Saturday, April 18, 2026

Straight Flush???

As several have noted, Iran have been trying to acquire a Weapon of Mass Destruction for 40 years, and, on 28 February 2026, they had one: the Strait of Hormuz. At least 20% of the world economy requires the traffic of energy, fertilizer, helium, and other critical products that go through that Strait, and Iran, which never touched that Strait before 28 February 2016, the day the US and Israel killed the Ayatollah, Iran blocked the Strait and said no ship could use it except those ships allowed by Iran.

Insurers would not insure ships going through the state, and ship owners will not risk a ship that is not insured, so the world are facing a major depression in about four to six months unless Iran relents.

Iran did relent when Israel stopped bombing Lebanon, for a whole day, when Israel continued to bomb Lebanon while promising (or being promised by the US) that they would stop, then closed the Strait when the US and Israel did not fulfill their agreements with Iran.

So the world economy is back on course for a Depression that will make the US Great Depression of 1929–1941 seem like a very mild recession.

And we're still waiting for the Samson Option, which an Arab friend predicts will happen before the end of this month. Not that the Samson Option will necessarily leave a usable Strait, but at least there won't be many Iranians to continue rejoicing in their victory over Israel and the US of A, so Israel and the USA will be able to rejoice in their 'victory'. 

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