport) says Israel will use the Samson option before the end of April, and a lot of the podcasts I watch figure he's right.
Some figure Trump will order a US nuclear attack on Iran, but most figure it will be Israel on their own, they have at least 300 nukes, and maybe some of those are thermonuclear (all secret, so no one knows, but we're likely to find out before the end of April, 2026).
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