As I wrote before, Scott Ritter, on Friday, 13 February, said there was no way the US could attack Iran, since the consequences would be a disaster, and the US military leadership would never agree to such an attack.
Then, on Monday, 16 February, Scott said the US was about to attack, and the attack would totally destroy Iran, the US had identified all Iran's weapons, the location of all Iran's leadership, and all would be destroyed on the first day of the war, after which the US would pound Iran until there was nothing left that could possibly threaten the US or Israel, and this would take place in a day or two. Scott repeated this on Friday, 20 February and Monday, 23 February, the US attack was coming up very soon and Iran would be totally destroyed.
I then heard that the PRC had agreed to sell Iran some new weapons systems, but could not deliver for at least a year, by which time there would not be an Iran there to buy them.
One point that somehow gets missed is that the US imposed sanctions on Iran, so Iran could not sell any oil. The US did this to Iraq, a complete blockade, Iraq could not sell any oil or buy anything, and Iraq had started buying food with their oil money, and cut back on their farming, and Iraq needed to buy medicine since they had no indigenous medical industry, so at least 500,000 Iraqis died from starvation and curable diseases. And the US official statement was that those 500,000 dead Iraqis were well worth it.
Iran is not Iraq. Iran produces lots of food, enough to feed themselves and sell their substantial surplus, and Iran produces their own medicine, and can treat common diseases, only a few, rare diseases that required very advanced medicines could not be treated and the patients died, but only a few.
And then, in 2021, a fleet of oil tankers showed up and bought all the available Iranian oil, in spite of the US naval blockade, since that fleet of tankers had a bigger Navy protecting them than the US naval blockade, so the US naval blockade withdrew, not willing to attack a much bigger, stronger naval force.
The PRC desperately need energy resources, and they were trying to develop Venezuela, while Russia sold their energy to the EU.
Then the EU said they would not buy anything from the Russian aggressors who want to take over all Europe, and the US know that, if they don't help Europe support the Ukraine, US tourists who want to see the Eiffel Tower and Big Ben will have to speak Russian. So the US/UK/EU will do whatever it takes to stop the Slavs from overrunning Aryan lands.
So now the Russians are selling their energy to the PRC and India, but the PRC energy needs keep growing and growing, and the PRC might be able to do without the Venezuelan oil they spent more than $1 billion developing, but they figured it was better to cut and run, and focus on Iran.
But the US intend to get all the Iranian oil, oil that the Iranians have been stealing, returned to the legal owners, BP, who will never be allowed to sell any oil to the PRC, and then NATO will overrun Russia, which, according to all the US/UK/EU mainstream media are losing badly and all that Russian energy should be returned to the rightful owners, US oiligarchs, who won't sell a drop to the PRC.
Scott figures this isn't all that ethical a plan, but a military victory of the US over Iran is not only certain, but will be very easy, with no US losses or any damage to Israel.
Russia keep saying they will be helping Iran, but the Russian military, according to all the US/UK/EU mainstream media, were armed with WWII weapons, all easily destroyed by the advanced NATO weapons used by the Ukraine, who were also able to destroy the Russian nuclear triad with a drone attack against which the Russians were totally unprepared and unable to stop.
So the Russia don't have much of a military left, according to all the US/UK/EU analysts, and will soon be totally defeated, broken up into many small, demilitarised countries, and all Russia energy, gold, and minerals will be taken as war reparations by US oiligarchs, and no Russian oil will go to the PRC, which will then collapse back into an agricultural society with everyone working as small farmers barely able to feed themselves, and the PRC will no longer be a threat to the US, but will be back where they were in 1850, after the UK and other Europeans (plus the US and Japan) took over the Qing Dynasty China and stole everything.
That's the plan, and the US/UK/EU figure it's a sure thing and an easy thing and nothing can possibly go wrong.
Of course, Russia and the PRC and Iran just might have other plans. Professor John J. Mearsheimer says that the US generals and/or maybe Trump have figured out that any attack on Iran is not going to go well. Israel seem to think the US have set up lots of new air defence systems to protect Israel, so now's the best time to take out Iran, after which Israel will be able to take everything from the northern tip of the Euphrates to the southern tip of the Nile, but the US military experts, according to Mearsheimer, are not convinced this will go well, and fear that this might go very, very badly, and do not want to go to war with Iran.
Mearsheimer hopes that the US can negotiate a deal like the one that ended the 12-day war of 2025, where the US bombed some Iranian nuclear sites after giving Iran warning and time to prepare, then Iran was allowed a symbolic hit on an American base in Qatar, and the war was over interrupted for six months.
But Iran says that is not on the table.
As usual, if Iran figures they have nothing and the US can totally destroy Iran with no damage to the US or Israel, why wouldn't Iran agree to such a generous offer?
But Iran say their missile sites are well hidden, the US won't be able to hit more than a few of them, and the cost to the US and Israel will be far more than they can afford. Of course, Iran might be wrong about this, but the US idea, repeated by Scott Ritter, that they can totally destroy Iran without losing any US or Israeli assets might also be completely wrong.
We can all hope that Professor Mearsheimer is right, that the US are quite unsure of how much damage Iran can do, and are not willing to risk that damage, so they'll try threats and bluffs, hoping Iran will respond by agreeing to all US/Israeli demands, or at least to some US/Israeli demands, and then the US can declare victory without any losses.
Or, if Iran refuses to negotiate, the US/UK/EU can have all the US/UK/EU media say Iran surrendered without a fight, knowing they were totally overpowered, or did fight but lost, and US/UK/EU people are now in charge, and all is for the best in this, the best of all possible worlds!
After which, Iran can continue to sell oil to the PRC in peace, but not a peep about this will make its way to the US/UK/EU media who will celebrate the great US/UK/EU victory over the Iranian Ayatollahs.
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