I just watched Col Douglas MacGregor analysing the current military situation in West Asia. He notes that, for multiple reasons, the US military are very short on ammunition. I've tried to explain that, as a defence contractor for several years, the US military mainly exists to pump $trillions into the pockets of those who really control the US government, and, while a few weapons systems and the ammunition they need to operate get built, not very much of those $trillions gets wasted on such things, most goes straight into the pockets of the real US decision makers.
Meanwhile, Iran showed that ???
Actually, we don't know. Israel swears that only one Iranian missile hit Israel and killed 24 people who had not gone to a bomb shelter, clearly an act of genocide, the legal definition of which is "killing all or part of a recognised religious-ethnic group," of which there is only one. Israel killing all the Palestinians, all the Arabs, all the goyim, or whatever, is not genocide under the legal definition, but must be called "self-defence".
But Russian and Iranian propaganda sources all say that Iranian missiles did significant damage to Israel, damage no one has seen because Israel bans all post-attack photography. And Iran were being careful to avoid escalating the war, carefully avoiding doing too much damage to Israel, hoping Israel and the US would not respond with too much of an attack on Iran.
After 11 days, Israel asked the US to stop the 12-Day war, so Trump and Iran agreed: the US would bomb three sites, agreed in advance, and then Iran would respond with one missile hitting the US military base in Qatar at a time and specific location agreed in advance, so not much damage was done to Iran or the US military base, no one was killed, and the 12-Day War was over.
This time, Col MacGregor says, after the inevitable attack on Iran by either the US or Israel or both, Iran will start to totally destroy Israel, taking out all major resources. This is somewhat limited, since Israel moved some of the government from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, and Iran cannot do any strike that endangers the Al-Aqsa Mosque, but a lot of Israeli vital resources remains outside Jerusalem, and all those will be targeted, and the only way Israel can defend themselves is with a massive nuclear strike that will totally obliterate Iran.
Israel can and almost certainly will do this, given the alternative, if any war starts at all.
As Col MacGregor states, Trump is being forced by Netanyahu to attack Iran, or at least to support a conventional Israeli attack on Iran. This, we know, is not true. Trump is just reading the Teleprompter which has whatever the people really running the US want him to say. We saw that his first term when he stated, firmly, twice, that all US troops must leave Syria.
Then, after the men in dark suits and dark glasses asked him if he really wanted to be the next JFK, and these are the successors to the people who killed JFK, Trump agreed to just read the Teleprompter.
And again, on 19 Jan 2025, we saw Trump say that, if the US did not withdraw from the Ukraine, the costs of the war would destroy the US. Trump had already been elected, so this wasn't a lie told to win the election, it was something Trump intended to pursue. Then the men in dark suits and dark glasses had another little talk with Trump, and he then said that Russia must completely withdraw from the Ukraine or Russia would be destroyed.
So Trump has been taught to just read the Teleprompter.
We don't know, yet, if Trump will attack Iran, or if Israel will attack Iran. Col MacGregor figures it's a certainty that will result in the total destruction of Israel, but he forgets that Israel is one of the world's biggest nuclear powers, even though it is a tiny nation. The DPRK probably have fewer than a dozen nukes, just enough to convince the US not to try any regime change, but Israel has hundreds, maybe thousands of nukes, all built with the assistance and acceptance of the US. And, if mortally threatened, Israel will use those nukes.
After which, few in the West will miss Iran.
This also has the great advantage that the PRC will be cut off from a lot of the oil they need to keep their economy running at the current level.
So removing Iran will serve both Israel's purposes and those of the US, so it seems very likely we'll see the first use of nukes to totally destroy a country (the nukes the US used in WWII were only to impress the USSR, Japan surrendered after the USSR declared war on Japan a few days after the nukes were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki).
There is, of course, one way out of this: the people who are really in charge might know that any war with Iran will result in Israel dropping much of their nuclear arsenal on Iran, and they might not want this to happen. Then they will come up with some way to declare 'victory': They will find something to which Iran can agree, something, anything, meaningless, something Iran have no trouble agreeing to, and then Trump will read off the Teleprompter, 'We have achieved total victory over Iran without a war!!!'
That's our only hope.
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